Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we took an early look at the possible summer 2024 listing of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro.</a>
</li>
<li>For placements, there was another large selldown in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a>, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a> could see one as well soon from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/british-american-tobacco-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21828:1" rel="noopener">British American Tobacco (BATS LN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, we took an early look at the possible summer 2024 listing of Tokyo Metro.

For placements, there was another large selldown in Renesas Electronics (6723 JP), while ITC Ltd (ITC IN) could see one as well soon from British American Tobacco (BATS LN). 


ECM Weekly (4th Mar 2024) - Tokyo Metro, Mixue, Xtalpi, Bharat InvIT, Renesas, ITC/BAT, Precinct

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shriram-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:253:1" rel="noopener">Shriram Finance (SHFL IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/upl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20776:1" rel="noopener">UPL Ltd (UPLL IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 27 March. This was a high probability change.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> missed out on inclusion and that results in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a> staying in the index.</li>
<li>There is over 11 days of delivery volume to trade in the add and delete and there appears to be significant positioning in one of the stocks.</li>
</ul>



Shriram Finance (SHFL IN) will replace UPL Ltd (UPLL IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at the close of trading on 27 March. This was a high probability change.

Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) missed out on inclusion and that results in Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) staying in the index.
There is over 11 days of delivery volume to trade in the add and delete and there appears to be significant positioning in one of the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Shriram Finance to Replace UPL

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.</li>
<li>As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.</li>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks</li>
</ul>


Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.
As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.
Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks


Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Union Bank Of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$370m (INR30bn) via its QIP.</li>
<li>The company last undertook a QIP in Aug 2023, which we covered in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/union-bank-of-india-qip-well-flagged-deal-recent-momentum-has-been-strong" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:110979" rel="noopener">Union Bank of India QIP - Well-Flagged Deal, Recent Momentum Has Been Strong</a>.</li>
<li>This deal too is a very well flagged one, with the firm having earlier reported that it would look to do a QIP to boost its free float and capital.</li>
</ul>



Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) is looking to raise up to US$370m (INR30bn) via its QIP.
The company last undertook a QIP in Aug 2023, which we covered in Union Bank of India QIP - Well-Flagged Deal, Recent Momentum Has Been Strong.
This deal too is a very well flagged one, with the firm having earlier reported that it would look to do a QIP to boost its free float and capital.


Union Bank of India QIP - Well-Flagged and Just in Time for Index Inclusion

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/juniper-hotels" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40186:1" rel="noopener">Juniper Hotels</a> is looking to raise up to US$217m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Juniper Hotels is the largest owner by no. of keys of Hyatt affiliated hotels in India as of 2Q23 (30th Jun 23), according to Horwath.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we provide our thoughts on valuations.</li>
</ul>



Juniper Hotels is looking to raise up to US$217m in its upcoming India IPO.
Juniper Hotels is the largest owner by no. of keys of Hyatt affiliated hotels in India as of 2Q23 (30th Jun 23), according to Horwath.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we provide our thoughts on valuations.


Juniper Hotels IPO - Looks Somewhat Fairly Valued

India

Eternal Limited is an online restaurant guide and food ordering platform. The Company offers platform connects customers, restaurants, and delivery partners to search and discover restaurants, read and write customer generated reviews, order food delivery, book a table, and make payments while dining-out at restaurants. Eternal serves customers worldwide.

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Eternal (ETERNAL IN)

ECM Weekly (4th Mar 2024) - Tokyo Metro, Mixue, Xtalpi, Bharat InvIT, Renesas, ITC/BAT, Precinct

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Shriram Finance to Replace UPL

Shriram Finance replaces UPLL in the NIFTY at the close on 27 March. Trent misses out on inclusion and that saves BPCL. There is over 11 days of...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Union Bank of India QIP - Well-Flagged and Just in Time for Index Inclusion

Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) is looking to raise up to US$370m (INR30bn) via its QIP. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Juniper Hotels IPO - Looks Somewhat Fairly Valued

Juniper Hotels is looking to raise up to US$217m in its upcoming India IPO. We have looked at the past performance earlier. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

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