Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Analyst

Forensic Accounting

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<p>In the Second of this Three part SK Originals series, we discuss how China's Company Accounting Standard No. 14 - Revenue ("CAS No. 14") could impact the revenue recognition policy of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qi-an-xin-technology-group-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31069:1" rel="noopener">Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH)</a>.  This impact includes, amongst others, the timing of revenue recognition and differing revenue recognition across a company's business segments. </p>
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<p>Similar to before. we discuss the materiality threshold used to identify the listed software companies that have made changes to their accounting polices in lieu of CAS No. 14, the key implications and what this all means for Qi An Xin, with reference to industry dynamics, relative valuation, and company fundamentals.</p>
<p>Further, Qi An Xin is the official Cyber Security Services and Anti-Virus Software Sponsor of the Beijing 2022 Olympic and Paralympic Winter Games. We discuss the potential uplift for Qi An Xin in terms of greater awareness derived from the Olympic event.</p>

<p>China's cybersecurity market growth is set to reaccelerate given increased digitisation of the economy, emphasis on data security, and increase in cybersecurity spending.  While pandemic disruptions had led to an inevitable slowdown in 2020, recent cybersecurity spending trends by corporates and government bodies suggest a cyclical rebound. </p>
<p>In the First of this Three part<strong> SK Originals</strong> series, we discuss how China's Company Accounting Standard No. 14 - Revenue ("<strong>CAS No. 14</strong>")'s application and consequent changes in accounting policy could result in material changes to the revenue recognition policy of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/venustech-group-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2773:1" rel="noopener">Venustech Group Inc A (002439 CH)</a>, such as changing the timing of revenue recognition and the amount being recognised across the company's various revenue segments.  </p>
<p>Most Chinese software companies started adopting CAS No. 14 in 2020.  Broadly, the net impact of CAS No. 14 is that recognition of software product revenue shifts from from multiple milestones based on a percentage of delivery completion to the transfer of actual control of the software products to customers, subject to specific terms of contract and management judgement. </p>
<p>We also discuss the materiality threshold used to identify the listed software companies that have made changes in lieu of CAS No. 14, the key implications, and what this all means for Venustech with reference to industry dynamics, relative valuation, and company fundamentals.</p>
<p>We are constructive on Venustech's prospects given its market leading position in software products, security operation centers and related services.  At forward P/E of 21.9x and market leading ROE and operating margin relative to peer average, we believe that Venustech is attractively valued. </p>

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/Events/Delta One

Event-Driven

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<li>There are 28 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 December.</li>
<li>The inclusion of ChiNext stocks with 1 year of listing history (down from 3 years) and the inclusion of other large stocks results in a one-way turnover greater than 10%.</li>
<li>There are 10 trading days to implementation and we expect the inclusions to outperform the market. A long inclusion basket can be hedged with CSI300 index futures.</li>
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<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that are actively traded as well.</p></div><div>
<p>China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.</p>
<p>The review period ended on 29 October and we see 26 potential changes at the December rebalance. Of these, 23 are high probability changes with another 3 likely to take place.</p>
<p>Since our last Insight a month ago, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletion by 13% with the inclusions rising on average and the deletions dropping on average. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> was flat over the period. We recommend trimming positions and waiting for an opportunity to re-enter the trade at lower levels in the next couple of weeks.</p>
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<p>In this weeks recap, we look at:</p><ul>
<li>potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> in December</li>
<li>potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> in December</li>
<li>potential changes to the MSCI Standard index at the November SAIR</li>
<li>potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in December</li>
<li>potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> in December</li>
<li>potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ftse-100-index-ukx" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22904:1" rel="noopener">UKX Index (UKX INDEX)</a> in December</li>
<li>the potential index impact of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hopson-development-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8108:1" rel="noopener">Hopson Development (754 HK)</a> buying a 51% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> </li>
<li>the Japan MOF's offering in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> and the passive flows that could help support the stock</li>
</ul><p>There are no major index rebalance events next week.</p><p>In the ETF world, the largest inflows went into two Taiwan ETFs during the week. The Taiwan Top 50 ETF took in US$423m while the Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF took in US$276m.</p>

China

Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc. develops and distributes cyber security products. The Company produces infrastructure security products, next generation information technology infrastructure protection products, big data intelligent security detection and control products, and others. Qi An Xin Technology Group also produces computer software and hardware products.

Qi An Xin Technology Group - 688561 CH

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