Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>The investment world has turned upside down where established norms have gone into reverse.</li>
<li>The new investing environment needs to be paid attention to.</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
The investment world has turned upside down where established norms have gone into reverse.
The new investing environment needs to be paid attention to.


Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Central banks globally are making rate decisions, with the Fed holding steady while Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, and the UK announce their decisions today.</li>
<li>Mexico and Canada are central banks to watch, with Fitch forecasting both economies to enter recession in 2025 due to their high US trade exposure.</li>
<li>The US's global reciprocal tariffs, set to be revealed on April 2, have significant implications for the global economy, with the potential to influence central bank policies worldwide.</li>
</ul>


Central banks globally are making rate decisions, with the Fed holding steady while Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, and the UK announce their decisions today.
Mexico and Canada are central banks to watch, with Fitch forecasting both economies to enter recession in 2025 due to their high US trade exposure.
The US's global reciprocal tariffs, set to be revealed on April 2, have significant implications for the global economy, with the potential to influence central bank policies worldwide.


Central Banks Hold Steady Amid Global Economic Uncertainty

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jx-advanced-metals-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44346:1" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)</a> has priced its IPO at ¥820/share, at the top end of the IPO range but lower than the initial indication of ¥862/share.</li>
<li>With the bulk of the domestic offering going to retail investors, there is no chance of Fast Entry for the stock in global indices.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX INDEX</a> inclusion will take place at the close on 28 April, while inclusion in major global indices is likely to take place in August and September.</li>
</ul>



JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) has priced its IPO at ¥820/share, at the top end of the IPO range but lower than the initial indication of ¥862/share.
With the bulk of the domestic offering going to retail investors, there is no chance of Fast Entry for the stock in global indices.

TOPIX INDEX inclusion will take place at the close on 28 April, while inclusion in major global indices is likely to take place in August and September.


JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: Big Retail Allocation Means No Fast Entry

Equity Derivatives

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Central Bank Focus: Nine Central banks decide on monetary policy next week. Among them the BoJ, the BoE, the SNB, and the Fed.</li>
<li>Earnings Wave: major Hong Kong stocks reporting, including Tencent, Xiaomi, China Mobile, and Meituan.</li>
<li>Triple Witching: Quarterly derivatives expiration hits multiple markets - Australia, Taiwan , and the US - alongside index rebalancing in both Australia and the US.</li>
</ul>


Central Bank Focus: Nine Central banks decide on monetary policy next week. Among them the BoJ, the BoE, the SNB, and the Fed.
Earnings Wave: major Hong Kong stocks reporting, including Tencent, Xiaomi, China Mobile, and Meituan.
Triple Witching: Quarterly derivatives expiration hits multiple markets - Australia, Taiwan , and the US - alongside index rebalancing in both Australia and the US.


Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (March 17-21)

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-x-nikkei-225-covered-call-etf-option-premium-reinvestment-type" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44483:1" rel="noopener">Global X Nikkei 225 Covered Call ETF (2858 JP)</a> has outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> year-to-date with a 4.5% advantage, demonstrating strength in sideways and moderately declining markets.</li>
<li>The covered call strategy can be deployed as a tactical standalone in sideways markets or as a relative value approach against a Nikkei 225 short.</li>
<li>For investors anticipating a continuation of the sideways or declining market, the option roll-over on the open of <strong>March 14 </strong>offers timely entry.</li>
</ul>


The Global X Nikkei 225 Covered Call ETF (2858 JP) has outperformed the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) year-to-date with a 4.5% advantage, demonstrating strength in sideways and moderately declining markets.
The covered call strategy can be deployed as a tactical standalone in sideways markets or as a relative value approach against a Nikkei 225 short.
For investors anticipating a continuation of the sideways or declining market, the option roll-over on the open of March 14 offers timely entry.


The Right Time for This Quantitative Strategy Outperforming the Nikkei Year to Date.

Japan

The TOPIX, also known as the Tokyo Stock Price Index, is a capitalization-weighted index of all companies listed on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The index is supplemented by the subindices of the 33 industry sectors. The index calculation excludes temporary issues and preferred stocks, and has a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1968.

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)

Overview#20 - Welcome to Bizzaro World!

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. The new investing landscape is a complete reversal of what has worked...

Rikki Malik

Central Banks Hold Steady Amid Global Economic Uncertainty

Reminder. China Mobile (941 HK) will release 2024 results tonight at 19:00h (HK time) and announce their dividend. Large volume traded yesterday in...

Gaudenz Schneider

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: Big Retail Allocation Means No Fast Entry

JX Advanced Metals starts trading today. The grey market is reportedly trading at JPY 790/share, down 3.66% from the IPO price. With a large...

Brian Freitas

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (March 17-21)

Central banks to decide on monetary policy, Hong Kong stocks results, and quarterly derivatives expiration hitting multiple markets.

Gaudenz Schneider

The Right Time for This Quantitative Strategy Outperforming the Nikkei Year to Date.

This Nikkei 225 Covered Call ETF has outperformed the market by 7.9% over the past six months. March 14 provides a timely entry point for either a...

Gaudenz Schneider

Overview#20 - Welcome to Bizzaro World!

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. The new investing landscape is a complete reversal of what has worked...

Rikki Malik

Central Banks Hold Steady Amid Global Economic Uncertainty

Reminder. China Mobile (941 HK) will release 2024 results tonight at 19:00h (HK time) and announce their dividend. Large volume traded yesterday in...

Gaudenz Schneider

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) IPO: Big Retail Allocation Means No Fast Entry

JX Advanced Metals starts trading today. The grey market is reportedly trading at JPY 790/share, down 3.66% from the IPO price. With a large...

Brian Freitas

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (March 17-21)

​Central banks to decide on monetary policy, Hong Kong stocks results, and quarterly derivatives expiration hitting multiple markets.

Gaudenz Schneider

The Right Time for This Quantitative Strategy Outperforming the Nikkei Year to Date.

​This Nikkei 225 Covered Call ETF has outperformed the market by 7.9% over the past six months. March 14 provides a timely entry point for either a...

Gaudenz Schneider

Central banks to decide on monetary policy, Hong Kong stocks results, and quarterly derivatives expiration hitting multiple markets.

This Nikkei 225 Covered Call ETF has outperformed the market by 7.9% over the past six months. March 14 provides a timely entry point for either a...