Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 are all holding above their respective short-term support levels and market dynamics remain positive. As a result, our outlook remains bullish and we continue to believe a “buy the dip” mentality is warranted. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Services, Transportation, &amp; Utilities: Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, Auctions, Vehicle Rentals/Leasing, Electric, Southwest</p>

The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 are all holding above their respective short-term support levels and market dynamics remain positive. As a result, our outlook remains bullish and we continue to believe a “buy the dip” mentality is warranted. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Services, Transportation, &amp; Utilities: Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, Auctions, Vehicle Rentals/Leasing, Electric, Southwest

U. S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities; Downgrading Communications

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Blockchain is full of promise. Investment in the space totals billions of dollars. Large corporations, venture capital funds, and initial coin offerings are funding projects. The activity is not completely misguided; blockchains have the potential to disrupt economic activities ranging from simple payments to the structure of a corporation as it currently exists. We see three broad categories of applications for the technology: financial transactions, data management, and marketplace activity. Companies that engage in these functions are seemingly at risk, as blockchain technology can potentially lower transaction costs as well as the costs of recordkeeping. However, we've identified some narrow- and wide-moat companies that will be less vulnerable to the blockchain threat. These companies provide value-added services along with simpler transaction processing and recordkeeping functions. Then, we point out that the early-stage technology still suffers from a handful of technical issues, including problems with scalability, privacy, and leadership.</p><h2>Key Takeaways</h2><ul><li>Ideally, a blockchain is trustworthy, transparent, and decentralized. These features provide most of the technology's appeal, allowing businesses to solve problems related to trust, recordkeeping, and transaction costs.</li><li>Blockchain technology provides a way to decentralize three important economic functions: financial transactions, identity and data management, and marketplaces. Decentralized solutions could disrupt companies that create value by centralizing such activities.</li><li>The financial services sector abounds with companies that serve to centralize financial transaction activity. Blockchain technology removes the need for a trusted third party and lowers transaction costs.</li><li>Centralized control of data and identity management is increasingly creating security and privacy issues. Blockchains allow individuals to maintain control over their own digital identities.</li><li>Marketplaces such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/409" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1">Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/6669" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6669:1">Expedia Inc (EXPE US)</a>, which serve as intermediaries between buyers and sellers, have arisen in numerous sectors. Marketplace activity can conceivably migrate to a blockchain, removing the need for a corporate intermediary.</li><li>Corporations exist to lower transaction costs and solve problems of trust. Blockchain technology therefore can also enable entirely new forms of economic organization.</li><li>Moats arising from network effects and cost advantages are, on the surface, most vulnerable to a technology that decentralizes activity and reduces transaction costs. Moats arising from switching costs and intangible assets are less vulnerable.</li><li>Blockchain technology removes the need for a trusted third party and potentially lowers transaction costs, but cost advantages are seldom the only variable in play. Many intermediaries provide value-added services in addition to commoditized transaction processing and recordkeeping, and companies often benefit from multiple moat sources. Even in commoditized lines of business, incumbents often benefit from massive economies of scale.</li><li>Blockchain technology is in its infancy, with major technical hurdles to overcome before reaching mainstream viability. Scalability and cost are primary concerns, as are privacy issues, despite the security inherent to encrypted, distributed ledgers. Decentralized control can exacerbate differences, slow progress, and lead to balkanization. Ironically, private and permissioned blockchains might better balance the benefits of decentralized ledgers with those of centralized systems. In this case, the benefits of blockchain technology could accrue to incumbents or their customers.</li><li>Narrow- and wide-moat companies serving as trusted intermediaries in several industries are trading at significant discounts to fair value. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/916" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:916:1">American Express Co (AXP US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/18151" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18151:1">Mckesson Corp (MCK US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4668" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4668:1">Anixter International Inc (AXE US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/16449" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16449:1">Tripadvisor Inc (TRIP US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/665" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1">Facebook Inc A (FB US)</a> are some of our top current picks among these companies.</li><li>Utility token demand rests on 1) the ability of an individual token to add value for users, and 2) the lack of viable alternatives to its use. We believe that value creation in the token world will depend not only on networks of users and developers, but also durable competitive advantages over both decentralized and centralized competitors.</li></ul><p><em>Analysts: Jim Sinegal, Joshua Aguilar, Rodney Nelson, Brian Bernard, RJ Hottovy, Matt Young, Michael Wong, Ali Mogharabi and Dan Wasiolek</em></p>

Blockchain is full of promise. Investment in the space totals billions of dollars. Large corporations, venture capital funds, and initial coin offerings are funding projects. The activity is not completely misguided; blockchains have the potential to disrupt economic activities ranging from simple payments to the structure of a corporation as it currently exists. We see three broad categories of applications for the technology: financial transactions, data management, and marketplace activity. Companies that engage in these functions are seemingly at risk, as blockchain technology can potentially lower transaction costs as well as the costs of recordkeeping. However, we've identified some narrow- and wide-moat companies that will be less vulnerable to the blockchain threat. These companies provide value-added services along with simpler transaction processing and recordkeeping functions. Then, we point out that the early-stage technology still suffers from a handful of technical issues, including problems with scalability, privacy, and leadership.Key TakeawaysIdeally, a blockchain is trustworthy, transparent, and decentralized. These features provide most of the technology's appeal, allowing businesses to solve problems related to trust, recordkeeping, and transaction costs.Blockchain technology provides a way to decentralize three important economic functions: financial transactions, identity and data management, and marketplaces. Decentralized solutions could disrupt companies that create value by centralizing such activities.The financial services sector abounds with companies that serve to centralize financial transaction activity. Blockchain technology removes the need for a trusted third party and lowers transaction costs.Centralized control of data and identity management is increasingly creating security and privacy issues. Blockchains allow individuals to maintain control over their own digital identities.Marketplaces such as Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US) and Expedia Inc (EXPE US), which serve as intermediaries between buyers and sellers, have arisen in numerous sectors. Marketplace activity can conceivably migrate to a blockchain, removing the need for a corporate intermediary.Corporations exist to lower transaction costs and solve problems of trust. Blockchain technology therefore can also enable entirely new forms of economic organization.Moats arising from network effects and cost advantages are, on the surface, most vulnerable to a technology that decentralizes activity and reduces transaction costs. Moats arising from switching costs and intangible assets are less vulnerable.Blockchain technology removes the need for a trusted third party and potentially lowers transaction costs, but cost advantages are seldom the only variable in play. Many intermediaries provide value-added services in addition to commoditized transaction processing and recordkeeping, and companies often benefit from multiple moat sources. Even in commoditized lines of business, incumbents often benefit from massive economies of scale.Blockchain technology is in its infancy, with major technical hurdles to overcome before reaching mainstream viability. Scalability and cost are primary concerns, as are privacy issues, despite the security inherent to encrypted, distributed ledgers. Decentralized control can exacerbate differences, slow progress, and lead to balkanization. Ironically, private and permissioned blockchains might better balance the benefits of decentralized ledgers with those of centralized systems. In this case, the benefits of blockchain technology could accrue to incumbents or their customers.Narrow- and wide-moat companies serving as trusted intermediaries in several industries are trading at significant discounts to fair value. American Express Co (AXP US), Mckesson Corp (MCK US), Anixter International Inc (AXE US), Tripadvisor Inc (TRIP US), and Facebook Inc A (FB US) are some of our top current picks among these companies.Utility token demand rests on 1) the ability of an individual token to add value for users, and 2) the lack of viable alternatives to its use. We believe that value creation in the token world will depend not only on networks of users and developers, but also durable competitive advantages over both decentralized and centralized competitors.Analysts: Jim Sinegal, Joshua Aguilar, Rodney Nelson, Brian Bernard, RJ Hottovy, Matt Young, Michael Wong, Ali Mogharabi and Dan Wasiolek

Canada

RB Global, Inc. provides a marketplace for insights, services, and transaction solutions for commercial assets and vehicles. The Company offers its customers end-to-end transaction solutions for used commercial and other durable assets through its omnichannel platform, which includes auctions, online marketplaces, listing services, and private brokerage services.

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RB Global (RBA CN)

U. S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities; Downgrading Communications

We are upgrading Utilities and downgrading Communications. We recap important technical levels across major indexes and share actionable ideas...

Vermilion Research

Disruption by Decentralization?

Blockchain is full of promise. Investment in the space totals billions of dollars. Large corporations, venture capital funds, and initial coin...

Morningstar, Inc.

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