President, Vision Research

Robert C Prather Jr

President

Vision Research

Vision Research was formed in 2004 with the vision of generating the best possible fundamental analysis and investment research for smid cap US equities. In 2008, we broadened our coverage to include mid/large cap US stocks.  After researching a  few ideas outside the US each year for a number of years, we launched a dedicated non-US equity product at the end of 2015.  This was followed by the introduction of a product focused on IPOs in mid-2017.

Fundamental Insight

Equity Bottom-Up

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Key customers &amp; their retail partners battling excess inventory, waning consumer demand, and market share losses in certain geographies</li>
<li>Plans for capacity expansion amid demand uncertainties and alt data and macro picture may prove aggressive and along with risks of reshoring/nearshoring &amp; friend-shoring may prove margin dilutive</li>
<li>Consensus expectations for 2H23 and 2024 appear overly optimistic and valuation is not cheap given the growth profile</li>
</ul>


Key customers &amp; their retail partners battling excess inventory, waning consumer demand, and market share losses in certain geographies
Plans for capacity expansion amid demand uncertainties and alt data and macro picture may prove aggressive and along with risks of reshoring/nearshoring &amp; friend-shoring may prove margin dilutive
Consensus expectations for 2H23 and 2024 appear overly optimistic and valuation is not cheap given the growth profile


Shenzhou (2313 HK): Contract Mfr for Leading Sportswear Brands Facing Challenging Demand Outlook.

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>President Trump has indicated that he will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's industry dominance.</li>
<li>Although the supply commitments of REEs to supplant China's production will take years to fulfill, the tariff relief will provide immediate benefits to Chinese textile manufacturers with Southeast Asian production.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhou-intl-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10415:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> ,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yue-yuen-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12281:1" rel="noopener">Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stella-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7610:1" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a> will benefit from the tariff relief.
</li>
</ul>


President Trump has indicated that he will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's industry dominance.
Although the supply commitments of REEs to supplant China's production will take years to fulfill, the tariff relief will provide immediate benefits to Chinese textile manufacturers with Southeast Asian production.

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK) , Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) ,Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK) , and Stella International (1836 HK) will benefit from the tariff relief.



How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Aditya Birla Lifestyle Brands / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The ABLBL demerger creates a focused entity with market-leading premium brands, providing a stable foundation by separating the high-margin apparel business from ABFRL’s weaker assets.</li>
<li>ABLBL core lifestyle portfolio, including Louis Philippe and Peter England, boasts dominant market share in key segments and enjoys exceptionally strong brand recall among consumers.</li>
<li>Future growth hinges on wildcards American Eagle and Reebok. The Reebok turnaround offers significant upside by tapping into the high-growth, lucrative Indian sportswear and athleisure market.</li>
</ul>


The ABLBL demerger creates a focused entity with market-leading premium brands, providing a stable foundation by separating the high-margin apparel business from ABFRL’s weaker assets.
ABLBL core lifestyle portfolio, including Louis Philippe and Peter England, boasts dominant market share in key segments and enjoys exceptionally strong brand recall among consumers.
Future growth hinges on wildcards American Eagle and Reebok. The Reebok turnaround offers significant upside by tapping into the high-growth, lucrative Indian sportswear and athleisure market.


Aditya Birla Lifestyle Brands (ABLBL IN) | A Sportswear Wildcard

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range.</li>
<li>Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range.
Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and deal dynamics.


Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snow-peak-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7218:1" rel="noopener">Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP)</a> has recommended a Bain Capital-sponsored MBO tender offer at JPY1,250 per share, a 58.0% premium to the undisturbed price (15 February). </li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 38.13% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 52.8% minority acceptance rate. While not a knockout offer, the acceptance condition is achievable.  </li>
</ul>



Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP) has recommended a Bain Capital-sponsored MBO tender offer at JPY1,250 per share, a 58.0% premium to the undisturbed price (15 February). 
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 38.13% ownership ratio.
Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 52.8% minority acceptance rate. While not a knockout offer, the acceptance condition is achievable.  


Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain-Backed MBO at JPY1,250

Germany

Puma SE designs, manufactures, and sells sporting goods and apparels. The Company produces running, tennis, training, and basketball shoes, as well as t-shirts and accessories. Puma serves customers worldwide.

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Puma (PUM GR)

Shenzhou (2313 HK): Contract Mfr for Leading Sportswear Brands Facing Challenging Demand Outlook.

Consensus estimates do not account for customer, retailer, Asian market share shift, macro, alt data and geopolitical risks.

Robert C Prather Jr

How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

President Trump will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's...

David Mudd

Aditya Birla Lifestyle Brands (ABLBL IN) | A Sportswear Wildcard

The ABLBL demerger creates a focused entity with market-leading premium brands. Future growth potential lies in American Eagle and Reebok's...

Pranav Bhavsar

Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range. Its pre-IPO investors will be...

Sumeet Singh

Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain-Backed MBO at JPY1,250

Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 52.8% minority acceptance rate. While not a knockout offer, the acceptance...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shenzhou (2313 HK): Contract Mfr for Leading Sportswear Brands Facing Challenging Demand Outlook.

Consensus estimates do not account for customer, retailer, Asian market share shift, macro, alt data and geopolitical risks.

Robert C Prather Jr

How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

President Trump will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's...

David Mudd

Aditya Birla Lifestyle Brands (ABLBL IN) | A Sportswear Wildcard

​The ABLBL demerger creates a focused entity with market-leading premium brands. Future growth potential lies in American Eagle and Reebok's...

Pranav Bhavsar

Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range. Its pre-IPO investors will be...

Sumeet Singh

Snow Peak (7816 JP): Bain-Backed MBO at JPY1,250

Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 52.8% minority acceptance rate. While not a knockout offer, the acceptance...

Arun George

The ABLBL demerger creates a focused entity with market-leading premium brands. Future growth potential lies in American Eagle and Reebok's...