Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: SJM Holdings Ltd: Large Refi of Debt Buys Time for Grand Lisboa Palace to Prove Its US$3b Cost and more

In today’s briefing:

  • SJM Holdings Ltd: Large Refi of Debt Buys Time for Grand Lisboa Palace to Prove Its US$3b Cost
  • China Healthcare Weekly (May.26)- 9th National VBP, China’s Strength in ADC Field, Ovctek, Eyebright
  • RPPL: Q4 Weaker than Expected But On Track for Strong Earnings Growth Through FY25
  • Textron Inc.: Major Contracts With The U.S
  • International Paper Company: How Long Will The Struggles Continue? – Key Drivers
  • Cloudflare Inc.: Does It Have A Sustainable Competitive Advantage? – Key Drivers
  • First Solar Inc.: The Evolar AB Acquisition May Be Small But Is Key For Future Growth – Major Drivers

SJM Holdings Ltd: Large Refi of Debt Buys Time for Grand Lisboa Palace to Prove Its US$3b Cost

By Howard J Klein

  • Legacy concessionaire SJM needs a strong performance from its Cotai flagship to create positive cash flow to service debt and keep gains in mass market share.
  • The company has closed 5 satellite casinos, a move that indicates a shift in strategic goals aimed at building out from its two IRs.
  • Thus far, SJM has not fully participated in the  early Macau recovery cycle to make it a BUY but it needs to build on its 81% of mass revenue.

China Healthcare Weekly (May.26)- 9th National VBP, China’s Strength in ADC Field, Ovctek, Eyebright

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The 9th national VBP is drawing near. As all drugs under national/provincial VBP are scheduled to be executed before 2025/12/31, there should be new policies in 2026 and beyond.
  • The capabilities of Chinese pharmaceutical companies in ADC field have at least stepped onto a platform to compete with international giants, which is clearly more progressive than during PD-1 era.
  • We analyzed key points of Ovctek. Its investment logic has changed and centralized procurement will break investors’ expectations for Ovctek’s future performance growth. Valuation may continue to be under pressure.

RPPL: Q4 Weaker than Expected But On Track for Strong Earnings Growth Through FY25

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Rajshree Polypack’s (RPPL’s) Q4FY23 came in weaker than expected on both the sales volume and the margins front. Higher depreciation and interest costs led by capex further dampened the profitability.
  • However, RPPL is executing well on its revenue growth targets led by regular capex led investments. It is on track to do INR 450cr revenues by FY25.
  • RPPL has potential to post a PAT of INR 30cr+ by FY25, suggesting that RPPL is available at around 6x P/E on a base of FY25E PAT.

Textron Inc.: Major Contracts With The U.S

By Baptista Research

  • It was a mixed first quarter for Textron as the company failed to meet the revenue expectations of Wall Street given the lower revenues observed at Bell.
  • Despite the Aviation, Industrial, and Systems segments offsetting the decline, Textron’s revenues were below expectations though it did manage an earnings beat.
  • Textron Aviation received an initial award on the US Navy Multi-engine Training System contract, and fleet utilization remained strong, contributing to aftermarket revenue growth.

International Paper Company: How Long Will The Struggles Continue? – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • International Paper had a challenging start to 2023 as its revenue was slightly down though still above analyst expectations.
  • International Paper reported $65 million of year-over-year incremental earnings benefits from building better IP initiatives, but lower prices across their portfolio and weaker demand impacted margins.
  • Despite these challenges, International Paper remained focused on their key priorities of taking care of employees, customers and maximizing shareholder value.

Cloudflare Inc.: Does It Have A Sustainable Competitive Advantage? – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Q1 was a challenging quarter for Cloudflare as the company failed to meet the revenue expectations of Wall Street as a result of various the headwinds.
  • However, macroeconomic uncertainty lengthened sales cycles and affected close rates, resulting in a back-end weighted quarter.
  • Despite these challenges, Cloudflare remains resilient and profitable, with an operating profit of $19.4 million and generating $13.9 million of free cash flow.

First Solar Inc.: The Evolar AB Acquisition May Be Small But Is Key For Future Growth – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • First Solar had a very disappointing result in the last quarter as it failed to meet the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.
  • With their CadTel technology, vertically integrated manufacturing process, and commitment to Responsible Solar, First Solar could stand out from competitors and maintains long-term competitiveness.
  • The recent acquisition of the European perovskite company, Evolar AB was also a part of the expansion strategy.

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