Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo</li>
<li>Credit markets widened on Friday, with the iTraxx X-Over increasing 8 bps to 304 bps.</li>
<li>European bourses declined 0.1-1.3%, except for the IBEX 35 (+1.0%). In the US, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq fell 1.3% and 2.2%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo
Credit markets widened on Friday, with the iTraxx X-Over increasing 8 bps to 304 bps.
European bourses declined 0.1-1.3%, except for the IBEX 35 (+1.0%). In the US, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq fell 1.3% and 2.2%, respectively.


Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief: Lenovo (992 HK)

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>In the markets we follow, China, Gold and the JPY most impacted</li>
<li>Which ones should we fade and where has the trend changed?</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
In the markets we follow, China, Gold and the JPY most impacted
Which ones should we fade and where has the trend changed?


Overview #12 - Not Another Trump Trade!Time to Fade?

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Observing implied volatility across 16 markets plus gold provides a picture of falling implied volatility, despite dispersion in market performance.</li>
<li>Several, but not all, markets display moderation from unusual volatility levels to a more balanced implied volatility structure.</li>
<li>The realignment of implied volatility across markets presents potential relative value opportunities.</li>
</ul>


Observing implied volatility across 16 markets plus gold provides a picture of falling implied volatility, despite dispersion in market performance.
Several, but not all, markets display moderation from unusual volatility levels to a more balanced implied volatility structure.
The realignment of implied volatility across markets presents potential relative value opportunities.


EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility – Consistently Declining Volatility Amid Mixed Markets

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside constructive market dynamics which have significantly improved over the past week.</li>
<li>Last week's 11/5/24 report titled "Buy the Pullback" discussed how we were buyers, expecting a strong end-of-year rally to start that day or the following day (day after the election)</li>
<li>The strong rally officially started on election day, and all that is left to do is ride the trend higher into year-end and the early part of 2025</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside constructive market dynamics which have significantly improved over the past week.
Last week's 11/5/24 report titled "Buy the Pullback" discussed how we were buyers, expecting a strong end-of-year rally to start that day or the following day (day after the election)
The strong rally officially started on election day, and all that is left to do is ride the trend higher into year-end and the early part of 2025


Ride the Trend Higher; Significant End-Of-Year Rally Underway; Four Sector Upgrades, One Downgrade

<ul>
<li>It was a quiet day yesterday, with no major data releases given the Veterans Day holiday in the US.</li>
<li>US equities rose for the fifth straight session, albeit gains were modest, with the S&amp;P 500 inching up 0.1% to c. 6,000. The Dollar Index hovered at a one-year high.</li>
<li>Bitcoin rallied past the USD 89,000 mark, lifting the entire crypto market above its pandemic-era peak. </li>
</ul>


It was a quiet day yesterday, with no major data releases given the Veterans Day holiday in the US.
US equities rose for the fifth straight session, albeit gains were modest, with the S&amp;P 500 inching up 0.1% to c. 6,000. The Dollar Index hovered at a one-year high.
Bitcoin rallied past the USD 89,000 mark, lifting the entire crypto market above its pandemic-era peak. 


United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief: Lenovo (992 HK)

In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: LenovoCredit markets widened on Friday,...

Lucror Analytics

Overview #12 - Not Another Trump Trade!Time to Fade?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the some post election trends in China, Japan and Precious...

Rikki Malik

EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility – Consistently Declining Volatility Amid Mixed Markets

Despite varying market performances, implied volatility is generally decreasing across 16 equity markets and gold. The realignment might offer...

Gaudenz Schneider

Ride the Trend Higher; Significant End-Of-Year Rally Underway; Four Sector Upgrades, One Downgrade

Ride the Trend Higher; Significant End-of-Year Rally Underway $SPX $QQQ $IWM; Four Sector Upgrades ($XLF to overweight, $XLY $XLI and $IYT to...

Vermilion Research

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

US equities rose for the fifth straight session, albeit gains were modest, with the S&P 500 inching up 0.1% to c. 6,000. The Dollar Index hovered...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief: Lenovo (992 HK)

In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: LenovoCredit markets widened on Friday,...

Lucror Analytics

Overview #12 - Not Another Trump Trade!Time to Fade?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the some post election trends in China, Japan and Precious...

Rikki Malik

EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility – Consistently Declining Volatility Amid Mixed Markets

​Despite varying market performances, implied volatility is generally decreasing across 16 equity markets and gold. The realignment might offer...

Gaudenz Schneider

Ride the Trend Higher; Significant End-Of-Year Rally Underway; Four Sector Upgrades, One Downgrade

Ride the Trend Higher; Significant End-of-Year Rally Underway $SPX $QQQ $IWM; Four Sector Upgrades ($XLF to overweight, $XLY $XLI and $IYT to...

Vermilion Research

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

US equities rose for the fifth straight session, albeit gains were modest, with the S&P 500 inching up 0.1% to c. 6,000. The Dollar Index hovered...

Lucror Analytics

Despite varying market performances, implied volatility is generally decreasing across 16 equity markets and gold. The realignment might offer...