Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

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Subsequent to contentious allegations over a land lease agreement (LLA), on the 8 December, government-backed FELDA announced a possible <a href="https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3112207" target="_blank" rel="noopener">mandatory takeover</a> (MTO) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fgv-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2200:1" rel="noopener">FGV Holdings Bhd (FGV MK)</a> at RM1.30/share, a 2.36% premium to last close. 
FELDA, holding a 36.61% stake in FGV, additionally entered into conditional SPAs to buy the 6.10% and 7.78% stakes held by Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Retirement Fund - a statutory body which manages the pension scheme for Malaysia's public employees) and Urusharta Jamaah (an investment holding company owned by the Ministry of Finance) for RM658mn.  Those SPAs were completed on the 22 December, <a href="https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3115981" target="_blank" rel="noopener">triggering</a> an unconditional MTO. This Offer was unconditional as FELDA held 50.49% when taking into account Parties Acting in Concert (PACs).
The Offer Document was despatched on the <a href="https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3120407" target="_blank" rel="noopener">12 January</a>, with the First Closing Date on the 2 February.
The Independent Advice Circular (IAC) has now been <a href="https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3123307" target="_blank" rel="noopener">despatched</a>. Not surprisingly, the independent advisor (RHB) considers the Offer is Not Fair, but Reasonable, and therefore recommends shareholders to accept the Offer.
Irrespective, this deal is done, and is currently trading at terms.  
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More below the fold.
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Subsequent to contentious allegations over a land lease agreement (LLA), on the 8 December, government-backed FELDA announced a possible mandatory takeover (MTO) of FGV Holdings Bhd (FGV MK) at RM1.30/share, a 2.36% premium to last close. 
FELDA, holding a 36.61% stake in FGV, additionally entered into conditional SPAs to buy the 6.10% and 7.78% stakes held by Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Retirement Fund - a statutory body which manages the pension scheme for Malaysia's public employees) and Urusharta Jamaah (an investment holding company owned by the Ministry of Finance) for RM658mn.  Those SPAs were completed on the 22 December, triggering an unconditional MTO. This Offer was unconditional as FELDA held 50.49% when taking into account Parties Acting in Concert (PACs).
The Offer Document was despatched on the 12 January, with the First Closing Date on the 2 February.
The Independent Advice Circular (IAC) has now been despatched. Not surprisingly, the independent advisor (RHB) considers the Offer is Not Fair, but Reasonable, and therefore recommends shareholders to accept the Offer.
Irrespective, this deal is done, and is currently trading at terms.  


More below the fold.


SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In 2016, Singapore’s Consumer Staples Sector surged 25.8% on a capitalisation-weighted total return basis. There was a degree of consistency in the returns of the 10 biggest stocks of the Sector with total returns averaging 28.9%. </li><li>Among the 10 biggest stocks of the Consumer Staples Sector, the three best performers were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15597" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20972" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20972">Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1142" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1142">Golden Agri Resources Ltd (GGR SP)</a>. For the nine months ending 30 Sep 2016: Japfa reported operating profit of US$268.4 million, up 90% from a year ago; while GAR reported profit attributable to owners of the company at US$353.3 million compared to a loss of US$9.2 million a year ago.  Super Group was subject to a proposed acquisition by the world’s leading pure-play CPG coffee company, priced at a 62.5% premium to the preceding close.</li><li>The next two best performing sectors were Materials and Information Technology which generated capitalisation-weighted total returns of 17.3% and 14.5% respectively. All Singapore’s key GICS® Sectors generated gains in 2016, with Energy generating the smallest of the gains at 0.9%. </li></ul>

In 2016, Singapore’s Consumer Staples Sector surged 25.8% on a capitalisation-weighted total return basis. There was a degree of consistency in the returns of the 10 biggest stocks of the Sector with total returns averaging 28.9%. Among the 10 biggest stocks of the Consumer Staples Sector, the three best performers were Japfa Ltd (JAP SP), Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP) and Golden Agri Resources Ltd (GGR SP). For the nine months ending 30 Sep 2016: Japfa reported operating profit of US$268.4 million, up 90% from a year ago; while GAR reported profit attributable to owners of the company at US$353.3 million compared to a loss of US$9.2 million a year ago.  Super Group was subject to a proposed acquisition by the world’s leading pure-play CPG coffee company, priced at a 62.5% premium to the preceding close.The next two best performing sectors were Materials and Information Technology which generated capitalisation-weighted total returns of 17.3% and 14.5% respectively. All Singapore’s key GICS® Sectors generated gains in 2016, with Energy generating the smallest of the gains at 0.9%. 

2016 – a Solid Year for STI Consumer Stocks

§ The 10 biggest SGX-listed F&amp;B plays average a market cap of S$3.5 billion, and averaged a 23% gain in the 2016 year through to 26 August. Japfa, Thai Beverage PCL and Jumbo Group were the strongest performers of the 10.§ The next 10 biggest SGX-listed F&amp;B plays average a market cap of S$153 million, and also averaged a 23% gain in the 2016 year through to 26 August. Food Empire Holdings and Katrina Group were the amongst strongest performers of the 10.§ Katrina Group was incorporated in 1995…

§ The 10 biggest SGX-listed F&amp;B plays average a market cap of S$3.5 billion, and averaged a 23% gain in the 2016 year through to 26 August. Japfa, Thai Beverage PCL and Jumbo Group were the strongest performers of the 10.§ The next 10 biggest SGX-listed F&amp;B plays average a market cap of S$153 million, and also averaged a 23% gain in the 2016 year through to 26 August. Food Empire Holdings and Katrina Group were the amongst strongest performers of the 10.§ Katrina Group was incorporated in 1995…

Singapore's Strongest Food & Beverage Stocks in 2016 YTD

<ul>
<li>Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&amp;B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and internationalisation.</li>
<li>The 10 biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks in Singapore have averaged a 12.6% total return in the year thus far. This compared to 10.1% for Asia Pacific’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks and 8.9% for the world’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks.</li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19714" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19714:1">Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15597" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20972" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20972:1">Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/9051" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1">Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd</a>…</li>
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Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&amp;B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and internationalisation.
The 10 biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks in Singapore have averaged a 12.6% total return in the year thus far. This compared to 10.1% for Asia Pacific’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks and 8.9% for the world’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks.

Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP), Japfa Ltd (JAP SP), Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP), Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd…


Key Drivers of the Packaged Food Industry

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

Industrial production in Malaysia grew 2.7% y-o-y in May 2016 compared to 3.0% y-o-y in April. The slowdown seen in the latest data release comes on the back of relatively stable industrial production growth seen in the January-April period. The main contribution to industrial production came from electricity production and manufacturing, while mining continued to exhibit weakness.Electricity production grew 8.9% y-o-y in May on a 3-month moving average basis compared to 9.1% y-o-y in April…

Industrial production in Malaysia grew 2.7% y-o-y in May 2016 compared to 3.0% y-o-y in April. The slowdown seen in the latest data release comes on the back of relatively stable industrial production growth seen in the January-April period. The main contribution to industrial production came from electricity production and manufacturing, while mining continued to exhibit weakness.Electricity production grew 8.9% y-o-y in May on a 3-month moving average basis compared to 9.1% y-o-y in April…

Malaysia: Bank Negara Malaysia Cuts Rates by 25 Basis Points; Data Reflects Slowing Domestic Demand

Malaysia

Sarawak Oil Palms Berhad and its subsidiaries cultivate oil palms and operate palm oil mill.

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Sarawak Oil Palms (SOP MK)

FGV (FGB MK): IFA Says Offer Not Fair

The Offer is opportunistic, however, the MTO is unconditional. Currently trading to terms - it was 2.4%/34.2% gross/annualised return, at the time...

David Blennerhassett

2016 – a Solid Year for STI Consumer Stocks

In 2016, Singapore’s Consumer Staples Sector surged 25.8% on a capitalisation-weighted total return basis. There was a degree of consistency in...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore's Strongest Food & Beverage Stocks in 2016 YTD

§ The 10 biggest SGX-listed F&B plays average a market cap of S$3.5 billion, and averaged a 23% gain in the 2016 year through to 26 August....

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Key Drivers of the Packaged Food Industry

Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Malaysia: Bank Negara Malaysia Cuts Rates by 25 Basis Points; Data Reflects Slowing Domestic Demand

Industrial production in Malaysia grew 2.7% y-o-y in May 2016 compared to 3.0% y-o-y in April. The slowdown seen in the latest data release comes...

Rajan Govil

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