Daily BriefsMacro

Macro: Recession Is Here! SPX(S&P500) Still Set to Test 3200.Last Week’s US Fed Move Makes This More Likely and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Recession Is Here! SPX(S&P500) Still Set to Test 3200.Last Week’s US Fed Move Makes This More Likely

Recession Is Here! SPX(S&P500) Still Set to Test 3200.Last Week’s US Fed Move Makes This More Likely

By Michael J. Howell

  • Bear market results from sharp monetary squeeze as Central Bank liquidity withdrawn, led by Fed. More pain to come. Recession is here
  • US Federal Reserve is driving markets lower and USD up. QT has officially started, but Fed has in fact been secretly tightening liquidity for months
  • Effective Fed balance sheet likely to contract by US$2 trillion under QT plans, but policy error could easily force a bigger US$3 trillion correction. Wall Street at risk.

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