Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>GB200 NVL shipments expected to increase as KYEC boosts capital expenditure, impacting notebook shipments in November 2024.</li><li>Taiwan wafer foundry industry developments in 4Q 2024 to be discussed at TSMC investor meeting, focusing on company outlook and new US tariff policies.</li><li>South Korea's acceleration of Yongin semiconductor complex aims to establish global chip leadership, attracting key industry players amidst global semiconductor shifts and US-China chip sector investigation; Taiwan targets AI growth with SEMI's Indian Semiconductor Academy plan.</li></ul>

GB200 NVL shipments expected to increase as KYEC boosts capital expenditure, impacting notebook shipments in November 2024.Taiwan wafer foundry industry developments in 4Q 2024 to be discussed at TSMC investor meeting, focusing on company outlook and new US tariff policies.South Korea's acceleration of Yongin semiconductor complex aims to establish global chip leadership, attracting key industry players amidst global semiconductor shifts and US-China chip sector investigation; Taiwan targets AI growth with SEMI's Indian Semiconductor Academy plan.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-Dec-2024): GB200 NVL shipments to rise with KYEC's capex boost.

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Top holdings remain unchanged: TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Tencent are almost universally owned. TSMC hits record weights but active funds sell into strength as benchmark weights surpass 10%</li>
<li>Hon Hai, Hyundai Motor, and Singtel lead recoveries from prolonged declines. Baidu Inc. and Kweichow Moutai see sharp ownership drops.</li>
<li>Momentum leaders include Accton Technology, CATL, and KE Holdings. By contrast, Axis Bank, PDD, and Reliance face stalling ownership.</li>
</ul>


Top holdings remain unchanged: TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Tencent are almost universally owned. TSMC hits record weights but active funds sell into strength as benchmark weights surpass 10%
Hon Hai, Hyundai Motor, and Singtel lead recoveries from prolonged declines. Baidu Inc. and Kweichow Moutai see sharp ownership drops.
Momentum leaders include Accton Technology, CATL, and KE Holdings. By contrast, Axis Bank, PDD, and Reliance face stalling ownership.


Asia Ex-Japan Funds:  Stock Positioning Update

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD452.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD840mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, KIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD452.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD840mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, KIA.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): Samsung Electronics, KIA

<ul><li>TSMC begins mass production at Kumamoto fab as plans for third fab expansion remain uncertain.</li><li>Broadcom CEO foresees million-chip clusters as the future of AI investment frenzy.</li><li>Tata Group announces plan to generate 50,000 manufacturing jobs in EMS and semiconductor sectors.</li></ul>

TSMC begins mass production at Kumamoto fab as plans for third fab expansion remain uncertain.Broadcom CEO foresees million-chip clusters as the future of AI investment frenzy.Tata Group announces plan to generate 50,000 manufacturing jobs in EMS and semiconductor sectors.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Dec-2024): TSMC starts Kumamoto fab amid 3rd fab expansion uncertainty.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Micron's Q1F25 met expectations on key metrics but the ~9% downward guidance for the current quarter sent the share price into a tailspin</li>
<li>Consumer-Related inventory issues and China competition were highlighted as the root causes for the surprise downward guide</li>
<li>Micron is ok to cede legacy products to China competition and focus instead on the much more lucrative leading edge products, especially HBM. The transition could be rocky however</li>
</ul>


Micron's Q1F25 met expectations on key metrics but the ~9% downward guidance for the current quarter sent the share price into a tailspin
Consumer-Related inventory issues and China competition were highlighted as the root causes for the surprise downward guide
Micron is ok to cede legacy products to China competition and focus instead on the much more lucrative leading edge products, especially HBM. The transition could be rocky however


Micron. So Long Legacy & Hello There HBM, Data Center & Leading Edge

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-Dec-2024): GB200 NVL shipments to rise with KYEC's capex boost.

November 2024 sees increasing GB200 NVL notebook shipments as Taiwan wafer foundry industry develops, TSMC investor meeting discusses new US tariff...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Stock Positioning Update

Top holdings remain unchanged: TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Tencent are almost universally owned. TSMC hits record weights but active funds sell...

Steven Holden

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): Samsung Electronics, KIA

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, KIA.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Dec-2024): TSMC starts Kumamoto fab amid 3rd fab expansion uncertainty.

TSMC ramps up production at Kumamoto fab, uncertain on 3rd fab, Broadcom CEO predicts million-chip clusters for AI, Tata Group to create 50,000...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Micron. So Long Legacy & Hello There HBM, Data Center & Leading Edge

Micron is ok to cede legacy products to China & focus instead on the much more lucrative leading edge products, especially HBM. The transition...

William Keating

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