Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Event-Driven

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was again not stronger per day than the previous several weeks, but SB Net Buying was again BIG. Given the change in Tencent, remarkable even.</li>
<li>The story was follow-through, but SMIC and Xiaomi were also big buys. This is shaping up to be a "let's buy what US Persons cannot" moment.</li>
<li>No sectors saw net selling through CCASS data five days to Weds. Top 10 activity was quite concentrated this week. Very few stray names.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was again not stronger per day than the previous several weeks, but SB Net Buying was again BIG. Given the change in Tencent, remarkable even.
The story was follow-through, but SMIC and Xiaomi were also big buys. This is shaping up to be a "let's buy what US Persons cannot" moment.
No sectors saw net selling through CCASS data five days to Weds. Top 10 activity was quite concentrated this week. Very few stray names.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Apple suppliers shifting focus to India and China for iPhone production growth, adapting supply chains to changing markets.</li><li>Jensen Huang boosting AI chip production by visiting SPIL's new Taiwan factory; Huawei's Mate X6 smartphone making global comeback in EMEA markets.</li><li>TSMC forecasting 5% revenue decrease in 1Q25, setting record capex for 2025; India-US tech ties in jeopardy due to export controls on AI chips.</li></ul>

Apple suppliers shifting focus to India and China for iPhone production growth, adapting supply chains to changing markets.Jensen Huang boosting AI chip production by visiting SPIL's new Taiwan factory; Huawei's Mate X6 smartphone making global comeback in EMEA markets.TSMC forecasting 5% revenue decrease in 1Q25, setting record capex for 2025; India-US tech ties in jeopardy due to export controls on AI chips.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-Jan-2025): Apple's supply chain shifts to India and China.

<ul><li>Infineon expands presence in Southeast Asia with new fab in Thailand for backend operations, strengthening its manufacturing capabilities in the region.</li><li>Biden's AI rules emphasize closed models, sparking discussion about the importance of open-source technology development in the industry.</li><li>EU urges Trump to lift AI export ban affecting 17 member states, imposed by Biden, to facilitate international cooperation in the field of artificial intelligence.</li></ul>

Infineon expands presence in Southeast Asia with new fab in Thailand for backend operations, strengthening its manufacturing capabilities in the region.Biden's AI rules emphasize closed models, sparking discussion about the importance of open-source technology development in the industry.EU urges Trump to lift AI export ban affecting 17 member states, imposed by Biden, to facilitate international cooperation in the field of artificial intelligence.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (16-Jan-2025): Infineon builds new fab in Thailand

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.</li><li>By brand, Xiaomi/Vivo outperformed peers with 4.8%/12.7% YoY growth in 4Q24, while Apple/Samsung declined 4.1%/2.7% YoY with share loss.</li><li>Looking ahead to 2025, we estimate global smartphone shipments to grow 3% YoY boosted by iPhone 17 cycle, AI integration and Chinese subsidy programs. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.By brand, Xiaomi/Vivo outperformed peers with 4.8%/12.7% YoY growth in 4Q24, while Apple/Samsung declined 4.1%/2.7% YoY with share loss.Looking ahead to 2025, we estimate global smartphone shipments to grow 3% YoY boosted by iPhone 17 cycle, AI integration and Chinese subsidy programs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - 4Q24 Global Smartphone Shipments Ahead; Xiaomi/Vivo Outperformed Apple/Samsung

<ul><li>TSMC ends partnership with PowerAIR in Singapore over Huawei worries, impacting supply chain in tech industry. </li><li>China retaliates against US with customs actions; CXMT starts manufacturing DDR5 chips, meeting demand for next-gen technology.</li><li>India plans display fabrication facility, offering growth potential but encountering challenges. Luxshare's purchase of Wingtech ODM to enhance design capabilities, reduce reliance on Apple, and boost tech industry prowess.</li></ul>

TSMC ends partnership with PowerAIR in Singapore over Huawei worries, impacting supply chain in tech industry. China retaliates against US with customs actions; CXMT starts manufacturing DDR5 chips, meeting demand for next-gen technology.India plans display fabrication facility, offering growth potential but encountering challenges. Luxshare's purchase of Wingtech ODM to enhance design capabilities, reduce reliance on Apple, and boost tech industry prowess.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jan-2025): TSMC ends PowerAIR Huawei partnership.

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech

SOUTHBOUND continues to buy heavily in tech and finance. Gross flows remain light but net flows are very strong. AH Premia are now the lowest in...

Travis Lundy

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-Jan-2025): Apple's supply chain shifts to India and China.

Apple, Huawei, TSMC, and Acer make moves in the tech industry while US-India tech ties face challenges and Trump's response to economic crisis...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (16-Jan-2025): Infineon builds new fab in Thailand

Infineon expands in Thailand, Biden's AI rules spark discussion, EU urges Trump to lift export ban, Indichip & Yitoa to build SiC fab in India, CES...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Technology - 4Q24 Global Smartphone Shipments Ahead; Xiaomi/Vivo Outperformed Apple/Samsung

4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.

CMB International

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jan-2025): TSMC ends PowerAIR Huawei partnership.

TSMC severs relationship with PowerAIR over Huawei worries, China responds to US with customs actions, CXMT starts DDR5 production; India plans...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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