Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 24th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan and Li Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 24th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan and Li Auto.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 24th): Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 17th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight weekly short changes in AIA, Baba and Beigene.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 17th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight weekly short changes in AIA, Baba and Beigene.


HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Baba, Beigene

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows the last several weeks clearly indicated a momentum move. The top net sells were all down. The top buys were all up. We saw a pause, then continued.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND sees more net selling this week of stocks. Last week ETF selling turned flows negative. This week, ETF flows flattered the net sell. Tech still being sold.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.
SOUTHBOUND flows the last several weeks clearly indicated a momentum move. The top net sells were all down. The top buys were all up. We saw a pause, then continued.
SOUTHBOUND sees more net selling this week of stocks. Last week ETF selling turned flows negative. This week, ETF flows flattered the net sell. Tech still being sold.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Nov 23); ETF Buying Offsets Broad Selling, Especially in Tech

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The capping for the Hang Seng family of indices will use closing prices from 28 November while implementation will take place at the close on 1 December.</li>
<li>The changes for the next <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> rebalance will be announced after the close of trading on 1 December.</li>
<li>It was another week of inflows for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US)</a> to take units outstanding to a new high.</li>
</ul>


The capping for the Hang Seng family of indices will use closing prices from 28 November while implementation will take place at the close on 1 December.
The changes for the next S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) rebalance will be announced after the close of trading on 1 December.
It was another week of inflows for the iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US) to take units outstanding to a new high.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, Div+, Top50, ASX, FXI, Xiaomi, Tata Tech

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a></strong>'s share price has largely swatted away the pending US-listing of <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a></strong>.</li>
<li>ZEEKR was valued at US$13bn after a US$750mn fund raising in February. At that value, Geely's 54.7% stake is worth 58% of its market cap.</li>
<li>Geely is trading around a six and half year low, and below its five average trailing/forward metrics. </li>
</ul>



Geely Auto (175 HK)'s share price has largely swatted away the pending US-listing of ZEEKR (ZK US).
ZEEKR was valued at US$13bn after a US$750mn fund raising in February. At that value, Geely's 54.7% stake is worth 58% of its market cap.
Geely is trading around a six and half year low, and below its five average trailing/forward metrics. 


China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 24th): Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Baba, Beigene

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 17th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Baba, Beigene.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Nov 23); ETF Buying Offsets Broad Selling, Especially in Tech

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND flows were to the sell side again. Last week was driven by ETFs, this week by single stocks, especially tech, and China...

Travis Lundy

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, Div+, Top50, ASX, FXI, Xiaomi, Tata Tech

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Geely Stalls As ZEEKR Spins Off

Geely's share price has largely swatted away the pending listing of ZEEKR. Trading around six and half year lows, and below its five average...

David Blennerhassett

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