Brief FX & Rates: Risk Aversion, Not Panic, in Face of Uncertainty and more

In this briefing:

  1. Risk Aversion, Not Panic, in Face of Uncertainty

1. Risk Aversion, Not Panic, in Face of Uncertainty

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Major currencies, equity markets and the price of crude oil since 8th June – the cycle low in the US Dollar – have exhibited reasonably limited directionality, narrow trading ranges and very low volatility, with the notable exception of currencies in Central and Latin America.

However this is not a case of more confident financial market participants finding their feet, in our view.

Rather it is a reflexion of greater global risk aversion, with financial markets unable to see through the smoke and reluctant to pit themselves against their peers and test monetary authorities’ resolve at a time of still acute uncertainty on many levels.

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