Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as...</li>
<li>...market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, the 3-month uptrend (currently at ~6380), 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059</li>
<li>Bullish Developments Continue: DJI and Russell 2000 Breakouts and Much More</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as...
...market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, the 3-month uptrend (currently at ~6380), 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059
Bullish Developments Continue: DJI and Russell 2000 Breakouts and Much More


DJI and Russell 2000 Breaking Out; Staying Bullish; Bullish Developments Continue

Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Margins hold firm even at time of year when surplus supply typically starts to build amid seasonal slowdown in demand.</li><li>Firm margins could point to supply-demand fundamentals that are tighter than usual for time of year.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise output.Margins hold firm even at time of year when surplus supply typically starts to build amid seasonal slowdown in demand.Firm margins could point to supply-demand fundamentals that are tighter than usual for time of year.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August

<ul><li>Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025.</li><li>Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm versus feedstock vacuum gasoil price so far in Q3 2025.</li><li>Europe Group I export brightstock price maintains steep premium to imported cargo prices in markets like India.</li></ul>

Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025.Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm versus feedstock vacuum gasoil price so far in Q3 2025.Europe Group I export brightstock price maintains steep premium to imported cargo prices in markets like India.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 25 August

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds firm at levels that incentivize refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Firm margins point to still-tight supply-demand fundamentals.</li><li>Margins hold firm even with prospect of rise in surplus base oils supply in Asia in Q3 2025 in response to pick-up in output and slowdown in demand.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds firm at levels that incentivize refiners to maintain or raise output.Firm margins point to still-tight supply-demand fundamentals.Margins hold firm even with prospect of rise in surplus base oils supply in Asia in Q3 2025 in response to pick-up in output and slowdown in demand.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 25 August

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay cautious even with round of stock-replenishment in coming weeks.</li><li>Asia’s lube demand likely to rise over coming months after bottoming out in month of August.</li><li>Lower demand in August likely triggers pick-up in surplus supplies in Asia-Pacific region.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay cautious even with round of stock-replenishment in coming weeks.Asia’s lube demand likely to rise over coming months after bottoming out in month of August.Lower demand in August likely triggers pick-up in surplus supplies in Asia-Pacific region.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 25 August

United States

Tidewater Inc. provides offshore supply vessels and marine support services to the offshore energy exploration, development, and production industry. The Company tows and anchor-handles mobile drilling rigs and equipment, transports supplies and personnel, and supports pipe laying and other offshore construction activities.

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Tidewater (TDW US)

DJI and Russell 2000 Breaking Out; Staying Bullish; Bullish Developments Continue

$DJI and Russell 2000 $IWM Breaking Out; Staying Bullish $SPX $QQQ; Bullish Developments Continue: DJI, IWM, $RSP Breakouts, RS on $XLP at new...

Vermilion Research

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August

Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 25 August

Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025. Europe Group I brightstock price...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 25 August

Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds firm at levels that incentivize refiners to maintain or raise output. Firm margins point...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 25 August

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay cautious even with round of stock-replenishment in coming weeks. Asia’s lube demand likely to rise over...

Base Oil News

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