Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: UK: Retail Rebounds to Still-Bleak Trends and more

In today’s briefing:

  • UK: Retail Rebounds to Still-Bleak Trends

UK: Retail Rebounds to Still-Bleak Trends

By Phil Rush

  • Retail sales rebounded slightly with the normalisation of working days after the Queen’s funeral. It also appeared to draw support from Amazon’s Prime Early Access sale.
  • An end to that short sale should weigh on November, despite Black Friday, as it is already counted. We expect a brief dip below the bleak downward retail trend. 
  • High inflation continues to squeeze real incomes and sales. Rising rates also depress disposable income and will probably push retail’s trend pace below real incomes.

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