Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc.

Equity Bottom-Up

With its management day on Tuesday, narrow-moat Shell extended its outlook through 2025 from the existing plan that runs through 2020. The latest plan calls for organic free cash flow of $35 billion in 2025 from a range of $28 billion-$33 billion in 2020, with returns on capital rising to 12% from 10%, and gearing falling to 15%-25% from 25%. Cash capital expenditures should tick up to $30 million on average (including about $1 billion in acquisition spending) from $24 billion-&gt;$29 billion…

With the restoration of its cash dividend, Shell has demonstrated that it has taken the necessary steps to remain competitive in a world of $60/barrel oil. Like the rest of the integrated group, Shell has reduced its cost base, which had become bloated, in part by reducing headcount and improving its supply chain. Furthermore, the addition of BG’s low-cost production reduces Shell’s per-barrel operating cost, which ranked among the highest in its peer group. Shell already reduced operating cost…

Best Idea Royal Dutch Shell posted an impressive first quarter with earnings growth across all of operating segments and continued strong cash flow generation. The quarter stands out from other integrateds’ relatively weak reports and demonstrates the value of Shell’s integrated model while supporting our thesis of continued earnings and free cash flow growth during the next several years. As such, our fair value estimate and moat rating are unchanged. We continued to think this improvement is…

Netherlands

Royal Dutch Shell PLC, through subsidiaries, explores for, produces, and refines petroleum.  The Company produces fuels, chemicals, and lubricants. Shell owns and operates gasoline filling stations worldwide.

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