External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Although we revise up Xpeng’s FY24E sales volume forecast to 0.22mn units following the G6’s aggressive pricing, its low GPM could persist, especially with two new models next year likely to be priced below the G6.</li><li>We project single-digit GPM for FY24E and we believe its current valuation is fair.</li><li>2Q23 ASP and GPM miss. Xpeng’s 2Q23 revenue was 6% lower than we had expected, largely due to increased sales promotion, in our view.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Although we revise up Xpeng’s FY24E sales volume forecast to 0.22mn units following the G6’s aggressive pricing, its low GPM could persist, especially with two new models next year likely to be priced below the G6.We project single-digit GPM for FY24E and we believe its current valuation is fair.2Q23 ASP and GPM miss. Xpeng’s 2Q23 revenue was 6% lower than we had expected, largely due to increased sales promotion, in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) – 2Q23 GPM Miss; Still a Long Way for Healthy GPM

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ACMR/981.HK/1347.HK: US outbound investment restrictions likely to exempt publicly traded securities (+/+/+)</li>
<li>NIO/1211 HK: Geely's sub-brand Zeekr cut price of its 001 model (-/-)</li>
<li>XPEV/NIO/BYD: Tesla China cuts Model Y prices and offers insurance subsidy for Model 3 (-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


ACMR/981.HK/1347.HK: US outbound investment restrictions likely to exempt publicly traded securities (+/+/+)
NIO/1211 HK: Geely's sub-brand Zeekr cut price of its 001 model (-/-)
XPEV/NIO/BYD: Tesla China cuts Model Y prices and offers insurance subsidy for Model 3 (-/-/-)


China TMT Update-ACMR/981.HK/1347.HK/NIO/1211.HK/XPEV/BYD-Tesla Cuts Model Y Prices/Geely Cuts Price

<ul><li>We summarize the Jul 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Jun 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jul retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most Chinese brands narrowed MoM in Jul 2023, consistent with our prior argument that discounts may peak around Jun-Jul 2023. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jul 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Jun 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jul retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most Chinese brands narrowed MoM in Jul 2023, consistent with our prior argument that discounts may peak around Jun-Jul 2023. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jul discount: Chinese narrowed, foreign widened

<ul>
<li>XPEV/NVIDIA: Xpeng ADAS head to join Nvidia ( - /+)</li>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update: Zhengzhou announced 15 supportive policies on real estate industry, including suspending the home selling restrictions, and others. Minor positive: KE Holdings (BEKE US, BUY, TP US$22）</li>
<li>ATAT: Popularity of summer vacation continued in July, and the supply shortage resulted in the surge of hotel ADR（+）</li>
</ul>


XPEV/NVIDIA: Xpeng ADAS head to join Nvidia ( - /+)
Real Estate Industry Update: Zhengzhou announced 15 supportive policies on real estate industry, including suspending the home selling restrictions, and others. Minor positive: KE Holdings (BEKE US, BUY, TP US$22）
ATAT: Popularity of summer vacation continued in July, and the supply shortage resulted in the surge of hotel ADR（+）


China TMT Update-XPEV/NVIDIA/BEKE/ATAT-Xpeng ADAS Head to Join Nvidia/Surge of Hotel ADR

<ul><li>Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Neta and Leap reported their Jul 2023 sales volumes on 1 Aug 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the nine automakers combined rose 67% YoY (ranged from -28% to +228%) and 6% MoM (ranged from -17% to +91%) in Jul 2023.</li><li>NEV trio all beat our expectation by 1,000-2,000 units. Li Auto recorded a sales volume of more than 34,000 units in Jul 2023, stronger than our previous forecast.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Neta and Leap reported their Jul 2023 sales volumes on 1 Aug 2023.Sales volume of the nine automakers combined rose 67% YoY (ranged from -28% to +228%) and 6% MoM (ranged from -17% to +91%) in Jul 2023.NEV trio all beat our expectation by 1,000-2,000 units. Li Auto recorded a sales volume of more than 34,000 units in Jul 2023, stronger than our previous forecast.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jul NEV: All-time high sales for seven brands

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) – 2Q23 GPM Miss; Still a Long Way for Healthy GPM

2Q23 ASP and GPM miss. Xpeng’s 2Q23 revenue was 6% lower than we had expected, largely due to increased sales promotion, in our view.

CMB International

China TMT Update-ACMR/981.HK/1347.HK/NIO/1211.HK/XPEV/BYD-Tesla Cuts Model Y Prices/Geely Cuts Price

ACMR/981.HK/1347.HK: US outbound investment restrictions;NIO/1211 HK: Geely's sub-brand Zeekr cut price;XPEV/NIO/BYD: Tesla China cuts Model Y...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Auto Sector – Jul discount: Chinese narrowed, foreign widened

Discounts at dealers for most Chinese brands narrowed MoM in Jul 2023, consistent with our prior argument that discounts may peak around Jun-Jul 2023.

CMB International

China TMT Update-XPEV/NVIDIA/BEKE/ATAT-Xpeng ADAS Head to Join Nvidia/Surge of Hotel ADR

XPEV/NVIDIA: Xpeng ADAS head to join Nvidia ( - /+);Zhengzhou announced 15 supportive policies on real estate industry; the supply shortage...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Auto Sector – Jul NEV: All-time high sales for seven brands

Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Neta and Leap reported their Jul 2023 sales volumes on 1...

CMB International

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