Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Asia bottomed out in mid January and has been recovering on "Trump tariff" hesitation. But Deepseek's LLM threatens to upend US AI superiority and has dented the AI investment theme.</li>
<li>We think the AI story is far from over; the hyperscalers' investments should continue. We keep faith on the beneficiaries - TSMC and SK Hynix, and on Taiwan in particular.</li>
<li>Asian equities could run if foreign flows revive on USD moderation. But the earnings season underscores US earnings profile superiority. Asia seems pedestrian in comparison. Watch earnings estimate trajectories closely.</li>
</ul>


Asia bottomed out in mid January and has been recovering on "Trump tariff" hesitation. But Deepseek's LLM threatens to upend US AI superiority and has dented the AI investment theme.
We think the AI story is far from over; the hyperscalers' investments should continue. We keep faith on the beneficiaries - TSMC and SK Hynix, and on Taiwan in particular.
Asian equities could run if foreign flows revive on USD moderation. But the earnings season underscores US earnings profile superiority. Asia seems pedestrian in comparison. Watch earnings estimate trajectories closely.


Asian Equities: Markets Recovering Selectively, but Keep the Seatbelts Tightened

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>India Real Estate, South Korea Financials and Turkey Financials see big increases in ownership in 2024.</li>
<li>South Korea Materials, China Technology and China Health Care saw investment levels decline.</li>
<li>Sk Hynix saw the largest increase in fund ownership, but which stocks saw large decreases, and which look set for a promising 2025?</li>
</ul>


India Real Estate, South Korea Financials and Turkey Financials see big increases in ownership in 2024.
South Korea Materials, China Technology and China Health Care saw investment levels decline.
Sk Hynix saw the largest increase in fund ownership, but which stocks saw large decreases, and which look set for a promising 2025?


GEM Fund Positioning: The Big Rotations in 2024.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 10.8% Premium; Taiwanese Investors Likely to Be Less Shocked by DeepSeek News?</li>
<li>UMC: -7.3% Discount; The Latest Extreme Discount Cannot Be Sustained</li>
<li>ASE: -10.2% Discount; This Extreme Discount Also Cannot Be Sustained</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 10.8% Premium; Taiwanese Investors Likely to Be Less Shocked by DeepSeek News?
UMC: -7.3% Discount; The Latest Extreme Discount Cannot Be Sustained
ASE: -10.2% Discount; This Extreme Discount Also Cannot Be Sustained


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Dramatic Spreads Open Up After DeepSeek Rout & Taiwan Market Closure

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>DeepSeek's R1 is a game changer that's taken the world by storm. It's a fantastic accomplishment by a Chinese team and a huge endorsement of the open source approach</li>
<li>US competitors have egg on their faces now, but they will adapt. Competition is always a good thing &amp; the future of AI just got a whole lot brighter</li>
<li>Last night’s selloff was overdone in our view. Happy CNY to all!</li>
</ul>


DeepSeek's R1 is a game changer that's taken the world by storm. It's a fantastic accomplishment by a Chinese team and a huge endorsement of the open source approach
US competitors have egg on their faces now, but they will adapt. Competition is always a good thing &amp; the future of AI just got a whole lot brighter
Last night’s selloff was overdone in our view. Happy CNY to all!


Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH index is trading higher on higher breadth and momentum in January, up 6% so far.  Analysts project an upside of 23% over 12 months.</li>
<li>China's semiconductor sector is advancing this year from AI enthusiasm and accelerated localization in the chip industry.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> shares have benefited from this trend.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> benefits from China's announcement that it will subsidize more consumer products, including smartphones and new vehicles.
</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH index is trading higher on higher breadth and momentum in January, up 6% so far.  Analysts project an upside of 23% over 12 months.
China's semiconductor sector is advancing this year from AI enthusiasm and accelerated localization in the chip industry.  Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) shares have benefited from this trend.

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) benefits from China's announcement that it will subsidize more consumer products, including smartphones and new vehicles.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Asian Equities: Markets Recovering Selectively, but Keep the Seatbelts Tightened

Asia gained on Trump tariff hesitation but paused on Deepseek's threat to US AI. The run could continue if foreign flows revive on USD moderation....

Manishi Raychaudhuri

GEM Fund Positioning: The Big Rotations in 2024.

India Real Estate, South Korea and Turkey Financials were the winners in 2024, but which sectors led the declines, and which stocks saw the...

Steven Holden

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Dramatic Spreads Open Up After DeepSeek Rout & Taiwan Market Closure

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

DeepSeek R1. Ahem, This Is Awkward..

DeepSeek's R1 is a game changer that's taken the world by storm. It's a fantastic win by a Chinese team and a huge endorsement of the open source...

William Keating

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

HSTECH advances with good market breadth in January. SMIC is benefiting from AI advances as well as the localization trend in semi industry. ...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equities: Markets Recovering Selectively, but Keep the Seatbelts Tightened

​Asia gained on Trump tariff hesitation but paused on Deepseek's threat to US AI. The run could continue if foreign flows revive on USD moderation....

Manishi Raychaudhuri

GEM Fund Positioning: The Big Rotations in 2024.

​India Real Estate, South Korea and Turkey Financials were the winners in 2024, but which sectors led the declines, and which stocks saw the...

Steven Holden

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Dramatic Spreads Open Up After DeepSeek Rout & Taiwan Market Closure

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

DeepSeek R1. Ahem, This Is Awkward..

DeepSeek's R1 is a game changer that's taken the world by storm. It's a fantastic win by a Chinese team and a huge endorsement of the open source...

William Keating

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

HSTECH advances with good market breadth in January. SMIC is benefiting from AI advances as well as the localization trend in semi industry. ...

David Mudd

Asia gained on Trump tariff hesitation but paused on Deepseek's threat to US AI. The run could continue if foreign flows revive on USD moderation....

India Real Estate, South Korea and Turkey Financials were the winners in 2024, but which sectors led the declines, and which stocks saw the...