Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 22nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta, Geely Automobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 22nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta, Geely Automobile.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 22nd): China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As forecast, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart (9992 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the close on 5 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 3% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$4.8bn (US$612m). The final capping will use the close of trading on 2 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart</a> is also being added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> and that marks the end of inclusion in major indices for the stock.</li>
</ul>


As forecast, Pop Mart (9992 HK) will replace J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the close on 5 September.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 3% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$4.8bn (US$612m). The final capping will use the close of trading on 2 September.

Pop Mart is also being added to the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) and that marks the end of inclusion in major indices for the stock.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Pop Mart Pops Ahead of Double Index Inclusion

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 22nd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 22nd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 22nd): Tencent, China Hongqiao, Hang Seng Bank

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As the earnings reporting season nears completion, our EPS estimate tracker reveals a downgrade to Asian EPS. AxJ EPS declined only 0.5%-0.8%. But several constituent markets' EPS declined much more.</li>
<li>Asian EPS estimates were supported by China and somewhat surprisingly, Thailand. Indian estimates continued to decline. Even Korea and Taiwan, the recent earnings outperformers, were downgraded during this season. </li>
<li>Unlike Asia, US EPS estimates rose during this season. Japan's and Europe's declined. In a subsequent note we shall track the estimates of all the sectors in each Asian Market.</li>
</ul>


As the earnings reporting season nears completion, our EPS estimate tracker reveals a downgrade to Asian EPS. AxJ EPS declined only 0.5%-0.8%. But several constituent markets' EPS declined much more.
Asian EPS estimates were supported by China and somewhat surprisingly, Thailand. Indian estimates continued to decline. Even Korea and Taiwan, the recent earnings outperformers, were downgraded during this season. 
Unlike Asia, US EPS estimates rose during this season. Japan's and Europe's declined. In a subsequent note we shall track the estimates of all the sectors in each Asian Market.


Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes announces changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a>, HSIII Index, HSHKBIO Index and HSCI Index post market close tomorrow.</li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated to be HK$54.3bn (US$6.9bn) with big impact in a lot of names.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto</a> if added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart</a> if added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics</a> due to a FAF increase.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes announces changes to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Hang Seng TECH Index, HSIII Index, HSHKBIO Index and HSCI Index post market close tomorrow.
The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated to be HK$54.3bn (US$6.9bn) with big impact in a lot of names.
The largest inflows will be in Geely Auto if added to the HSTECH, Pop Mart if added to the HSCEI and HSI, and Horizon Robotics due to a FAF increase.


Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Tomorrow; Potential Changes & Updated Flows

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 22nd): China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Pop Mart Pops Ahead of Double Index Inclusion

Pop Mart will replace J&T Global Express in the HSCEI. Pop Mart is also an HSI add - the stock has run up and there could be profit taking against...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 22nd): Tencent, China Hongqiao, Hang Seng Bank

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Tomorrow; Potential Changes & Updated Flows

Hang Seng announces after market close on Friday. The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated at HK$54.3bn. There is positioning in the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 22nd): China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Pop Mart Pops Ahead of Double Index Inclusion

Pop Mart will replace J&T Global Express in the HSCEI. Pop Mart is also an HSI add - the stock has run up and there could be profit taking against...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 22nd): Tencent, China Hongqiao, Hang Seng Bank

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

​Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Tomorrow; Potential Changes & Updated Flows

Hang Seng announces after market close on Friday. The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated at HK$54.3bn. There is positioning in the...

Brian Freitas

Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...