Daily BriefsQuantitative Analysis

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: The Nikkei 225 Walks a Tightrope—More Upside or the End of the Run? and more

In today’s briefing:

  • The Nikkei 225 Walks a Tightrope—More Upside or the End of the Run?
  • KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 14th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, KB Financial
  • Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): True
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 14th): TSMC
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): Hon Hai Precision Industry, Mediatek


The Nikkei 225 Walks a Tightrope—More Upside or the End of the Run?

By Nico Rosti

  • One month ago, in a previous insight we theorized that the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) may have started a rally in September 2024, and could reach > 40398.
  • However the index continued its yo-yo dance roughly between the 37800 and 40200 boundaries – it’s not rallying, it did rally in August and September, but that was it.
  • The question is at this point is: can the index go higher? if the index pulls back, where would it be a good price area to buy?

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 14th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, KB Financial

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Feb 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD494.2bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD188mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, KB Financial.

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): True

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Feb 14th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in True Corporation (TRUE TB).

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 14th): TSMC

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,015.5bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,189mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC (2330 TT).

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): Hon Hai Precision Industry, Mediatek

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 14th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.3bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai Precision Industry, Mediatek.

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