Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I  tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bossini-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4085:1" rel="noopener">Bossini International (592 HK)</a> low-balled scrip Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viva-goods-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15864:1" rel="noopener">Viva Goods (933 HK)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> also suspended due to the Takeovers code. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">GJS (2611 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:166:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities (600837 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">TCM (570 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dyna-mac-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16153:1" rel="noopener">Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP)</a> </li>
</ul>


I  tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deals discussed this week: Bossini International (592 HK) low-balled scrip Offer from Viva Goods (933 HK). Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) also suspended due to the Takeovers code. 
Key updates took place on: GJS (2611 HK)/Haitong Securities (600837 CH), Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU), TCM (570 HK) and Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP) 


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: GJS/Haitong, Fuji Soft, Bossini, Dyna-Mac, Beijing Capital Grand, TCM

<ul>
<li>I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto (RIO AU)</a>'s tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities  (H) (6837 HK)</a> merger.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-zinc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17944:1" rel="noopener">Korea Zinc (010130 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals discussed this week: Rio Tinto (RIO AU)'s tilt for Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), and the Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)/Haitong Securities  (H) (6837 HK) merger.
Key updates took place on: Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) and Korea Zinc (010130 KS).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Rio/Arcadium, Seven & I, Pacific Smiles, China TCM, Korea Zinc

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>As designed, the JPX-Nikkei400 Index is something of a disaster. It aims to be slightly 'smart' vs other cap-weighted indices like TOPIX, but tracking error vs TOPIX is de minimus.</li>
<li>This year, in week 1, the ADD vs DELETE performance is positive. If we sector-hedge the ADDs vs DELETEs, it's doing even better.</li>
<li>This is probably due to relatively low pre-positioning, and cares. Momentum suggests one could be long ADDs vs DELETEs. And there is the perennial trade to watch out for.</li>
</ul>


As designed, the JPX-Nikkei400 Index is something of a disaster. It aims to be slightly 'smart' vs other cap-weighted indices like TOPIX, but tracking error vs TOPIX is de minimus.
This year, in week 1, the ADD vs DELETE performance is positive. If we sector-hedge the ADDs vs DELETEs, it's doing even better.
This is probably due to relatively low pre-positioning, and cares. Momentum suggests one could be long ADDs vs DELETEs. And there is the perennial trade to watch out for.


2022 JPX Nikkei 400 Rebal Update - Going the Right Way

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Equity Capital Markets

Samty Residential Investment / Equity Capital Markets

Today after market-close, small-cap residential JREIT <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samty-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31049:1" rel="noopener">Samty Residential Investment (3459 JP)</a> launched a follow-on equity offering (<a href="https://www.samty-residential.com/file/news-4cc7711e97dee5986a62fe2ec3ff5b9eca89d0f2.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">J-only</a>) to fund part of their recent property acquisition.The primary public offer quantity is 57,868 units and there is an over-allotment quantity of 2,893 units. The total size of the public offering could be approximately ¥7.9bn (~US$70mn).In addition to the public offering portion, there will be a third party allocation of 70,339 units which will be allocated for their Sponsor Group <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samty-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18956:1" rel="noopener">Samty Co Ltd (3244 JP)</a> and Daiwa Securities with whom they have a Sponsor Support Agreement. This portion could collectively amount to another ¥9.1bn (~US$83mn). The Offer Price will be determined between 19th July and 27th July 2021 (typically it has been the first day of this window for most JREIT offerings) and the business day following the offer price determination day ("Pricing Date") will be the Application Period. More below the fold.

Today after market-close, small-cap residential JREIT Samty Residential Investment (3459 JP) launched a follow-on equity offering (J-only) to fund part of their recent property acquisition.The primary public offer quantity is 57,868 units and there is an over-allotment quantity of 2,893 units. The total size of the public offering could be approximately ¥7.9bn (~US$70mn).In addition to the public offering portion, there will be a third party allocation of 70,339 units which will be allocated for their Sponsor Group Samty Co Ltd (3244 JP) and Daiwa Securities with whom they have a Sponsor Support Agreement. This portion could collectively amount to another ¥9.1bn (~US$83mn). The Offer Price will be determined between 19th July and 27th July 2021 (typically it has been the first day of this window for most JREIT offerings) and the business day following the offer price determination day ("Pricing Date") will be the Application Period. More below the fold.

JREIT Offering: Samty Residential (3459 JP) - Take It (Vs Comps)

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

• RESULTS - 30th MARCH • <figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/198/242/original/image_63264034621617139328848.png?1617139329" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="198242"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics  </div>RESULTS - Only one-quarter of Tuesday's results announcements scored positively. Of the larger caps, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samty-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18956:1" rel="noopener">Samty (3244 JP)</a> fell into the red for the first time since listing, while at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nishimatsuya-chain-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13375:1" rel="noopener">Nishimatsuya Chain (7545 JP)</a>, the earnings momentum may have peaked; however, there was a slight improvement in the company's Forecast/Revision Score as the company looks forward to FY22.   <figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/198/243/original/image_48031735431617139751335.png?1617139751" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="198243"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/198/244/original/image_10841378641617139785703.png?1617139786" class="editor-image img-responsive"></figure>• FORECASTS/REVISIONS - 30th MARCH •<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/198/245/original/image_80824717151617139973935.png?1617139974" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="198245"></figure>FORECASTS/REVISIONS - Of the 18 annual forecasts and revisions, only half scored positively. The DETAIL Section below focuses on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nishimatsuya-chain-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13375:1" rel="noopener">Nishimatsuya Chain (7545 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-mall-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5262:1" rel="noopener">AEON Mall (8905 JP)</a>.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/198/246/original/image_74897330061617140317631.png?1617140318" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="198246"></figure>

• RESULTS - 30th MARCH • Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics  RESULTS - Only one-quarter of Tuesday's results announcements scored positively. Of the larger caps, Samty (3244 JP) fell into the red for the first time since listing, while at Nishimatsuya Chain (7545 JP), the earnings momentum may have peaked; however, there was a slight improvement in the company's Forecast/Revision Score as the company looks forward to FY22.   • FORECASTS/REVISIONS - 30th MARCH •FORECASTS/REVISIONS - Of the 18 annual forecasts and revisions, only half scored positively. The DETAIL Section below focuses on Nishimatsuya Chain (7545 JP) and AEON Mall (8905 JP).

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 03/​​​​​​​​​30 - AEON Mall & Nishimatsuya + Nomura

Japan

Samty Co.,Ltd. develops, sells, and leases real estate.  The Company also operates a hotel business.

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Samty Co Ltd (3244 JP)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: GJS/Haitong, Fuji Soft, Bossini, Dyna-Mac, Beijing Capital Grand, TCM

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Rio/Arcadium, Seven & I, Pacific Smiles, China TCM, Korea Zinc

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

2022 JPX Nikkei 400 Rebal Update - Going the Right Way

JPX Nikkei 400 rebalance is going the right way in the 6 trading days so far, and it wasn't done on Day1 (which was lacklustre). It may be under...

Travis Lundy

JREIT Offering: Samty Residential (3459 JP) - Take It (Vs Comps)

The Samty Residential offering is a small offering on a small REIT with a higher-than-market and higher-than-size-cohort dividend yield. Follow the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 03/30 - AEON Mall & Nishimatsuya + Nomura

RESULTS - Only one-quarter of Tuesday's results announcements scored positively. Of the larger caps, Samty (3244 JP) fell into the red for the...

Campbell Gunn

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: GJS/Haitong, Fuji Soft, Bossini, Dyna-Mac, Beijing Capital Grand, TCM

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Rio/Arcadium, Seven & I, Pacific Smiles, China TCM, Korea Zinc

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

2022 JPX Nikkei 400 Rebal Update - Going the Right Way

JPX Nikkei 400 rebalance is going the right way in the 6 trading days so far, and it wasn't done on Day1 (which was lacklustre). It may be under...

Travis Lundy

JREIT Offering: Samty Residential (3459 JP) - Take It (Vs Comps)

The Samty Residential offering is a small offering on a small REIT with a higher-than-market and higher-than-size-cohort dividend yield. Follow the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 03/​​​​​​​​​30 - AEON Mall & Nishimatsuya + Nomura

RESULTS - Only one-quarter of Tuesday's results announcements scored positively. Of the larger caps, Samty (3244 JP) fell into the red for the...

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 03/30 - AEON Mall & Nishimatsuya + Nomura