Daily BriefsTechnical Analysis

Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Nifty Index (NIFTY INDEX) Has Confirmed Multi-Month Downtrend Risk and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Nifty Index (NIFTY INDEX) Has Confirmed Multi-Month Downtrend Risk
  • Hang Seng CEI (HSCEI) – High Probability Target at 9450/70 in 2023 (+20%)

Nifty Index (NIFTY INDEX) Has Confirmed Multi-Month Downtrend Risk

By David Coloretti, CMT

  • At TMA we deliver high probability outcomes by focusing on our 3 pillars of technical analysis. 1) Response to key levels. 2) Price action. 3) Momentum confirmation.
  • Every recommendation requires definitive evidence of all 3 pillars to be regarded as a high probability outcome. 
  • The Nifty Index (NIFTY INDEX) delivered upon our 3 pillars in Nov/Dec 2022. A consecutive down month in January will be further evidence of a likely 15%-18% correction.

Hang Seng CEI (HSCEI) – High Probability Target at 9450/70 in 2023 (+20%)

By David Coloretti, CMT

  • On 26 January 2023 we published our bearish multi-month Nifty Index (NIFTY INDEX) outlook. For the RV player, the Hang Seng CEI (HSCEI) is likely to present material opportunity.
  • At TMA we place tremendous emphasis on momentum confirmation. Currently, LT momentum triggers confirm a sustainable multi-month to multi-quarter uptrend in the HSCEI.
  • Occasionally Fibonacci retracement levels, based off different portions of a trend, coincide. These create high probability targets. 9450/70 in the HSCEI is one such high probability target in 2023.

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