Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The US post-election rally lifted markets which run a trade deficit with the US alongside US markets. In that period, volatility decreased in all markets, regardless of performance.</li>
<li>Market Specific commentary and option opportunities for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100 (NDX INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX),</a> and more.</li>
<li>Volatility analytics plus upcoming events and market holidays to the end of January as reference data.</li>
</ul>


The US post-election rally lifted markets which run a trade deficit with the US alongside US markets. In that period, volatility decreased in all markets, regardless of performance.
Market Specific commentary and option opportunities for NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX), S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX), Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX), Nasdaq-100 (NDX INDEX), S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX), and more.
Volatility analytics plus upcoming events and market holidays to the end of January as reference data.


EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility - Opportunities in Nifty 50, Nasdaq, ASX 200, FTSE 100, SMI

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>Quick trading idea:  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a> DAILY is overbought. Has been closing up for 7 days in a row, soon there will be a DAILY reversal (lasting =&gt; 1 day).</li>
<li>The ideal area to go short is the price area above yesterday's Close (6021.63).</li>
<li>Alternatively go SHORT today at the Close. The interactive chart for the SPX DAILY can be freely accessed <a href="https://www.qantrading.com/quantcharts/Americas/SPX_DAILY/SPX_DAILY.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</li>
</ul>


Quick trading idea:  S&amp;P 500 INDEX DAILY is overbought. Has been closing up for 7 days in a row, soon there will be a DAILY reversal (lasting =&gt; 1 day).
The ideal area to go short is the price area above yesterday's Close (6021.63).
Alternatively go SHORT today at the Close. The interactive chart for the SPX DAILY can be freely accessed here.


EQD | Flash: S&P500 - State Of The Odds DAILY (Overbought!)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>We've discussed since mid-October how we would use any pre-election pullback in the MSCI ACWI or the SPX (U.S. remains our only country overweight) as an opportunity to add exposure</li>
<li>And we continue to see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
We've discussed since mid-October how we would use any pre-election pullback in the MSCI ACWI or the SPX (U.S. remains our only country overweight) as an opportunity to add exposure
And we continue to see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025.


Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside healthy market dynamics which have continued to improve.</li>
<li>Two weeks ago, our election day report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and with the SPX/QQQ/IWM pulling back to their 20-day MAs, it's time to buy the pullback again.</li>
<li>We continue to expect significant upside into year-end and early 2025, and we expect support at the 20-day MAs on the aforementioned indexes (though support at 50-day MAs is possible).</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside healthy market dynamics which have continued to improve.
Two weeks ago, our election day report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and with the SPX/QQQ/IWM pulling back to their 20-day MAs, it's time to buy the pullback again.
We continue to expect significant upside into year-end and early 2025, and we expect support at the 20-day MAs on the aforementioned indexes (though support at 50-day MAs is possible).


Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was down 4.5% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 2.1%), the cex (down 4.0%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 5.7%).</li><li>Energy Technology (13.5% of the index) was down 1.6%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (48.3% of the index) was down 3.8%, ClimateTech Mining was down 3.4%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.6% of index) was down 5.5%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: GRB, BE, WKHS, MULN, LILM, HLGN, FGPHF, AMPS, NEOV, NOVA</li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was down 4.5% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 2.1%), the cex (down 4.0%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 5.7%).Energy Technology (13.5% of the index) was down 1.6%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (48.3% of the index) was down 3.8%, ClimateTech Mining was down 3.4%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.6% of index) was down 5.5%.Top 10 Performers: GRB, BE, WKHS, MULN, LILM, HLGN, FGPHF, AMPS, NEOV, NOVA

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on REX American Resources Corp. (REX)

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility - Opportunities in Nifty 50, Nasdaq, ASX 200, FTSE 100, SMI

US post-election rally lowers implied volatility across all markets. Specific commentary on NIFTY, S&P/ASX 200, Nikkei 225, Nasdaq-100, S&P 500....

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | Flash: S&P500 - State Of The Odds DAILY (Overbought!)

The S&P 500 INDEX is overbought, suggesting a potential daily reversal soon. Consider going short above yesterday's close or at today's close or...

Nico Rosti

Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

Buy the Pullback in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; Still bullish on global equities with $ACWI and the SPX holding above their respective bases at $117 and...

Vermilion Research

Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Buy the Pullback Again, Same as Our Election Day Report; S&P 500 $SPX, Nasdaq 100 $QQQ, Russell 2000 $IWM Testing Confluence of Support at 20-day...

Vermilion Research

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on REX American Resources Corp. (REX)

The WTR Sustainable Index was down 4.5% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 2.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 4.0%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 5.7%).

Water Tower Research

EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility - Opportunities in Nifty 50, Nasdaq, ASX 200, FTSE 100, SMI

​US post-election rally lowers implied volatility across all markets. Specific commentary on NIFTY, S&P/ASX 200, Nikkei 225, Nasdaq-100, S&P 500....

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | Flash: S&P500 - State Of The Odds DAILY (Overbought!)

​The S&P 500 INDEX is overbought, suggesting a potential daily reversal soon. Consider going short above yesterday's close or at today's close or...

Nico Rosti

Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

Buy the Pullback in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; Still bullish on global equities with $ACWI and the SPX holding above their respective bases at $117 and...

Vermilion Research

Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Buy the Pullback Again, Same as Our Election Day Report; S&P 500 $SPX, Nasdaq 100 $QQQ, Russell 2000 $IWM Testing Confluence of Support at 20-day...

Vermilion Research

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on REX American Resources Corp. (REX)

The WTR Sustainable Index was down 4.5% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 2.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 4.0%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 5.7%).

Water Tower Research

US post-election rally lowers implied volatility across all markets. Specific commentary on NIFTY, S&P/ASX 200, Nikkei 225, Nasdaq-100, S&P 500....

The S&P 500 INDEX is overbought, suggesting a potential daily reversal soon. Consider going short above yesterday's close or at today's close or...