Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> established "Intel Foundry Services" in 2021, but it has not shown notable performance until now.</li>
<li>There is some pessimism regarding providing foundry services in the US.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> should provide foundry services to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> and potentially other common clients as well.  </li>
</ul>



Intel Corp (INTC US) established "Intel Foundry Services" in 2021, but it has not shown notable performance until now.
There is some pessimism regarding providing foundry services in the US.  

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) should provide foundry services to Intel Corp (INTC US) and potentially other common clients as well.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?(II)

<ul>
<li>The US-China trade war has shaped a new trend: Advanced and Matured Technologies led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> respectively.</li>
<li>Notably, construction of semiconductor fabs in Singapore seems to be of lesser concern at the moment.</li>
<li>The emergence of AI offers new hope, not only for advanced semiconductor technology but also for lagging technologies.</li>
</ul>


The US-China trade war has shaped a new trend: Advanced and Matured Technologies led by Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) respectively.
Notably, construction of semiconductor fabs in Singapore seems to be of lesser concern at the moment.
The emergence of AI offers new hope, not only for advanced semiconductor technology but also for lagging technologies.


The US-China Trade War Is Likely to Split the Semiconductor Industry into Two Groups.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +25.4% Premium; At Historical Highs, Good Level to Short the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: +2.1% Premium; Upper Level of Historical Range, Short Level</li>
<li>ASE: +5.4% Premium; Near-Term High However Likely Best to Wait for Higher Levels</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +25.4% Premium; At Historical Highs, Good Level to Short the Spread
UMC: +2.1% Premium; Upper Level of Historical Range, Short Level
ASE: +5.4% Premium; Near-Term High However Likely Best to Wait for Higher Levels


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADR Spread Near All-Time Highs; UMC at Upper End of Range

<ul>
<li>Rapidus vs. TSMC: Can Japan's Newcomer Compete in the 2nm Race?</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: The Emerging Mass-Market Edge AI Need for Mobiles; Long Micron Vs. Short Nanya Tech </li>
<li>Hon Hai Pauses Nissan Pursuit Amid Honda Talks -- A Japanese Savior for Nissan is Likely But This Confirms Hon Hai's EV Ambitions Remain High</li>
</ul>


Rapidus vs. TSMC: Can Japan's Newcomer Compete in the 2nm Race?
Memory Monitor: The Emerging Mass-Market Edge AI Need for Mobiles; Long Micron Vs. Short Nanya Tech 
Hon Hai Pauses Nissan Pursuit Amid Honda Talks -- A Japanese Savior for Nissan is Likely But This Confirms Hon Hai's EV Ambitions Remain High


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Rapidus's Challenge Vs. TSMC for 2nm; Hon Hai Hunting for Automaker Acquisition

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>2025 could be thorny for Asian equities. The main themes - "Trump turmoil", a slower Fed and a "stronger for longer" Dollar and continued AI boom - have mixed implications.</li>
<li>China's policy articulation to support consumption departing from earlier supply-side measures, would be an important investment driver. India, though expensive, has a few "unloved" sectors that investors should focus on.</li>
<li>Based on our five investment themes, we identify five high quality liquid top picks in Asia - two listed in Hong Kong and one each in Taiwan, India and Korea. </li>
</ul>


2025 could be thorny for Asian equities. The main themes - "Trump turmoil", a slower Fed and a "stronger for longer" Dollar and continued AI boom - have mixed implications.
China's policy articulation to support consumption departing from earlier supply-side measures, would be an important investment driver. India, though expensive, has a few "unloved" sectors that investors should focus on.
Based on our five investment themes, we identify five high quality liquid top picks in Asia - two listed in Hong Kong and one each in Taiwan, India and Korea. 


Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?(II)

"Intel Foundry Services" has not performed well, leading to doubts about its US foundry services. TSMC may step in to provide foundry services for...

Patrick Liao

The US-China Trade War Is Likely to Split the Semiconductor Industry into Two Groups.

US-China trade war drives shift towards Advanced and Matured Technologies led by TSMC and SMIC, with AI offering hope for semiconductor and...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADR Spread Near All-Time Highs; UMC at Upper End of Range

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Rapidus's Challenge Vs. TSMC for 2nm; Hon Hai Hunting for Automaker Acquisition

Japan's newcomer Rapidus challenges TSMC in the 2nm race; Hon Hai's pursuit of Nissan pauses due to Nissan-Honda talks, but signals Hon Hai's...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks

2025 may be tricky for Asian equity with "Trump turmoil", slower Fed, strong Dollar. AI boom would help. Ditto China's consumption focus & India's...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?(II)

"Intel Foundry Services" has not performed well, leading to doubts about its US foundry services. TSMC may step in to provide foundry services for...

Patrick Liao

The US-China Trade War Is Likely to Split the Semiconductor Industry into Two Groups.

​US-China trade war drives shift towards Advanced and Matured Technologies led by TSMC and SMIC, with AI offering hope for semiconductor and...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADR Spread Near All-Time Highs; UMC at Upper End of Range

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Rapidus's Challenge Vs. TSMC for 2nm; Hon Hai Hunting for Automaker Acquisition

​Japan's newcomer Rapidus challenges TSMC in the 2nm race; Hon Hai's pursuit of Nissan pauses due to Nissan-Honda talks, but signals Hon Hai's...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks

​2025 may be tricky for Asian equity with "Trump turmoil", slower Fed, strong Dollar. AI boom would help. Ditto China's consumption focus & India's...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

US-China trade war drives shift towards Advanced and Matured Technologies led by TSMC and SMIC, with AI offering hope for semiconductor and...

Japan's newcomer Rapidus challenges TSMC in the 2nm race; Hon Hai's pursuit of Nissan pauses due to Nissan-Honda talks, but signals Hon Hai's...

2025 may be tricky for Asian equity with "Trump turmoil", slower Fed, strong Dollar. AI boom would help. Ditto China's consumption focus & India's...