Founded in December 2012 in Roppongi Tokyo, BASE Inc (4477 JP) is an e-commerce platform, payment services provider and also a SME funding services provider. The company’s main business “BASE” is an e-commerce platform which allows businesses and individuals to create online shops.
In our last couple of reports, we suggested that there are downside risks as investor demand for COVID-resistant stocks have driven BASE’s valuation to unwarranted levels.
However, we were reluctant to consider a short position and wanted to wait until FY+2 EV/Sales peak before arranging a short position.
Over the last week BASE’s share price has rallied another 30%. Today the share price reached a new high of ¥16,510 per share before ending the day at ¥15,930 per share, up 12% from yesterday’s close price.
As a result, BASE’s consensus FY+2 EV/Sales have reached a new high of 25.1x and offers an opportunity to arrange a short position with favourable risks rewards.
Link-U (4446 JP) is a young, fast-growing technology company in an attractive sector. Indications are that the company has a strong moat around costs and switching, both of which can combine to get clients on the platform and keep them there. Management is focused on growth and is focused on certain niche areas withing their sphere of competence and skill. The shift to the TSE 1st section in July 2020 should increase visibility as the company moves to build out its infrastructure, expand its engineering talent, and grow its business lines under a management team that is properly aligned with the company’s performance.