ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cisarua-mountain-dairy-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34999:1" rel="noopener">Cisarua Mountain Dairy,</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia,</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings</a>.</li>
<li>There was also a macro insight on Malaysian Rubber, an index rebalance insight for IDX30, LQ45, and IDX80 in Indonesia and a shortlist of top stock picks in the Philippines.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Grab Holdings, Cisarua Mountain Dairy,Bank Central Asia, Bank Negara Indonesia, and Malaysia Airports Holdings.
There was also a macro insight on Malaysian Rubber, an index rebalance insight for IDX30, LQ45, and IDX80 in Indonesia and a shortlist of top stock picks in the Philippines.
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Grab's New Fleet, Cimory, and Bank Central Asia

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Japfa Comfeed Indonesia / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30 Index, and 3 changes each for the LQ45 Index and IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>The largest passive flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indocement-tunggal-prakarsa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4040:1" rel="noopener">Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dayamitra-telekomunikasi-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34741:1" rel="noopener">Dayamitra Telekomunikasi</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/map-aktif-adiperkasa-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27291:1" rel="noopener">MAP Aktif Adiperkasa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri Persero</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ciputra-development-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5513:1" rel="noopener">Ciputra Development</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata</a>.</li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30 Index, and 3 changes each for the LQ45 Index and IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 31 January.
The largest passive flows are expected in Bank Central Asia, Indosat, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa, Dayamitra Telekomunikasi, MAP Aktif Adiperkasa, Bank Mandiri Persero, Ciputra Development and XL Axiata.
With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sariguna-primatirta-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33584:1" rel="noopener">Sariguna Primatirta Tbk PT (CLEO IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siloam-international-hospitals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:878:1" rel="noopener">Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ)</a>
</li>
<li>There were also insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aspirasi-hidup-indonesia-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a>, the upcoming index rebalancing in Thailand, and top picks in the Philippines from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sameer-taneja-a0539e0c-84dd-4e66-9c40-6e598edfb4c5" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:352" rel="noopener">Sameer Taneja</a>. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ), Sariguna Primatirta Tbk PT (CLEO IJ), and Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ)

There were also insights on Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ), Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB), the upcoming index rebalancing in Thailand, and top picks in the Philippines from Sameer Taneja. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA's Slower Expectations, BRI's Ultra Attractive, and ACES

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

Surya Semesta Internusa / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We believe SSIA's success in housing BYD could attract other players in the EV ecosystem, supported by the future main export port Patimban.</li><li>We expect a 10% CAGR in net profit in FY25-29F, driven by 80-90ha sales in Subang and a 50% gross profit contribution from non-land business.</li><li>We reinitiate SSIA with a Buy rating on attractive growth profile; our TP of Rp1,400 is derived from 73% discount to our revised RNAV.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We believe SSIA's success in housing BYD could attract other players in the EV ecosystem, supported by the future main export port Patimban.We expect a 10% CAGR in net profit in FY25-29F, driven by 80-90ha sales in Subang and a 50% gross profit contribution from non-land business.We reinitiate SSIA with a Buy rating on attractive growth profile; our TP of Rp1,400 is derived from 73% discount to our revised RNAV.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Surya Semesta Internusa - Potential Future Hub of Indonesia’s EV Ecosystem

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1670" rel="noopener">Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP)</a> sold ~75% of Sky Eden@Bedok at S$2,100psf on first day of launch</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oxley-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1097" rel="noopener">Oxley Holdings (OHL SP)</a> to issue dividend in specie of Aspen Group (ASPEN SP) shares</li><li>HDB resale prices continued upward momentum of +0.4% MoM growth in Aug22; But price gains have slowed down</li></ul>

Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP) sold ~75% of Sky Eden@Bedok at S$2,100psf on first day of launchOxley Holdings (OHL SP) to issue dividend in specie of Aspen Group (ASPEN SP) sharesHDB resale prices continued upward momentum of +0.4% MoM growth in Aug22; But price gains have slowed down

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (9Sep22) - FPL Sold ~75% Sky Eden@Bedok at Launch Day

Indonesia

PT Surya Semesta Internusa Tbk and its subsidiaries develop and manage industrial and residential real estates, provide construction services, and manufacture building materials. The Company also operates hotels and provides information technology-related businesses design to support its main businesses.

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Surya Semesta Internusa (SSIA IJ)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Grab's New Fleet, Cimory, and Bank Central Asia

The past week saw insights on Grab Holdings, Cisarua Mountain Dairy, Bank Central Asia, Bank Negara Indonesia, and Malaysia Airports Holdings.

Angus Mackintosh

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation

There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30, and 3 each for LQ45 and IDX80 indices to be implemented at the close 31 Jan. There are stocks with...

Brian Freitas

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA's Slower Expectations, BRI's Ultra Attractive, and ACES

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Surya Semesta Internusa - Potential Future Hub of Indonesia’s EV Ecosystem

We believe SSIA's success in housing BYD could attract other players in the EV ecosystem, supported by the future main export port Patimban.

BRI Danareksa Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (9Sep22) - FPL Sold ~75% Sky Eden@Bedok at Launch Day

OHL to issue dividend in specie of ASPEN; HDB resale price rose at slower pace in Aug22; Horizon Towers, Sultan Plaza back on market; SSIA swung...

SCCM Asia Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Grab's New Fleet, Cimory, and Bank Central Asia

The past week saw insights on Grab Holdings, Cisarua Mountain Dairy, Bank Central Asia, Bank Negara Indonesia, and Malaysia Airports Holdings.

Angus Mackintosh

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation

There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30, and 3 each for LQ45 and IDX80 indices to be implemented at the close 31 Jan. There are stocks with...

Brian Freitas

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA's Slower Expectations, BRI's Ultra Attractive, and ACES

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Surya Semesta Internusa - Potential Future Hub of Indonesia’s EV Ecosystem

We believe SSIA's success in housing BYD could attract other players in the EV ecosystem, supported by the future main export port Patimban.

BRI Danareksa Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (9Sep22) - FPL Sold ~75% Sky Eden@Bedok at Launch Day

OHL to issue dividend in specie of ASPEN; HDB resale price rose at slower pace in Aug22; Horizon Towers, Sultan Plaza back on market; SSIA swung...

SCCM Asia Research

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation