Daily BriefsUnited States

Daily Brief United States: Microstrategy Inc Cl A, Moderna Inc, General Electric Co, Coca Cola Co, Confluent, Mondelez International, Shopify Inc and more

In today’s briefing:

  • MicroStrategy (MSTR US): Saylor Mirrors Bitcoin’s Fall
  • Moderna (MRNA US): Better-Than-Expected Q2 Result; Guidance Reiterated; $3B Share Buyback Announced
  • General Electric Company: New Product Lines
  • The Coca-Cola Co: The Jack & Coke Launch
  • Better Than Expected 2Q22 Results, Cloud Growth of 139% YoY, FY22 Revenue Guidance Moves Higher
  • Mondelez International Inc.: The Clif Bar Acquisition & Other Drivers
  • Breaking Growth Short Candidates: Shopify, Snowflake, Intuitive Surgical, ServiceNow

MicroStrategy (MSTR US): Saylor Mirrors Bitcoin’s Fall

By David Blennerhassett

  • Microstrategy Inc (MSTR US)‘s Michael Saylor will now assume the new role of Executive Chairman and Phong Le, MSTR’s President, will serve as the company’s new CEO.
  • As Executive Chairman, Saylor will focus more on MSTR’s bitcoin acquisition strategy and related bitcoin advocacy initiatives.
  • With one of the most bullish and influential players in the industry now focusing on crypto, this should be considered bullish, according to some media reports. That’s a desperate takeaway.

Moderna (MRNA US): Better-Than-Expected Q2 Result; Guidance Reiterated; $3B Share Buyback Announced

By Tina Banerjee

  • Moderna Inc (MRNA US) reported strong Q2 results, with both revenue and EPS surpassing consensus. Profitability was negatively impacted by one-off inventory write-down charge.
  • Management has reiterated advance purchase agreements for expected delivery of ~$21 billion in 2022. Assuming an endemic situation, Moderna’s commercial infrastructure is prepared for a 2023 commercial market.
  • The Board of Directors has approved a new share repurchase program for $3 billion in August 2022, with no expiry. Moderna shares have gained 27% in last three months.

General Electric Company: New Product Lines

By Ishan Majumdar

  • General Electric has started seeing a solid recovery in its aerospeace business which has become an important growth driver for the company.
  • Macro pressures and supply chain have affected the revenue adversely by approximately 5%.
  • The company has recently unveiled the innovative branding of its new companies, GE Vernova, GE Healthcare, and GE Aerospace.

The Coca-Cola Co: The Jack & Coke Launch

By Ishan Majumdar

  • Coca-Cola has been implementing various growth initiatives off-late to continue expanding its top-line.
  • The company had a good quarter and delivered an all-around beat and increased its volume and value share during the quarter.
  • Coca-Cola continued its strong marketing efforts and launched end-to-end digital-first brand campaigns for smartwater and vitaminwater.

Better Than Expected 2Q22 Results, Cloud Growth of 139% YoY, FY22 Revenue Guidance Moves Higher

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Confluent (CFLT US)  reported solid 2Q22 results, and most metrics were above sell-side expectations, including subscription revenue, gross margins, and operating margins. 
  • We are impressed with Confluent Cloud’s revenue growth of +139% y/y and strong subscription gross margins. Management raised FY22 revenue and profitability guidance. 
  • Our price target of $28 is slightly below the current share price. However, we see room for further multiple expansion due to revenue acceleration above consensus.

Mondelez International Inc.: The Clif Bar Acquisition & Other Drivers

By Ishan Majumdar

  • Mondelez International has been looking to strengthen its position in the snacking category and the recent $2.9 billion acquisition of Clif Bar is a key step in the process.
  • The company managed to deliver a strong result and an all-around beat with strong bottom and top-line performance growth in overall categories and regions.
  • These results, along with ongoing revenue growth management, simplification, and cost discipline, are delivering strong cash flow and robust profit dollar growth.

Breaking Growth Short Candidates: Shopify, Snowflake, Intuitive Surgical, ServiceNow

By Eric Fernandez, CFA

  • This model looks for slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance, among other characteristics.
  • The key judgement is whether a slowdown is temporary or the beginning of a trend.  These shorts tend to have high valuations and betas.  Multiple compression accelerates the stock’s decline.
  • Today we are flagging: Shopify, Snowflake, Intuitive Surgical, and ServiceNow

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