Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC 4Q24 Gross Margin Comes In At High End of Range; Profit +57% YoY</li>
<li>TSMC's Latest Strong Capex Guidance is Good News for Industry Sentiment</li>
<li>Long-Term Gross Margins -- Will Recently High Gross Margins Become a "New Normal"?</li>
</ul>


TSMC 4Q24 Gross Margin Comes In At High End of Range; Profit +57% YoY
TSMC's Latest Strong Capex Guidance is Good News for Industry Sentiment
Long-Term Gross Margins -- Will Recently High Gross Margins Become a "New Normal"?


TSMC 4Q24 Results Signal Multi-Year Market Share Gains; Margin Strength; Sustainable Industry Growth

<ul>
<li>TSMC Results Today; Arizona Production of 4nm Started, Yield on Par with Taiwan</li>
<li>TSMC Q424 Earnings Preview, 2025 Outlook &amp; Q125 Look Ahead </li>
<li>Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Convertible Sale; Delta Thailand Should Underperform Vs Parent Co </li>
</ul>


TSMC Results Today; Arizona Production of 4nm Started, Yield on Par with Taiwan
TSMC Q424 Earnings Preview, 2025 Outlook &amp; Q125 Look Ahead 
Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Convertible Sale; Delta Thailand Should Underperform Vs Parent Co 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Results; Earnings Preview; Delta Thailand Convertible

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>December 2024 revenues of NT$278.16 billion, up 0.8% MoM and up a remarkable 57.8% YoY. It was the second highest monthly revenue in the company’s history.</li>
<li>Q424 revenue amounted to NT$868,460. At the company’s forecasted exchange rate for Q4,  NT$32 to the US$, this amounts to $27.14 billion, the company’s highest quarterly revenue ever</li>
<li>We expect 2025 to be another growth year for TSMC, likely in the mid to high teens range. Expect Q125 to be down ~5% QoQ based on normal seasonality.</li>
</ul>


December 2024 revenues of NT$278.16 billion, up 0.8% MoM and up a remarkable 57.8% YoY. It was the second highest monthly revenue in the company’s history.
Q424 revenue amounted to NT$868,460. At the company’s forecasted exchange rate for Q4,  NT$32 to the US$, this amounts to $27.14 billion, the company’s highest quarterly revenue ever
We expect 2025 to be another growth year for TSMC, likely in the mid to high teens range. Expect Q125 to be down ~5% QoQ based on normal seasonality.


TSMC Q424 Earnings Preview, 2025 & Q125 Look Ahead

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>There is a great opportunity for someone joining an advanced semiconductor manufacturing camp because there could be fewer players in the field.  </li>
<li>For a long time, TSMC production staff have won better bonuses in the company, meaning they might be able to overcome the difficulties in production.  </li>
<li>Rapidus might need another 5 years or more to become profitable if everything runs smoothly for 2nm technology. </li>
</ul>


There is a great opportunity for someone joining an advanced semiconductor manufacturing camp because there could be fewer players in the field.  
For a long time, TSMC production staff have won better bonuses in the company, meaning they might be able to overcome the difficulties in production.  
Rapidus might need another 5 years or more to become profitable if everything runs smoothly for 2nm technology. 


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say.

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +28.4% Premium; Near-All-Time High, Good Level to Short the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -0.4% Discount; Fifth Consecutive Month of Increase in ADR Headroom</li>
<li>CHT: -0.9% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +28.4% Premium; Near-All-Time High, Good Level to Short the Spread
UMC: -0.4% Discount; Fifth Consecutive Month of Increase in ADR Headroom
CHT: -0.9% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Near All-Time Highs; CHT Rare Discount Level

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Results; Earnings Preview; Delta Thailand Convertible

TSMC results to be released today, with reports that its Arizona production of 4nm chips is matching Taiwan's yield. Will Japan's Rapidus threaten...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC Q424 Earnings Preview, 2025 & Q125 Look Ahead

We expect 2025 to be another growth year for TSMC, likely in the mid to high teens range. Expect Q125 to be down ~5% QoQ based on normal seasonality.

William Keating

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say.

Joining an advanced semi manufacturing camp could be a lucrative opportunity with fewer competitors, as Rapidus works on licensing IBM's 2nm GAA...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Near All-Time Highs; CHT Rare Discount Level

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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TSMC 4Q24 Results Signal Multi-Year Market Share Gains; Margin Strength; Sustainable Industry Growth

​TSMC's strong 4Q24 performance and capex guidance suggest a positive outlook for the industry. We delve into key factors signaling why TSMC's...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Results; Earnings Preview; Delta Thailand Convertible

​TSMC results to be released today, with reports that its Arizona production of 4nm chips is matching Taiwan's yield. Will Japan's Rapidus threaten...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC Q424 Earnings Preview, 2025 & Q125 Look Ahead

We expect 2025 to be another growth year for TSMC, likely in the mid to high teens range. Expect Q125 to be down ~5% QoQ based on normal seasonality.

William Keating

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say.

​Joining an advanced semi manufacturing camp could be a lucrative opportunity with fewer competitors, as Rapidus works on licensing IBM's 2nm GAA...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Near All-Time Highs; CHT Rare Discount Level

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC's strong 4Q24 performance and capex guidance suggest a positive outlook for the industry. We delve into key factors signaling why TSMC's...

TSMC results to be released today, with reports that its Arizona production of 4nm chips is matching Taiwan's yield. Will Japan's Rapidus threaten...

Joining an advanced semi manufacturing camp could be a lucrative opportunity with fewer competitors, as Rapidus works on licensing IBM's 2nm GAA...