Daily BriefsThailand

Thailand: TTW Pcl, Bangchak Corporation, Global Green Chemicals and more

In today’s briefing:

  • TTW: Bleak 2022 Outlook and Recovery Thereafter
  • BCP: Solid Refinery, E&P Performance to Drive 2Q22-2022 Earnings
  • GGC: Muted 2H22 Growth Expectations

TTW: Bleak 2022 Outlook and Recovery Thereafter

By Pi Research

  • We downgrade the rating to HOLD from BUY and revise down the target price by 22% to Bt11.70 due to weak earnings outlook from low tap water demand on account 
  • 1Q22 net profit dropped to Bt613m (-13% YoY, -1% QoQ), a 4-year low. The result came out lower than our expectation.
  • The YoY earnings drop was due to decline in gross margin, higher SG&A to sales and lower share of profit from CKP.Meanwhile, revenue dropped 4% YoY dragged by lower sales 

BCP: Solid Refinery, E&P Performance to Drive 2Q22-2022 Earnings

By Pi Research

  • The analyst meeting came out in a positive tone. We maintain the BUY call based on a target price of Bt42.0, derived using SOTP methodology, implying 1.1xPBV’23E.
  • Expect the 2Q22 recurring profit to improve both YoY and QoQ on the back of solid refinery and E&P business operations.
  • The bright refinery performance should continue to excel in 2Q22 underpinned by higher GRM and full refinery utilization.

GGC: Muted 2H22 Growth Expectations

By Pi Research

  • Last week analyst meeting came out in a negative tone.Maintain HOLD rating with a new TP of Bt13.00(down 9% from previous TP) based on 1.27xPBV’22E which is close to ASIA 
  • We foresee earnings momentum to slowdown QoQ in 2Q22,pressure by change to B5 biodiesel policy,along with seasonality effect will hurt biodiesel demand despite lockdown easing, but should be mildly cushion
  • Meanwhile, FA demand in 2Q22 should remain stable backed by growing consumption of personal care products and rising prices for substitute products

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