Daily BriefsTechnical Analysis

Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Risk Pivots and Color into Late September and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Risk Pivots and Color into Late September
  • Bloomberg Commodity Index Breaks 2.5-Year Uptrend; Key Indexes/Sectors Testing Support at YTD Lows

Risk Pivots and Color into Late September

By Thomas Schroeder

  • Risk pivots and action points into our late September capitulation cycle with a granular look at intraday SPX, NDX and DXY wedge patterns. DJI new low leads.
  • September 27/28 cycle date with a secondary timeline in early October. Need final touches into new lows for a turn signal. 27-28 capitulation that leads to a key low.
  • Impulsive yield rise fits with a blow off yield move toward 4.19% projection with DXY to 115.40 and an SPX crack to a new low (3,530 once below 3,650).

Bloomberg Commodity Index Breaks 2.5-Year Uptrend; Key Indexes/Sectors Testing Support at YTD Lows

By Joe Jasper

  • In last week’s Macro Vision report, we noted breaks below 3900 on the SPX and $293 on the QQQ opened the door for a test of YTD lows, or worse.
  • We are now getting a test of the YTD lows of 3636 on the S&P 500 and $269 on QQQ
  • With so many indexes and key Sectors currently oversold and testing support, we could certainly see a bounce/pause at current levels.

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