Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Expect weakness after poor SMCI numbers sends AI related plays lower in late trading including NVDA and DELL.</li>
<li>Qorvo bucking the trend with a better-then-expected outlook despite Apple uncertainty in China.</li>
<li>Sony looking to spin off its semiconductor solutions business a watershed for unlocking shareholder value.</li>
</ul>


Expect weakness after poor SMCI numbers sends AI related plays lower in late trading including NVDA and DELL.
Qorvo bucking the trend with a better-then-expected outlook despite Apple uncertainty in China.
Sony looking to spin off its semiconductor solutions business a watershed for unlocking shareholder value.


Japan Morning Connection: SMCI Numbers Casts a Gloomy Shadow over All Things AI to Start Today

<ul>
<li>Intel jumping on plans to cut its bloated workforce and streamline management.</li>
<li>EV plays should pick up after Tesla held after mkt gains from yesterday.</li>
<li>Boeing numbers will help the heavies with better FCF and production outlooks.</li>
</ul>


Intel jumping on plans to cut its bloated workforce and streamline management.
EV plays should pick up after Tesla held after mkt gains from yesterday.
Boeing numbers will help the heavies with better FCF and production outlooks.


Japan Morning Connction: Tech Surging with Trump Signalling Zero China Tariffs on a Trade Deal

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a>'s weight in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> has increased to 10.81% which will lead to another reduction in the CPAF in September.</li>
<li>Even after the reduction in CPAF and an increase in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">BayCurrent Consulting</a>'s PAF in September, there is a possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing</a> being capped again in March 2026.</li>
<li>The continued passive selling sets up interesting trading opportunities after periods of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> outperformance versus the other index constituents.</li>
</ul>



Fast Retailing (9983 JP)'s weight in the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) has increased to 10.81% which will lead to another reduction in the CPAF in September.
Even after the reduction in CPAF and an increase in BayCurrent Consulting's PAF in September, there is a possibility of Fast Retailing being capped again in March 2026.
The continued passive selling sets up interesting trading opportunities after periods of Fast Retailing (9983 JP) outperformance versus the other index constituents.


Fast Retailing (9983 JP): More Capping-Led Selling in September (And Maybe More in March)

<ul>
<li>Big drops for futures and commodity markets to start the week, so expect heavy selling across the board to start.</li>
<li>Vietnam signalling willingness to cut US tariffs sending related footwear/clothing names who manufacture in country sharply higher.</li>
<li>Nintendo cancelling its US Switch2 pre-sales sending ADR's lower only to snap back as market remains bullish on new console.</li>
</ul>


Big drops for futures and commodity markets to start the week, so expect heavy selling across the board to start.
Vietnam signalling willingness to cut US tariffs sending related footwear/clothing names who manufacture in country sharply higher.
Nintendo cancelling its US Switch2 pre-sales sending ADR's lower only to snap back as market remains bullish on new console.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Panic Tactic Working Hook, Line, and Sinker

<ul>
<li>Huge losses for tech/AI/banks in the biggest selloff since Covid.</li>
<li>Intel gaining after reports it has agreed to a JV with TSMC for their Fab business.</li>
<li>Sec. of State Rubio pushing EU leaders to shoulder a higher defence burden; European plays higher.</li>
</ul>


Huge losses for tech/AI/banks in the biggest selloff since Covid.
Intel gaining after reports it has agreed to a JV with TSMC for their Fab business.
Sec. of State Rubio pushing EU leaders to shoulder a higher defence burden; European plays higher.


Japan Morning Connection: Rough Start with US Meltdown but Trump Showing Willingness to Negotiate

Japan

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

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Tokyo Electron Ltd Unsp Adr (TOELY US)

Japan Morning Connection: SMCI Numbers Casts a Gloomy Shadow over All Things AI to Start Today

Poor SMCI numbers will reflect poorly on AI related plays, Qorvo stands out with strong outlook despite Apple uncertainty, Sony's spin off of...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connction: Tech Surging with Trump Signalling Zero China Tariffs on a Trade Deal

Intel plans to cut workforce and streamline management, EV plays may continue to rise after Tesla's gains, Boeing's improved numbers to benefit...

Andrew Jackson

Fast Retailing (9983 JP): More Capping-Led Selling in September (And Maybe More in March)

Fast Retailing will be capped in September unless the stock underperforms the index over the next 3 months. There could be more capping next March....

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Panic Tactic Working Hook, Line, and Sinker

Futures and commodity markets drop, Vietnam related names up after they showed willingless to cut US tariffs, Nintendo cancels Switch2 pre-sales...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Rough Start with US Meltdown but Trump Showing Willingness to Negotiate

Tech/AI/banks suffer big losses in selloff, Intel gains on agreement with TSMC, Secretary of State Rubio urges EU to increase defense spending.

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: SMCI Numbers Casts a Gloomy Shadow over All Things AI to Start Today

​Poor SMCI numbers will reflect poorly on AI related plays, Qorvo stands out with strong outlook despite Apple uncertainty, Sony's spin off of...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connction: Tech Surging with Trump Signalling Zero China Tariffs on a Trade Deal

​Intel plans to cut workforce and streamline management, EV plays may continue to rise after Tesla's gains, Boeing's improved numbers to benefit...

Andrew Jackson

Fast Retailing (9983 JP): More Capping-Led Selling in September (And Maybe More in March)

Fast Retailing will be capped in September unless the stock underperforms the index over the next 3 months. There could be more capping next March....

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Panic Tactic Working Hook, Line, and Sinker

​Futures and commodity markets drop, Vietnam related names up after they showed willingless to cut US tariffs, Nintendo cancels Switch2 pre-sales...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Rough Start with US Meltdown but Trump Showing Willingness to Negotiate

​Tech/AI/banks suffer big losses in selloff, Intel gains on agreement with TSMC, Secretary of State Rubio urges EU to increase defense spending.

Andrew Jackson

Poor SMCI numbers will reflect poorly on AI related plays, Qorvo stands out with strong outlook despite Apple uncertainty, Sony's spin off of...

Intel plans to cut workforce and streamline management, EV plays may continue to rise after Tesla's gains, Boeing's improved numbers to benefit...

Futures and commodity markets drop, Vietnam related names up after they showed willingless to cut US tariffs, Nintendo cancels Switch2 pre-sales...

Tech/AI/banks suffer big losses in selloff, Intel gains on agreement with TSMC, Secretary of State Rubio urges EU to increase defense spending.