Daily BriefsMacro

Macro: Profit Opportunities in the Coming Global Recession and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Profit Opportunities in the Coming Global Recession
  • Top 20 Best Performers in KOSPI (Week of 6 May)
  • Making Sense of the H&S Breakdown

Profit Opportunities in the Coming Global Recession

By Cam Hui

  • A survey of the world economic outlook shows the increased risk of a global recession. 
  • An analysis of the global regions indicates the U.S. is no longer a safe haven in the latest downturn.
  • Relative valuations of non-U.S. markets have converged and the best opportunity is appearing in non-German eurozone.

Top 20 Best Performers in KOSPI (Week of 6 May)

By Douglas Kim

  • This is the first weekly series on the “Top 20 Best Performers in KOSPI Adjusted for Trading Value & Mkt Cap.” 
  • This Korean weekly is aimed at providing a better framework for spotting the big potential winners in the Korean stock market as well as changing sectoral and company trends.
  • These 20 stocks are up on average 13.9% from 28 April to 6 May, significantly outperforming KOSPI which is down 0.9% in the same period. 

Making Sense of the H&S Breakdown

By Cam Hui

  • Our assessment of the bull and bear debate is really a debate of differing time horizons.
  • The bullish factors are mainly short-term in nature, while bearish factors tend to be more intermediate term.
  • Our base-case scenario calls for a short-term bottom and a bear market rally of unknown magnitude, followed by a greater decline into an ultimate low in the coming months.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma