Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

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Equity Bottom-Up

Ambuja Cements Limited manufactures cement in India. The Company owns specially designed ships and terminals for bulk transportation of its products. Ambuja Cement sells most of its products domestically, but also has a subsidiary that markets the Group's items in Sri Lanka.

<ul>
<li>Ambuja Cements (ACEM) has raised its FY28 capacity target to 155 million tonnes per annum and secured the acquisition of Jaiprakash Associates’ (JAL) cement business. 
</li>
<li>This aggressive scale-up, underpinned by a target cost reduction of INR 550/t and a green power push, is expected to drive EBITDA to INR 15000/t over FY26-28E. 
</li>
<li>ACEM’s integrated strategy of inorganic growth and operational efficiency suggests a strong re-rating potential, justifying a deeper review of core fundamentals. 
</li>
</ul>


Ambuja Cements (ACEM) has raised its FY28 capacity target to 155 million tonnes per annum and secured the acquisition of Jaiprakash Associates’ (JAL) cement business. 

This aggressive scale-up, underpinned by a target cost reduction of INR 550/t and a green power push, is expected to drive EBITDA to INR 15000/t over FY26-28E. 

ACEM’s integrated strategy of inorganic growth and operational efficiency suggests a strong re-rating potential, justifying a deeper review of core fundamentals. 



The Beat Ideas: Ambuja Cements From Consolidation to Cost Leadership - Unpacking the 155 MTPA Plan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The full enforcement of Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) Quality Control Orders (QCO) has triggered a supply shock, collapsing wood panel imports by 90% as of late 2025.</li>
<li>This creates an immediate INR3,000+ crore revenue vacuum. Combined with a K-shaped real estate recovery favoring premium homes, demand is shifting from unorganized sector (70% share) to compliant listed leaders.</li>
<li>The industry is transitioning from a fragmented, low-entry-barrier market into a compliance-driven oligopoly. Organized leaders with scale, certification, and capital efficiency are positioned to capture disproportionate value.</li>
</ul>


The full enforcement of Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) Quality Control Orders (QCO) has triggered a supply shock, collapsing wood panel imports by 90% as of late 2025.
This creates an immediate INR3,000+ crore revenue vacuum. Combined with a K-shaped real estate recovery favoring premium homes, demand is shifting from unorganized sector (70% share) to compliant listed leaders.
The industry is transitioning from a fragmented, low-entry-barrier market into a compliance-driven oligopoly. Organized leaders with scale, certification, and capital efficiency are positioned to capture disproportionate value.


Thematic Report on Indian Wood Panel Industry: The "Compliance Moat" Supercycle

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

NLC India Limited operates as a mining and power company. The Company focuses on lignite mining, as well as provides thermal and renewable power generation services. NLC India serves clients in India.

<ul>
<li>NLCIL has outlined a transformative Rs. 1.17 lakh crore capex plan and guided to a 42% PAT growth from FY26E to FY28E.
</li>
<li>This dual-pronged strategy balances India’s persistent base-load thermal power need with an aggressive pivot towards 10 GW of renewable energy by FY30.
</li>
<li>The substantial planned capacity additions and robust financial guidance suggest NLCIL is poised for material earnings expansion, necessitating a fresh look at long-term valuation multiples.</li>
</ul>


NLCIL has outlined a transformative Rs. 1.17 lakh crore capex plan and guided to a 42% PAT growth from FY26E to FY28E.

This dual-pronged strategy balances India’s persistent base-load thermal power need with an aggressive pivot towards 10 GW of renewable energy by FY30.

The substantial planned capacity additions and robust financial guidance suggest NLCIL is poised for material earnings expansion, necessitating a fresh look at long-term valuation multiples.


The Beat Ideas: NLC India-A 1.17 Lakh Crores Capex, Renewable Focus

<ul>
<li>The Indian diagnostic sector has exited the post-COVID "volume hangover." Leading players are pivoting from pandemic-era testing to sustainable drivers: wellness packages, specialized testing (oncology/genomics), and aggressive Tier-3/4 expansion.</li>
<li>Organized chains currently hold 20-24% market share. With pricing discipline returning and digital aggregators reducing discounts, listed players are poised to gain share from the unorganized fragment (80% of market).  </li>
<li>Valuations have corrected to attractive levels. We see a strong re-rating potential for pan-India players with robust balance sheets capable of funding M&amp;A and organic expansion.</li>
</ul>


The Indian diagnostic sector has exited the post-COVID "volume hangover." Leading players are pivoting from pandemic-era testing to sustainable drivers: wellness packages, specialized testing (oncology/genomics), and aggressive Tier-3/4 expansion.
Organized chains currently hold 20-24% market share. With pricing discipline returning and digital aggregators reducing discounts, listed players are poised to gain share from the unorganized fragment (80% of market).  
Valuations have corrected to attractive levels. We see a strong re-rating potential for pan-India players with robust balance sheets capable of funding M&amp;A and organic expansion.


Thematic Report on India Diagnostics: The Great Consolidation and the Rise of Organized Chains

Dodla Dairy Limited manufactures dairy products. The Company produces and markets milk, curd, butter, cheese, buttermilk, and ice cream products. Dodla Dairy serves customers in India.

<ul>
<li>Dodla is entering a new growth phase with its Maharashtra plant, OSAM integration, premium value-added products, and stronger Africa operations, supported by a solid procurement network.</li>
<li>With over 94% direct milk sourcing, better farmer yields through Orgafeed, and a rising VAP mix, Dodla is building a high-return, self-funded growth model.</li>
<li>As capex peaks and free cash flows inflect post-FY27, Dodla is transitioning into a structurally compounding dairy platform with improving mix, margins, and regional balance.</li>
</ul>


Dodla is entering a new growth phase with its Maharashtra plant, OSAM integration, premium value-added products, and stronger Africa operations, supported by a solid procurement network.
With over 94% direct milk sourcing, better farmer yields through Orgafeed, and a rising VAP mix, Dodla is building a high-return, self-funded growth model.
As capex peaks and free cash flows inflect post-FY27, Dodla is transitioning into a structurally compounding dairy platform with improving mix, margins, and regional balance.


The Beat Ideas: Dodla Dairy: A Story of Value Added Products & Premiumisation