Materials Analyst/Strategist, Janus Analysis

Gaius King

Materials Analyst/Strategist

Janus Analysis

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>COVID-19 disruption will last longer than many are forecasting</li>
<li>China property sales very weak, as is its domestic rebar utilisation</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a> has decades of probable production in front of it</li>
<li>Forecast <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU)</a> evaluating 2nd takeover bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)</a> </li>
<li>Boda could be a company maker for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alkane-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19111:1" rel="noopener">Alkane Resources (ALK AU)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-billiton-ltd-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5424:1" rel="noopener">Bhp Billiton Ltd (Adr) (BHP US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortescue-metals-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41:1" rel="noopener">Fortescue Metals (FMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yellow-cake-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27844:1" rel="noopener">Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/syrah-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1978:1" rel="noopener">Syrah Resources (SYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walkabout-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16753:1" rel="noopener">Walkabout Resources (WKT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orocobre-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13914:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Resources (GXY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alkane-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19111:1" rel="noopener">Alkane Resources (ALK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spdr-gold-shares" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8632:1" rel="noopener">SPDR Gold Shares (GLD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sandstorm-gold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25752:1" rel="noopener">Sandstorm Gold (SSL CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jameson-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1923:1" rel="noopener">Jameson Resources (JAL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paladin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10117:1" rel="noopener">Paladin Energy (PDN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atrum-coal-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9553:1" rel="noopener">Atrum Coal Nl (ATU AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/catalyst-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4293:1" rel="noopener">Catalyst Metals (CYL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emmerson-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18705:1" rel="noopener">Emmerson Resources (ERM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exore-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16357:1" rel="noopener">Exore Resources (ERX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stavely-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20213:1" rel="noopener">Stavely Minerals (SVY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bellevue-gold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2297:1" rel="noopener">Bellevue Gold (BGL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allegiance-coal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14443:1" rel="noopener">Allegiance Coal (AHQ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/breaker-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19210:1" rel="noopener">Breaker Resources Nl (BRB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lion-one-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28159:1" rel="noopener">Lion One Metals Ltd (LLO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28181:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Minerals Ltd (BSX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poseidon-nickel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12760:1" rel="noopener">Poseidon Nickel (POS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources Nl (MCR AU)</a> </li>
</ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/121/872/original/Table%201.png?1583703969" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="121872"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/121/873/original/Table%202.png?1583703993" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="121873"></figure>


COVID-19 disruption will last longer than many are forecasting
China property sales very weak, as is its domestic rebar utilisation

Gold Road Resources (GOR AU) has decades of probable production in front of it
Forecast Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU) evaluating 2nd takeover bid for Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU) 
Boda could be a company maker for Alkane Resources (ALK AU) 

Bhp Billiton Ltd (Adr) (BHP US), Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU), Fortescue Metals (FMG AU), Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN), Gold Road Resources (GOR AU), Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU), Syrah Resources (SYR AU), Walkabout Resources (WKT AU), Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU), Galaxy Resources (GXY AU), Alkane Resources (ALK AU), SPDR Gold Shares (GLD US), Sandstorm Gold (SSL CN), Jameson Resources (JAL AU), Paladin Energy (PDN AU), Atrum Coal Nl (ATU AU), Catalyst Metals (CYL AU), Emmerson Resources (ERM AU), Exore Resources (ERX AU), Stavely Minerals (SVY AU), Bellevue Gold (BGL AU), Allegiance Coal (AHQ AU), Breaker Resources Nl (BRB AU), Lion One Metals Ltd (LLO AU), Blackstone Minerals Ltd (BSX AU), Poseidon Nickel (POS AU), Mincor Resources Nl (MCR AU) 


New J. Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 08/03/20) Abridged

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Evaluate "what is Money?" How does one maintain purchasing power (PPS) over time</li>
<li>Est. Berkshire cash holdings have lost US$15.7Bn in PPS over past 12-years</li>
<li>Eschewing Gold, Buffet over the same period has foregone US$88.5Bn NPV</li>
<li>Historical Gold demand/supply dynamics </li>
<li>Universal decline in PPS of Fiat currencies</li>
<li> GBP and USD have only retained 7.2% and 13.3% of their PPS over past 50-years</li>
<li>Rise of negative rates means that Gold is a form of cost free PPS</li>
<li>Crypto-currencies have no external assets to under-write their existence</li>
<li>Durability and non-counterfeitability preclude crypto-currencies as LT monetary mediums</li>
<li>Therefore, crypto-currency valuation revolves around personal view</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spdr-gold-shares" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8632:1" rel="noopener">SPDR Gold Shares (GLD US):</a> Recommendation: BUY </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sandstorm-gold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25752:1" rel="noopener">Sandstorm Gold (SSL CN):</a> Recommendation: BUY </li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bitcoin-usd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25895:1" rel="noopener">Bitcoin (XBTUSD CURNCY)</a>: Recommendation SELL</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ethereum" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25896:1" rel="noopener">Ethereum (ETH BGN CURNCY):</a> Recommendation SELL</li>
</ul>


Evaluate "what is Money?" How does one maintain purchasing power (PPS) over time
Est. Berkshire cash holdings have lost US$15.7Bn in PPS over past 12-years
Eschewing Gold, Buffet over the same period has foregone US$88.5Bn NPV
Historical Gold demand/supply dynamics 
Universal decline in PPS of Fiat currencies
 GBP and USD have only retained 7.2% and 13.3% of their PPS over past 50-years
Rise of negative rates means that Gold is a form of cost free PPS
Crypto-currencies have no external assets to under-write their existence
Durability and non-counterfeitability preclude crypto-currencies as LT monetary mediums
Therefore, crypto-currency valuation revolves around personal view

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD US): Recommendation: BUY 

Sandstorm Gold (SSL CN): Recommendation: BUY 
Bitcoin (XBTUSD CURNCY): Recommendation SELL
Ethereum (ETH BGN CURNCY): Recommendation SELL


Canada

Sandstorm Gold Ltd. acquires gold purchase agreements with companies that have advanced stage development projects or operating mines.  The Company makes an upfront cash payment to its partners and receives the right to purchase a percentage of the gold produced, for the life of the mine, at a fixed price per ounce.

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Sandstorm Gold (SSL CN)

New J. Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 08/03/20) Abridged

COVID-19 disruption will last longer than many are forecasting China property sales very weak, as is its domestic rebar utilisation Gold Road...

Gaius King

Gold Vs Cryptocurrencies

Evaluate "what is Money?" How does one maintain purchasing power (PPS) over time Est. Berkshire cash holdings have lost US$15.7Bn in PPS over past...

Gaius King

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