Daily BriefsTMT/Internet

TMT: Yidu Tech Inc, ByteDance, SK Holdings, Ebay Inc, Renesas Electronics and more

In today’s briefing:

  • ECM Weekly (10 January 2021) – RLX Technology, Roiserv, Yidu Tech, and Placements
  • Aequitas 2021 Asia IPO Pipeline – More Mega IPOs to Come
  • SK Holdings: Sum-Of-The Parts Valuation Analysis & Key Catalysts
  • TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 1/8/2021
  • Renesas – Auto Chip Shortage Could Drive Further Gains

ECM Weekly (10 January 2021) – RLX Technology, Roiserv, Yidu Tech, and Placements

By Zhen Zhou, Toh

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

To kickstart the new year, we shared Aequitas 2020 IPOs and Placements results. 2020 marked our second full year of operations as an Independent Research Company, and our fifth year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM). Even though ECM started off on a precarious note, it ended with very strong momentum. 

Hong Kong ECM kicked off the year on a strong note with Yidu Tech Inc (2158 HK) closing its bookbuild a day earlier than stipulated. The deal was launched on the last day of 2020. Roiserv Lifestyle Services (2146 HK), the property management arm of Risesun Real Estate Devel A (002146 CH), also launched its bookbuild on the same day. 

There are a few IPOs looking to launch their IPOs soon such as Beijing Kuaishou Technology Co Ltd (1496219D CH)MicroPort CardioFlow (1844972D HK), and New Horizon Health (NHH HK). There is also another wave of secondary listings. We heard that Baidu (BIDU US), Autohome Inc (Adr) (ATHM US), and Bilibili Inc (BILI US) will likely come to market soon.

Other than IPOs, Hong Kong companies/shareholders were eager to sell to lock in some cash. Shareholders of Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) was back on the market, ahead of lock-up to sell again whereas Haidilao (6862 HK)‘s cofounders, Shi Yonghong and Li Haiyan, sold about 1.4% stake in the company and locked in US$600m in cash on Friday. 

There was also a big block in Korea, sold by the ten shareholders of Doosan Fuel Cell Co Ltd (336260 KS) who had earlier failed to sell their entire shareholding last year. Hence, this was likely an expected selldown.

In the US, despite the uncertainty surrounding China ADRs as evidenced from the deletion of the three Chinese telcos from MSCI and FTSE, RLX Technology Inc (RLX US) is looking to raise about US$1bn from its IPO. The company was said to be premarketing its IPO.

In Thailand, market will likely see more deals coming their way after Kerry Express Thailand (KEX TB) strong debut towards the end of 2020. We are hearing that PTT Oil and Retail (PTTOR TB) will likely launch its bookbuild early next week.

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 73.5% for IPOs and 66.9% for Placements 

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings this week

  • Chaoju Eye Care (Hong Kong, ~US$200m)
  • Linklogic Inc. (Hong Kong, >US$100m)
  • Toplist (Hong Kong, re-filed)
Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

News on Upcoming IPOs

Analysis on Upcoming IPOs

Name Insight
Hong Kong
ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok 

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: How Has It Done in 1H? 

ByteDance

ByteDance: The Unlisted Company’s Video Apps Leading the Market and Threatening Internet Giants 

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok 

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO – Globally the Most Downloaded App for Jan 2020 Driven by India 

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Global Ambition Meets Regulatory Challenges 

Dida

Dida Pre-IPO – Making Hay While Big Brother Retreats 

E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO – Better Disclosure in New Prospectus 

E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO – Still Largely Reliant on Galaxy, Poor Disclosure Doesn’t Help 

Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO – Rapid Earnings Growth on the Back of Margin Improvement 

Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO – A Lot of Things Still Remain Unexplained 

Kuaishou

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO – The Positives – Hot Segment, Fast Growth 

Kuaishou

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Ample Doubts Remain 

Megvii Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO – Remarkable Growth (Part 1) 
Megvii Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO – A Bet on the Future – Segments, Revenue Drivers and Growth Potential 
Megvii Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO – The Real Race Is in Research – Founders’ Profile and Talent 
Megvii Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO – Competitive Landscape and Peer Analysis 
Megvii Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO –  Initial Thoughts on Valuation 
Ocumension Ocumension (欧康维视) Pre-IPO: All Ready for a Great Listing Except a Block Buster 
RemeGen RemeGen (荣昌生物) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation of RC18 and RC48 
Toplist Toplist China Pre-IPO – Overwhelmingly More Negatives than Positives 
Tasly Tasly Biopharm (天士力生物) IPO: Visible Growth from Approved Drug but Lacks Blockbusters 
WeDoctor WeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO -App Walk Through – The Online Medical Directory and More 
WeDoctor WeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO – A More Focused Online Medical Svc Provider than Ping An Good Doctor 
India
ASK ASK Investment Managers Pre-IPO – Riding on a Wave of Wealth 
Anmol Ind Anmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take – No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotel

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO – Catching up with Peers 

Brookfields REIT

Brookfields India Real Estate Trust Pre-IPO – The Positives- Provides Different Geographic Exposure 

Brookfields REIT

Brookfields India Real Estate Trust Pre-IPO- The Negatives- Asset Details Leave Questions Unanswered 

Bajaj En

Bajaj Energy Pre-IPO – Supposed to Deliver Steady Performance if Only Its Sole Client Would Let It 

CMS Info CMS Info Systems Pre-IPO – When a PE Sells to Another PE… Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal Crop Crystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO – DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
ESAF SFB ESAF Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO – Growing Fast but Remains Highly Dependant on a Related Party 
Flemingo  Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO – Its a Different Business in Every Country
Emami Cem Emami Cement Pre-IPO – Still in Ramp Up Phase but Shares Pledge Might Lead to an Early IPO 
IRFC Indian Railway Finance Pre-IPO – Low Risk, Low Margin Business 
NSE NSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSE National Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review – Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
Mrs. Bector Mrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take – Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

LIC

Life Insurance Corporation of India Pre-IPO – Early Take on India’s Largest IPO 

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO – Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
Lodha Lodha Developers IPO: Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
Penna Cem Penna Cement – Aggressive Expansion Plans Even Though Past Performance Has Been Tepid 
PNB Met PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
Samhi Hotels Samhi Hotels Pre-IPO – Assets and Borrowings Are Growing, but Earnings Haven’t Kept Pace 
Malaysia
QSR QSR Brands Pre-IPO – As Healthy as Fast Food
Thailand
PTTOR PTT Oil and Retail IPO – F&B Business Is the Profit Driver 
The U.S
CDP CDP Holdings Pre-IPO Review – Highly Reliant on Best Inc. 
CloudMinds CloudMinds Inc Early Thoughts – Still Nascent

Aequitas 2021 Asia IPO Pipeline – More Mega IPOs to Come

By Zhen Zhou, Toh

In this note, we aim to highlight the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2021. This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various media and other sources.

For readers who are not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex-Korea and A-shares), including China ADRs. Hence, our pipeline will only include companies that fit these criterion.

Feel free to drop us a message for additional information (bookrunners and coverage) on these IPOs


SK Holdings: Sum-Of-The Parts Valuation Analysis & Key Catalysts

By Douglas Kim

In this insight, we provide an updated sum-of-the parts (SoTP) valuation on SK Holdings (034730 KS). There are many moving parts of SK Holdings and it helps to review the main factors that have been impacting its share price. Our base case valuation of SK Holdings is 448,850 won, which represents a 54% upside from current levels. 

We believe that the 6 MOST IMPORTANT FACTORS impacting the share price of SK Holdings are currently as follows:

I. A Big Investment ($1.5 Billion) in Plug Power

II. SK IE Technology IPO

III. Sale of SK Lubricants

IV. SK Telecom’s Higher Share Price Trend

V. Changing values of SK Siltron, SK E&S and other private companies

VI. Changing values of SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS), Sk Materials (036490 KS), SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS), and other public companies


TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 1/8/2021

By Aaron Gabin

Three things caught our eye this first week of 2021: eBay, Amazon, and the spectrum auction.

Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.


Renesas – Auto Chip Shortage Could Drive Further Gains

By Mio Kato

Automakers are starting to struggle with chip shortages as the Nikkei reports here, here and here. This is an extension of a broad chip shortage globally as WFH demand, the launch of new consoles, GPUs and CPUs and rapidly recovering auto sales pour some short-term fuel on the long-term fire of expanding electrification and digitalisation. No wonder then that TSMC is up 134% from its March lows, but Renesas is up an even more impressive 248% since its lows of 2020 and could continue to outperform.


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