Daily BriefsIndustrials

Industrials: SCREEN Holdings, Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A., Berli Jucker, Avic Shenyang Aircraft, Kajaria Ceramics and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Good Results, Optimistic Guidance, Great Uncertainty
  • Siemens Energy/Siemens Gamesa: Possible Delisting Offer
  • BJC: Gaining Market Share on Modern Retail Business
  • AVIC Shenyang (600760 CH): Defense Is Defensive
  • HSIE Results Daily: Kajaria Ceramics

Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Good Results, Optimistic Guidance, Great Uncertainty

By Scott Foster

  • Screen Holdings beat FY Mar-22 profit guidance by a wide margin. This year, management is aiming for 12% sales growth and a 22% increase in operating profit.
  • New SPE orders have exceeded sales for seven straight quarters and the backlog is at a record high. But 1H of FY Mar-23 is expected to be weak.
  • A new factory is scheduled to come on line in 4Q, raising total SPE capacity by 20%. The risk is that this will coincide with a downturn in demand.

Siemens Energy/Siemens Gamesa: Possible Delisting Offer

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Siemens Energy is considering a cash offer for the 32.9% of Siemens Gamesa it does not own. Group simplification and major restructuring would make sense.
  • Applying the 6-month VWAP rule, the offer price could reach c. €18.1/share. Takeover regulation says the offer must be in cash and the price equitable, allowing for other calculation methods.
  • Siemens Energy does not need to offer a high premium and could make an announcement on 24 May (CMD). Recommendation is long.

BJC: Gaining Market Share on Modern Retail Business

By Pi Research

  • Yesterday analyst meeting came out with slightly positive tone. However, weak short-term performance from rising energy cost and lower consumer purchasing power and limited upside to our target price
  • From management guidance, gross profit margin will be decline 50bps YoY in 2022 due to a rising energy cost and raw material in packaging business and consumer supply business. Meanwhile
  • We have positive view on medium to long-term performance supported by better modern retail performance (BigC). Currently,BigC market share was at 21% (+1% to 2% YoY) and we expect BigC 

AVIC Shenyang (600760 CH): Defense Is Defensive

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • As a major player in China’s defense sector with established franchise in combat aircraft, Avic Shenyang Aircraft (600760 CH) will enjoy earnings stability, reflecting positively on its defensiveness.
  • We believe it will benefit from China’s efforts to narrow military gap against the US and the increase in military spending due to rising geopolitical tension globally. 
  • AVIC Shenyang is less affected by pandemic lockdowns and has showed good capability to improve profitability, which are reflected in the solid 61% growth in 1Q22 recurring profit.

HSIE Results Daily: Kajaria Ceramics

By HDFC Securities

  • Q4FY22 performance: Kajaria posted lower-than-estimated margin (~200bps miss) in Q4FY22, as margin compressed QoQ on rising gas prices (crude linked).
  • Tiles sales volumes/revenue rose 2/16% YoY (2-year CAGR 19/29%). Outsourced volume continues to lead growth (+12% YoY, 2-year CAGR 39%).
  • Outlook: For FY23, KJC targets volume/revenue growth of ~15-20%/20-25%.

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