China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Xpeng announced price cuts on existing G3i, P5 and P7, which surprised the market on negative side, potentially indicating weaker demand and profitability</li>
<li>Recent management changes has also hurt sentiment with the new CEO from a 'traditional' car background</li>
<li>Xpeng's share price has bottomed in our view and we expect a 2H'23 recovery with improving fundamentals</li>
</ul>


Xpeng announced price cuts on existing G3i, P5 and P7, which surprised the market on negative side, potentially indicating weaker demand and profitability
Recent management changes has also hurt sentiment with the new CEO from a 'traditional' car background
Xpeng's share price has bottomed in our view and we expect a 2H'23 recovery with improving fundamentals


Xpeng: Surprise Price Cut Weighs on Sentiment, but Share Price Likely Bottomed

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Lithium / In Depth: Lithium tops out.  </li><li>Davos / ‘China’s door to the outside will only open wider,’ Vice Premier Liu He says. </li><li>FDI / Charts of the Day: China’s FDI growth slowed but ‘steady’ in 2022. </li></ul>

Lithium / In Depth: Lithium tops out.  Davos / ‘China’s door to the outside will only open wider,’ Vice Premier Liu He says. FDI / Charts of the Day: China’s FDI growth slowed but ‘steady’ in 2022. 

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its one-year lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note</li>
</ul>



LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range.
The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its one-year lockup is set to expire soon.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note


LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Last of the Lockups at US$3bn

WM Motor Technology Co Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 11th Jan 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wm-motor-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29225:1" rel="noopener">WM Motor Technology Co Ltd </a>announced its intention to merge with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/we-solutions-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9818:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Future Mobility (860 HK)</a> .</li>
<li>WM Motor failed to list in Hong Kong last year and this is essentially its attempt to undertake a reverse merger at a valuation well below its previous funding rounds.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and  take an early look at its implications.</li>
</ul>


On 11th Jan 2023, WM Motor Technology Co Ltd announced its intention to merge with Apollo Future Mobility (860 HK) .
WM Motor failed to list in Hong Kong last year and this is essentially its attempt to undertake a reverse merger at a valuation well below its previous funding rounds.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and  take an early look at its implications.


WM Motor Reverse Merger and Placement - The US$2bn Merger and US$500m Planned Placement

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>With the recent rally in the equity markets in Hong Kong and China, we think the asset play investment thesis for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-dongxiang-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1068:1" rel="noopener">China Dongxiang Group Co (3818 HK)</a> has revived.  </li>
<li>We estimate its investment portfolio value may have increased by HK$2bn since end-Sep, yet market capitalisation only rose HK$500m, suggesting still significant 77% discount. </li>
<li>Encouraging recent developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> and Ant Financial, which both are its holdings, are positive. The reduction is losses for sportswear business is an added driver. </li>
</ul>


With the recent rally in the equity markets in Hong Kong and China, we think the asset play investment thesis for China Dongxiang Group Co (3818 HK) has revived.  
We estimate its investment portfolio value may have increased by HK$2bn since end-Sep, yet market capitalisation only rose HK$500m, suggesting still significant 77% discount. 
Encouraging recent developments at Alibaba Group (9988 HK) and Ant Financial, which both are its holdings, are positive. The reduction is losses for sportswear business is an added driver. 


China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Extremely Deep Discount to Cash and Investments

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

CX Daily: Lithium Tops Out

In Depth: Lithium tops out. ‘China’s door to the outside will only open wider,’ Vice Premier Liu He says. Charts of the Day: China’s FDI growth...

Caixin Global

LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Last of the Lockups at US$3bn

LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range. Its one-year lockup...

Sumeet Singh

WM Motor Reverse Merger and Placement - The US$2bn Merger and US$500m Planned Placement

On 11th Jan 2023, WM Motor Technology Co Ltd announced its intention to merge with Apollo Future Mobility (860 HK) . In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Extremely Deep Discount to Cash and Investments

Market rallies may have raised CNDX's cash and investment portfolio value by HK$2bn since end-Sep, but its market cap has only increased HK$500m,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Xpeng: Surprise Price Cut Weighs on Sentiment, but Share Price Likely Bottomed

Xpeng announced price cuts on existing G3i, P5 and P7, which surprised the market on negative side, potentially indicating weaker demand and...

Victoria Li

CX Daily: Lithium Tops Out

In Depth: Lithium tops out. ‘China’s door to the outside will only open wider,’ Vice Premier Liu He says. Charts of the Day: China’s FDI growth...

Caixin Global

LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Last of the Lockups at US$3bn

LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range. Its one-year lockup...

Sumeet Singh

WM Motor Reverse Merger and Placement - The US$2bn Merger and US$500m Planned Placement

On 11th Jan 2023, WM Motor Technology Co Ltd announced its intention to merge with Apollo Future Mobility (860 HK) . In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Extremely Deep Discount to Cash and Investments

Market rallies may have raised CNDX's cash and investment portfolio value by HK$2bn since end-Sep, but its market cap has only increased HK$500m,...

Osbert Tang, CFA