Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

DiDi Chuxing Inc operates passenger transportation platforms. The Company provides mobility solutions, cloud computing, and other application based services. DiDi Chuxing serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Didi's China business showed solid Y/Y growth, but International worsened dramatically</li>
<li>Spending on Sales &amp; Marketing (including incentives) was up CNY 1.7 bn Y/Y, or +55%</li>
<li>Should it seek an IPO soon, Didi will have to show a path to profits for International segment</li>
</ul>


Didi's China business showed solid Y/Y growth, but International worsened dramatically
Spending on Sales &amp; Marketing (including incentives) was up CNY 1.7 bn Y/Y, or +55%
Should it seek an IPO soon, Didi will have to show a path to profits for International segment


Didi Global Q325 Results | China Solid, But International Goes From Bad to Worse | How to Fix?

Equity Bottom-Up

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. operates as a software company. The Company develops digital freight and logistics platform.

<ul>
<li>The company's decision to de-emphasize Freight Brokerage Services undermined Q3 results</li>
<li>The rest of the company's reporting segments performed well in all respects</li>
<li>Look for opportunity to buy YMM shares at US$9/ADS or better</li>
</ul>


The company's decision to de-emphasize Freight Brokerage Services undermined Q3 results
The rest of the company's reporting segments performed well in all respects
Look for opportunity to buy YMM shares at US$9/ADS or better


Full Truck Alliance Q325 Results: Trimming Freight Brokerage Services Means Slower Near-Term Growth

Evergreen Marine Corp. (Taiwan) Ltd. transports freight by ships. The Company operates container ships to move freight throughout the world. Evergreen Marine has interests in terminals, airline operations and motor freight transportation, as well as container manufacturing.

<ul>
<li>Our measure of container shipping price momentum remained weak in October</li>
<li>Poor Q3 results and downbeat Q4/FY guidance from Maersk, Zim; and Suez re-opening?</li>
<li>Conditions are poor and will likely remain that way for a while; AVOID the sector</li>
</ul>


Our measure of container shipping price momentum remained weak in October
Poor Q3 results and downbeat Q4/FY guidance from Maersk, Zim; and Suez re-opening?
Conditions are poor and will likely remain that way for a while; AVOID the sector


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker: Poor Q3 Results, Weak Guidance, A Re-Opening of Suez? | AVOID

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

<ul>
<li>ZTO Express reported another set of weak results after the US close on November 19</li>
<li>Although Q3 unit prices rose slightly, unit costs increased by much more, crushing margins</li>
<li>On both sides of the price-volume tradeoff, ZTO continues to lose profitability | AVOID</li>
</ul>


ZTO Express reported another set of weak results after the US close on November 19
Although Q3 unit prices rose slightly, unit costs increased by much more, crushing margins
On both sides of the price-volume tradeoff, ZTO continues to lose profitability | AVOID


ZTO Express Q325 Results | Revenue, ASPs Both Up Y/Y | But Earnings, Margins Both Down | AVOID

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

<ul>
<li>Revenue growth in Q3 (+15.5% Y/Y) held up reasonably well for Trip.com</li>
<li>But core margins continue to deteriorate: Adjusted EBITDA margin down -120 bps Y/Y</li>
<li>We still feel TCOM shares are pricey, and that earnings growth is unimpressive</li>
</ul>


Revenue growth in Q3 (+15.5% Y/Y) held up reasonably well for Trip.com
But core margins continue to deteriorate: Adjusted EBITDA margin down -120 bps Y/Y
We still feel TCOM shares are pricey, and that earnings growth is unimpressive


Trip.com Q325 Results | Revenue Growth OK | Core Margins Still Falling | Avoid