Daily BriefsEvent-Driven

Daily Brief Event-Driven: Itochu Keeps Buying Fuji Oil and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Itochu Keeps Buying Fuji Oil, Takeover Offer Could Be Possible With Shares Near The Cyclical Bottom
  • Hang Seng Indexes: Rebalances Today; Recent Trading Data
  • Carbon Revolution: SPACed & Smacked
  • Expect Bigtincan To Reject SQN’s Proposal

Itochu Keeps Buying Fuji Oil, Takeover Offer Could Be Possible With Shares Near The Cyclical Bottom

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Itochu Corp (8001 JP) has restarted accumulating Fuji Oil Holdings (2607 JP) shares, with an acquisition of 3.5m shares during the last-quarter to take its ownership percentage in Fuji-Oil to 44%.
  • With both earnings and valuations at a cyclical bottom, Itochu could be encouraged to accumulate more Fuji Oil shares in the short term, resulting in Fuji Oil outperforming its peers.
  • We think even a takeover offer could be possible while the share price is hovering near the cyclical bottom.

Hang Seng Indexes: Rebalances Today; Recent Trading Data

By Brian Freitas

  • The December rebalance of the HSI INDEX, HSCEI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX takes place at the close today. One-way flow is estimated at HK$8.4bn.
  • There are 3 adds for the HSI INDEX and 4 adds/ 4 deletes for the HSCEI INDEX. There are float changes for a few stocks as well as capping changes. 
  • There is excess volume on most adds/deletes post announcement and short interest has also picked up significantly.

Carbon Revolution: SPACed & Smacked

By David Blennerhassett

  • Following a one-month suspension, carbon-fibre wheel maker Carbon Revolution Ltd (CBR AU) announced it will merge (and delist from the ASX) with Twin Ridge Capital, a US-listed SPAC.
  • CBR said it also requires upward of A$30mn in bridging finance to fund near-term costs (through to June 2023). The share price promptly tanked 50% upon the resumption of trading. 
  • It’s an intriguing situation with an implied notional share price of A$1.49/share under the merger, versus the current price of A$0.15. So I dig a little deeper.

Expect Bigtincan To Reject SQN’s Proposal

By David Blennerhassett

  • Software provider Bigtincan Holdings Ltd (BTH AU) has announced an indicative proposal, by way of Scheme, from PE outfit SQN Investors at A$0.80/share, a 17.6% premium to last close.
  • Due diligence has not yet been afforded. SQN currently holds a 13.6% stake.
  • BTH also highlighted it has had preliminary discussions with other interested parties. Expect BTH’s board not to engage with SQN at this price. 

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