Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Artificial intelligence granted sovereign status, with autonomous decision-making capabilities, gaining power and authority.</li><li>Fujifilm Taiwan expands by building a new plant in Hsinchu, while ASM grows in proximity to TSMC and suppliers in Taiwan.</li><li>China issues a warning to Biden and Trump with an export ban on gallium and germanium, impacting US industries; Marvell sees strong 3Q24 results boosted by high demand for AI silicon.</li></ul>

Artificial intelligence granted sovereign status, with autonomous decision-making capabilities, gaining power and authority.Fujifilm Taiwan expands by building a new plant in Hsinchu, while ASM grows in proximity to TSMC and suppliers in Taiwan.China issues a warning to Biden and Trump with an export ban on gallium and germanium, impacting US industries; Marvell sees strong 3Q24 results boosted by high demand for AI silicon.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Dec-2024): AI sovereignty.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>Kioxia is planning to offer its IPO on 18 December 2024.  This Insight profiles Kioxia and its market.</li>
<li>NAND flash, Kioxia's product, is a commodity, and that results in dramatic price, revenue, and margin swings.</li>
<li>Kioxia is in a joint venture that provides excellent scale economies which are offset by a supply agreement that amplifies troubles caused by oversupplies</li>
</ul>


Kioxia is planning to offer its IPO on 18 December 2024.  This Insight profiles Kioxia and its market.
NAND flash, Kioxia's product, is a commodity, and that results in dramatic price, revenue, and margin swings.
Kioxia is in a joint venture that provides excellent scale economies which are offset by a supply agreement that amplifies troubles caused by oversupplies


Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Kioxia has announced the terms for its IPO, and plans to raise $730m through issuing new shares as well as offer by existing shareholders, at a market capitalisation of $819bn.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> 's earnings have been volatile and margins have trailed compared to peers Micron and SK Hynix. Earnings are approaching a new peak.</li>
<li>Kioxia’s implied valuation multiples are at a deep discount to peer multiples, suggesting there is significant upside to the indicative IPO price range.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia has announced the terms for its IPO, and plans to raise $730m through issuing new shares as well as offer by existing shareholders, at a market capitalisation of $819bn.

Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) 's earnings have been volatile and margins have trailed compared to peers Micron and SK Hynix. Earnings are approaching a new peak.
Kioxia’s implied valuation multiples are at a deep discount to peer multiples, suggesting there is significant upside to the indicative IPO price range.


Kioxia IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Korea Zinc, JYP, SK Hynix.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Korea Zinc, JYP, SK Hynix.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 29th):Korea Zinc, JYP, SK Hynix

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> is aiming to raise around US$840m (including over-allocation) in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>It was the world’s largest pure-play NAND flash memory supplier, in terms of both revenue and unit shipments in 2023, according to TechInsights.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) is aiming to raise around US$840m (including over-allocation) in its Japan IPO.
It was the world’s largest pure-play NAND flash memory supplier, in terms of both revenue and unit shipments in 2023, according to TechInsights.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Kioxia IPO - Should Price at the Top, Though Peers Are Still Correcting

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Dec-2024): AI sovereignty.

AI granted sovereign power, Fujifilm Taiwan builds in Hsinchu, ASM expands near TSMC, China threatens US industries, Marvell sees strong 3Q24,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Understanding Kioxia, A Worthwhile IPO?

With Kioxia's upcoming IPO prospective stockholders need to consider the challenges of the volatile NAND flash market, Kioxia's competition, and...

Jim Handy

Kioxia IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

Kioxia's implied valuation multiples are at a deep discounts to peer multiples. The company’s earnings have been volatile and margins have trailed...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 29th):Korea Zinc, JYP, SK Hynix

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Korea Zinc, JYP, SK Hynix.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Kioxia IPO - Should Price at the Top, Though Peers Are Still Correcting

Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) is aiming to raise around US$840m (including over-allocation) in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Dec-2024): AI sovereignty.

AI granted sovereign power, Fujifilm Taiwan builds in Hsinchu, ASM expands near TSMC, China threatens US industries, Marvell sees strong 3Q24,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Understanding Kioxia, A Worthwhile IPO?

With ​Kioxia's upcoming IPO prospective stockholders need to consider the challenges of the volatile NAND flash market, Kioxia's competition, and...

Jim Handy

Kioxia IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

Kioxia's implied valuation multiples are at a deep discounts to peer multiples. The company’s earnings have been volatile and margins have trailed...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 29th):Korea Zinc, JYP, SK Hynix

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Korea Zinc, JYP, SK Hynix.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Kioxia IPO - Should Price at the Top, Though Peers Are Still Correcting

Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) is aiming to raise around US$840m (including over-allocation) in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Sumeet Singh

With Kioxia's upcoming IPO prospective stockholders need to consider the challenges of the volatile NAND flash market, Kioxia's competition, and...