Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29673:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US)</a> is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and revenue of RMB 9.0 billion (US$1.3 billion).</p><p>Previously, we discussed MINISO's business model, financials and valuation in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-ipo-long-term-growth-prospects-secured-by-a-sustainable-competitive-advantage" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MINISO IPO: Long Term Growth Prospects Secured By a Sustainable Competitive Advantage</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-ipo-as-appealing-as-miniso-products" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MINISO IPO: As Appealing As MINISO Products</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-valuation-valued-like-miniso-merchandise-bang-for-the-buck" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MINISO Valuation: Valued Like MINISO Merchandise - Bang for the Buck</a>.</p><p>Our relative valuation indicated that there is significant upside, even at the higher end of the IPO price range. MINISO lacks directly comparable peers, hence an exhaustive relative valuation exercise may not be as reliable as we would have hoped.</p><p>Therefore, we feel it is worth exploring other valuation techniques to make sure that we don’t run into unpleasant surprises.</p>

MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and revenue of RMB 9.0 billion (US$1.3 billion).Previously, we discussed MINISO's business model, financials and valuation in MINISO IPO: Long Term Growth Prospects Secured By a Sustainable Competitive Advantage, MINISO IPO: As Appealing As MINISO Products and MINISO Valuation: Valued Like MINISO Merchandise - Bang for the Buck.Our relative valuation indicated that there is significant upside, even at the higher end of the IPO price range. MINISO lacks directly comparable peers, hence an exhaustive relative valuation exercise may not be as reliable as we would have hoped.Therefore, we feel it is worth exploring other valuation techniques to make sure that we don’t run into unpleasant surprises.

MINISO Deserves More Than The IPO Valuation

China and US Equity Analyst

Roger Xie

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The successful Hong Kong secondary listing could help <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23677:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings, Inc (YUMC US)</a> accelerate its strategic expansion plan. According to the management, Yum China plans to allocate the net proceeds as follows: 45% to expand and deepen its restaurant network; 45% to invest in digitalization and supply chain, food innovation; 10% for working capital and general corporate purposes.</li>
<li>Yum China has been accelerating its store expansion plan in the past few years, especially on the KFC brand. Management guided 800-850 gross store openings in 2020E. In addition, store remodeling has been aggressive to further enhance the dining experiences. </li>
<li>We view Yum China with wide moat based on its strong branding in China; a wholly owned supply chain; and advanced digital platform. We have TP $64 for YUMC, which implies  25% upside in next 6-12 month with improving fundamentals. TP is based on 28x 2021e P/E. </li>
</ul>


The successful Hong Kong secondary listing could help Yum China Holdings, Inc (YUMC US) accelerate its strategic expansion plan. According to the management, Yum China plans to allocate the net proceeds as follows: 45% to expand and deepen its restaurant network; 45% to invest in digitalization and supply chain, food innovation; 10% for working capital and general corporate purposes.
Yum China has been accelerating its store expansion plan in the past few years, especially on the KFC brand. Management guided 800-850 gross store openings in 2020E. In addition, store remodeling has been aggressive to further enhance the dining experiences. 
We view Yum China with wide moat based on its strong branding in China; a wholly owned supply chain; and advanced digital platform. We have TP $64 for YUMC, which implies  25% upside in next 6-12 month with improving fundamentals. TP is based on 28x 2021e P/E. 


Yum China (YUMC and 9987.HK) Will Accelerate to Gain Market Shared Post COVID-19

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huazhu-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17527:1" rel="noopener">Huazhu Group (HTHT US)</a> will commence trading in Hong Kong on Tuesday, 22 September. Huazhu priced its Hong Kong secondary listing at HK$297 per share. Huazhu raised net proceeds of HK$5,924.8 million ($0.8 billion).</p></div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/rickin-thakrar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:1486" rel="noopener">Rickin Thakrar</a> outlined his views on the fundamentals and valuation in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/huazhu-secondary-listing-hotel-motel-hanting-hotel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43241" rel="noopener">Huazhu Secondary Listing: Hotel, Motel, Hanting Hotel</a>. At the 18 September close price of $42.02 per ADS, the H-share offer price of HK$297 implies a 8.8% discount. We believe that the H-share will likely trade to a slight premium to the ADS on average, broadly similar to the overall median of previous secondary listings.</p></div></div>

Huazhu Group (HTHT US) will commence trading in Hong Kong on Tuesday, 22 September. Huazhu priced its Hong Kong secondary listing at HK$297 per share. Huazhu raised net proceeds of HK$5,924.8 million ($0.8 billion).Rickin Thakrar outlined his views on the fundamentals and valuation in Huazhu Secondary Listing: Hotel, Motel, Hanting Hotel. At the 18 September close price of $42.02 per ADS, the H-share offer price of HK$297 implies a 8.8% discount. We believe that the H-share will likely trade to a slight premium to the ADS on average, broadly similar to the overall median of previous secondary listings.

Huazhu Group Secondary Listing: Trading Debut

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huazhu-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17527:1" rel="noopener">Huazhu Group (HTHT US)</a> raised around US$900m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.</p></div><div><p>I have covered the background of the deal in my earlier notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/huazhu-hk-secondary-listing-early-look-needs-the-cash-more-than-most-secondary-candidates" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Huazhu HK Secondary Listing - Early Look - Needs the Cash More than Most Secondary Candidates</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/huazhu-hk-secondary-listing-needs-the-money-but-looks-toppish" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Huazhu HK Secondary Listing - Needs the Money but Looks Toppish.</a></p></div><div><p>In this insight, I'll talk about the deal dynamics and updates over the past week.</p></div>

Huazhu Group (HTHT US) raised around US$900m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.I have covered the background of the deal in my earlier notes, Huazhu HK Secondary Listing - Early Look - Needs the Cash More than Most Secondary Candidates and Huazhu HK Secondary Listing - Needs the Money but Looks Toppish.In this insight, I'll talk about the deal dynamics and updates over the past week.

Huazhu HK Secondary Listing Trading - Lowest Coverage, Biggest Correction, Highest Concentration

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zai-lab-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25877:1" rel="noopener">Zai Lab Ltd (ZLAB US)</a> has launched a $0.9 billion secondary listing in Hong Kong. Zai Lab is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company which started to generate revenue from sales of commercialized products from 2018. In 1H20, revenue was primarily derived from the sales of both ZEJULA and Optune in Hong Kong and China.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><p>The H shares will be priced on 22 September (Tuesday) and are scheduled for listing on 28 September.  Zai Lab will price its H-shares at a discount to its ADSs to entice investors to participate in the secondary listing. Overall, we think that Zai Lab pricing its H-shares around a 2% discount to its ADSs will be reasonable.</p></div>
</div>


Zai Lab Ltd (ZLAB US) has launched a $0.9 billion secondary listing in Hong Kong. Zai Lab is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company which started to generate revenue from sales of commercialized products from 2018. In 1H20, revenue was primarily derived from the sales of both ZEJULA and Optune in Hong Kong and China.
The H shares will be priced on 22 September (Tuesday) and are scheduled for listing on 28 September.  Zai Lab will price its H-shares at a discount to its ADSs to entice investors to participate in the secondary listing. Overall, we think that Zai Lab pricing its H-shares around a 2% discount to its ADSs will be reasonable.


Zai Lab Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​(Discount) Views

China

Yum China Holdings, Inc. operates chain restaurants. The Company offers pizza, entrees, pasta, rice dishes, appetizers, soups, vegetables, beverages, and desserts. Yum China Holding conducts its business worldwide.

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Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)

MINISO Deserves More Than The IPO Valuation

MINISO is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and revenue of RMB...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Yum China (YUMC and 9987.HK) Will Accelerate to Gain Market Shared Post COVID-19

The successful Hong Kong secondary listing could help Yum China Holdings, Inc (YUMC US)

Roger Xie

Huazhu Group Secondary Listing: Trading Debut

Yum China Holdings Inc (9987 HK) will commence trading in Hong Kong on Thursday, 10 September. Yum China Holdings, Inc (YUMC US) priced its Hong...

Arun George

Huazhu HK Secondary Listing Trading - Lowest Coverage, Biggest Correction, Highest Concentration

Huazhu Group (HTHT US) raised around US$900m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. I have covered the background of the deal in my earlier...

Sumeet Singh

Zai Lab Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

ZTO Express (ZTO US) has launched a $1.6 billion secondary listing in Hong Kong. We previously outlined our views on ZTO Express’ fundamentals and...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MINISO Deserves More Than The IPO Valuation

MINISO is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and revenue of RMB...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Yum China (YUMC and 9987.HK) Will Accelerate to Gain Market Shared Post COVID-19

The successful Hong Kong secondary listing could help Yum China Holdings, Inc (YUMC US)

Roger Xie

Huazhu Group Secondary Listing: Trading Debut

Yum China Holdings Inc (9987 HK) will commence trading in Hong Kong on Thursday, 10 September. Yum China Holdings, Inc (YUMC US) priced its Hong...

Arun George

Huazhu HK Secondary Listing Trading - Lowest Coverage, Biggest Correction, Highest Concentration

Huazhu Group (HTHT US) raised around US$900m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. I have covered the background of the deal in my earlier...

Sumeet Singh

Zai Lab Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​(Discount) Views

ZTO Express (ZTO US) has launched a $1.6 billion secondary listing in Hong Kong. We previously outlined our views on ZTO Express’ fundamentals and...

Arun George

Zai Lab Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views