Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ryohin-keikaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2765:1" rel="noopener">Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)</a>'s stock price has more than doubled this year and the increased market cap could now result in a global index inclusion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ryohin-keikaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2765:1" rel="noopener">Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)</a> has outperformed its peers by a BIG margin since its inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> in September 2024.</li>
<li>There appears to be significant positioning in the stock. Given the huge outperformance over the last few months, trim into strength.</li>
</ul>



Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)'s stock price has more than doubled this year and the increased market cap could now result in a global index inclusion.

Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP) has outperformed its peers by a BIG margin since its inclusion in the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) in September 2024.
There appears to be significant positioning in the stock. Given the huge outperformance over the last few months, trim into strength.


Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP): Global Index Inclusion Likely in August

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>At the end of July 2025, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-financial-gate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35234:1" rel="noopener">GMO Financial Gate (4051 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azoom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32232:1" rel="noopener">Azoom (3496 JP)</a> will be included in the TOPIX Index.</li>
<li>Newly-Listed company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kitazato-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45255:1" rel="noopener">Kitazato (368A JP)</a> will also be included in the TOPIX index at the end of this month.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
At the end of July 2025, GMO Financial Gate (4051 JP) and Azoom (3496 JP) will be included in the TOPIX Index.
Newly-Listed company Kitazato (368A JP) will also be included in the TOPIX index at the end of this month.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jul 2025)

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>
Context: Central Bank rate decisions, index changes and political events can move markets and affect volatility. Exchange holidays and option expiration schedules might influence liquidity on these days.</li>
<li>
Highlights: The week of July 7 to July 11 is packed with the expiration of the pause on reciprocal tariffs, two Central Bank decisions, and options expiries.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.</li>
</ul>



Context: Central Bank rate decisions, index changes and political events can move markets and affect volatility. Exchange holidays and option expiration schedules might influence liquidity on these days.

Highlights: The week of July 7 to July 11 is packed with the expiration of the pause on reciprocal tariffs, two Central Bank decisions, and options expiries.

Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$125-$126 and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.
$125-$126 and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

Equity Derivatives Broker - Delta One Japan, Vantage Capital Markets Japan

François-Xavier Pustoc'h

Equity Derivatives Broker - Delta One Japan

Independent Financial Broker

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

We provide world class financial solutions to our extensive institutional client base including rapidly growing corporations, leading investment banks, commercial banks, asset managers, private equity funds, family offices and hedge funds.

Our services include capital market offerings and placements, wholesale brokerage and execution of cash and derivative products (both listed and OTC) across a range of asset classes.

VCM has offices in London, Hong Kong, Tokyo and Dubai from where we service our global client base. Our strength lies in the experience and quality of our teams, supported by excellent operations and infrastructure.

<ul><li>Japanese Equities flat vs. World +1.73% and US +2.98%, Japan +5.56%, Europe +1.56%</li><li>Japan Sectors: Nonferrous Metals +8.26%, Electric Appliances +5.97%, Machinery +5.37% while Mining -5.23% and Real Estate -1.11%</li><li>JPY 5Y Rates up 1bp, ITRAXX Japan 5Y down 1.73 at 61.45</li></ul>

Japanese Equities flat vs. World +1.73% and US +2.98%, Japan +5.56%, Europe +1.56%Japan Sectors: Nonferrous Metals +8.26%, Electric Appliances +5.97%, Machinery +5.37% while Mining -5.23% and Real Estate -1.11%JPY 5Y Rates up 1bp, ITRAXX Japan 5Y down 1.73 at 61.45

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (2025, July 1st)

Japan

The TOPIX, also known as the Tokyo Stock Price Index, is a capitalization-weighted index of all companies listed on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The index is supplemented by the subindices of the 33 industry sectors. The index calculation excludes temporary issues and preferred stocks, and has a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1968.

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)

Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP): Global Index Inclusion Likely in August

Ryohin Keikaku's stock price has surged since NKY inclusion, and the increase in market cap should result in global index inclusion in August....

Brian Freitas

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jul 2025)

There are three TOPIX Inclusions at the end of July 2025. There will also be more index flows due to FFW adjustments. Core concept technologies...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

The Month Ahead: Key Events in July 2025

Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.

Gaudenz Schneider

China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

China's Shanghai Composite and Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact on global equities $ACWI; U.S....

Vermilion Research

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (2025, July 1st)

Japanese Equities flat vs. World +1.73% and US +2.98%, Japan +5.56%, Europe +1.56%. Japan Sectors: Nonferrous Metals +8.26%, Electric Appliances...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP): Global Index Inclusion Likely in August

Ryohin Keikaku's stock price has surged since NKY inclusion, and the increase in market cap should result in global index inclusion in August....

Brian Freitas

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jul 2025)

There are three TOPIX Inclusions at the end of July 2025. There will also be more index flows due to FFW adjustments. Core concept technologies...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

The Month Ahead: Key Events in July 2025

​Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.

Gaudenz Schneider

China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

China's Shanghai Composite and Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact on global equities $ACWI; U.S....

Vermilion Research

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (2025, July 1st)

Japanese Equities flat vs. World +1.73% and US +2.98%, Japan +5.56%, Europe +1.56%. Japan Sectors: Nonferrous Metals +8.26%, Electric Appliances...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.