Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Typical Intel? 18A node was going to be a great success with customers lining up. CFO now says that revenues from external customers is "not significant", limited to packaging only.</li>
<li>Intel CFO toned expectation of significant external 18A revenues by 2027: some revenues with UMC, Tower, some packaging, some older gen Intel16 “not a ton has to come from 18A”.   </li>
<li>Clear admission that Intel Foundry won't be ready for external clients before 14A in 2028 due to lack of design tools (PDK). All that is good for TSMC.</li>
</ul>


Typical Intel? 18A node was going to be a great success with customers lining up. CFO now says that revenues from external customers is "not significant", limited to packaging only.
Intel CFO toned expectation of significant external 18A revenues by 2027: some revenues with UMC, Tower, some packaging, some older gen Intel16 “not a ton has to come from 18A”.   
Clear admission that Intel Foundry won't be ready for external clients before 14A in 2028 due to lack of design tools (PDK). All that is good for TSMC.


Intel 18A: Cracks in the Wall. Good for TSMC.

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We launch the Emmer Capital Asia ex Japan Equity Model Portfolio. We shall measure the absolute and relative performance (vi-a-vis MSCI Asia-ex-Japan Index) of the portfolio and rebalance it monthly.</li>
<li>Our sector and market choices are governed by macro-economic and policy considerations. Asian consumption support, inflation divergence strengthening Asian currencies and market leading domestic exposures are some of the themes.</li>
<li>We are overweight HK/China, India, Korea; underweight Taiwan, ASEAN. We like consumer discretionary, communication services and technology, despite the latter's global footprint. We prefer high ROEs and dividend yields.</li>
</ul>


We launch the Emmer Capital Asia ex Japan Equity Model Portfolio. We shall measure the absolute and relative performance (vi-a-vis MSCI Asia-ex-Japan Index) of the portfolio and rebalance it monthly.
Our sector and market choices are governed by macro-economic and policy considerations. Asian consumption support, inflation divergence strengthening Asian currencies and market leading domestic exposures are some of the themes.
We are overweight HK/China, India, Korea; underweight Taiwan, ASEAN. We like consumer discretionary, communication services and technology, despite the latter's global footprint. We prefer high ROEs and dividend yields.


Asian Equities: Launching Our Asia Ex Japan Model Portfolio

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Global semiconductor sales for the month of March 2025 amounted to $55.9 billion, up 1.8% MoM and up 21.8% YoY</li>
<li>TSMC last week announced that revenue for the month of April amounted to NT$349.57 billion, up 22.2% MoM, up 48.1% YoY and a all time record monthly high</li>
<li>The latest monthly Taiwan semi revenues show little signs of a semi slowdown. Lagging edge remains sluggish, wafer inventories are still too high but leading edge continues to rule</li>
</ul>


Global semiconductor sales for the month of March 2025 amounted to $55.9 billion, up 1.8% MoM and up 21.8% YoY
TSMC last week announced that revenue for the month of April amounted to NT$349.57 billion, up 22.2% MoM, up 48.1% YoY and a all time record monthly high
The latest monthly Taiwan semi revenues show little signs of a semi slowdown. Lagging edge remains sluggish, wafer inventories are still too high but leading edge continues to rule


Key Indicator Updates: Semi Sales, WFE Forecast, Latest Taiwan Monthlies & A Blow Out April For TSMC

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in TSMC, Mediatek, Hon Hai Precision, Asia Vital Components, Chailease, Compal Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in TSMC, Mediatek, Hon Hai Precision, Asia Vital Components, Chailease, Compal Electronics.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): TSMC, Mediatek, Hon Hai Precision, Asia Vital Components

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 9th which has an aggregated holding worth USD969.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD4,132mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, SCSB, Asustek Computer, Ctbc Financial, Quanta Computer, Fubon Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 9th which has an aggregated holding worth USD969.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD4,132mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, SCSB, Asustek Computer, Ctbc Financial, Quanta Computer, Fubon Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 9th): Reversal to Inflows, Led by TSMC

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Intel 18A: Cracks in the Wall. Good for TSMC.

Intel's 18A node not expected to bring significant external revenues, CFO says limited to packaging only. Foundry won't be ready for external...

Nicolas Baratte

Asian Equities: Launching Our Asia Ex Japan Model Portfolio

Emmer Capital's Asia ex JP Equity Model Portfolio is Overwt on HK/CN, India, Korea & underwt Taiwan, ASEAN. We like consumer discretionary, comm...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Key Indicator Updates: Semi Sales, WFE Forecast, Latest Taiwan Monthlies & A Blow Out April For TSMC

The latest monthly Taiwan semi revenues show little signs of a semi slowdown. Lagging edge remains sluggish, wafer inventories are still too high...

William Keating

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): TSMC, Mediatek, Hon Hai Precision, Asia Vital Components

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TSMC, Mediatek, Hon Hai Precision, Asia Vital...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 9th): Reversal to Inflows, Led by TSMC

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, SCSB, Asustek Computer, Ctbc Financial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Intel 18A: Cracks in the Wall. Good for TSMC.

​Intel's 18A node not expected to bring significant external revenues, CFO says limited to packaging only. Foundry won't be ready for external...

Nicolas Baratte

Asian Equities: Launching Our Asia Ex Japan Model Portfolio

Emmer Capital's Asia ex JP Equity Model Portfolio is Overwt on HK/CN, India, Korea & underwt Taiwan, ASEAN. We like consumer discretionary, comm...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Key Indicator Updates: Semi Sales, WFE Forecast, Latest Taiwan Monthlies & A Blow Out April For TSMC

The latest monthly Taiwan semi revenues show little signs of a semi slowdown. Lagging edge remains sluggish, wafer inventories are still too high...

William Keating

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): TSMC, Mediatek, Hon Hai Precision, Asia Vital Components

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TSMC, Mediatek, Hon Hai Precision, Asia Vital...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 9th): Reversal to Inflows, Led by TSMC

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, SCSB, Asustek Computer, Ctbc Financial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Intel's 18A node not expected to bring significant external revenues, CFO says limited to packaging only. Foundry won't be ready for external...