Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +28.4% Premium; Near-All-Time High, Good Level to Short the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -0.4% Discount; Fifth Consecutive Month of Increase in ADR Headroom</li>
<li>CHT: -0.9% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +28.4% Premium; Near-All-Time High, Good Level to Short the Spread
UMC: -0.4% Discount; Fifth Consecutive Month of Increase in ADR Headroom
CHT: -0.9% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Near All-Time Highs; CHT Rare Discount Level

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Considering of current financial outcome of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a>, we cannot but favor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-devices-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19009:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US).</a>
</li>
<li>Currently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-devices-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19009:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)</a> has a more favorable competitive landscape compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a>.</li>
<li>The competition in PC CPU emphasizes not only performance but also heat dissipation and other techniques related to supply management.    </li>
</ul>


Considering of current financial outcome of Intel Corp (INTC US), we cannot but favor Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US).

Currently, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US) has a more favorable competitive landscape compared to Intel Corp (INTC US).
The competition in PC CPU emphasizes not only performance but also heat dissipation and other techniques related to supply management.    


Intel (INTC.US): Exploring a Tough Journey. (II)

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Intel's Panther Lake chip set to drive growth in AI PC market and spark resurgence in semiconductor foundry industry by second half of 2025.</li><li>Rapidus to provide 2nm chip samples to Broadcom, highlighting advancements in semiconductor technology and potential for increased performance.</li><li>Taiwanese companies eye opportunities in expanding renewable energy market in the Philippines, showcasing interest in sustainable business practices. CES 2025 sees Nvidia unveiling robot collaborations while concerns emerge over South Korea's absence. Honda and Sony face uncertainty as Afeela 1 debuts, while Tata Elxsi and Qualcomm team up to develop virtual models of Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions. UK-Taiwan tech partnerships strengthen as British Representative to Taiwan concludes term, reflecting deepening alliance between the two countries.</li></ul>

Intel's Panther Lake chip set to drive growth in AI PC market and spark resurgence in semiconductor foundry industry by second half of 2025.Rapidus to provide 2nm chip samples to Broadcom, highlighting advancements in semiconductor technology and potential for increased performance.Taiwanese companies eye opportunities in expanding renewable energy market in the Philippines, showcasing interest in sustainable business practices. CES 2025 sees Nvidia unveiling robot collaborations while concerns emerge over South Korea's absence. Honda and Sony face uncertainty as Afeela 1 debuts, while Tata Elxsi and Qualcomm team up to develop virtual models of Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions. UK-Taiwan tech partnerships strengthen as British Representative to Taiwan concludes term, reflecting deepening alliance between the two countries.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Jan-2025): Intel's Panther Lake boosts AI PC growth, foundry recovery by 2H25.

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectron-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11540:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)</a> experiences approximately a 5-10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) decline in 1Q25. For the full year of 2025, we anticipate a modest year-over-year (YoY) decline of around 5%.</li>
<li>We have observed some strength from Taiwanese Fabless companies, which could support the 1Q25 demand for UMC.  </li>
<li>It has been noted that mature wafer demand is not solely driven by China and may help offset the impacts of the US-China Trade War, benefiting foundries outside of China.</li>
</ul>



United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) experiences approximately a 5-10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) decline in 1Q25. For the full year of 2025, we anticipate a modest year-over-year (YoY) decline of around 5%.
We have observed some strength from Taiwanese Fabless companies, which could support the 1Q25 demand for UMC.  
It has been noted that mature wafer demand is not solely driven by China and may help offset the impacts of the US-China Trade War, benefiting foundries outside of China.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Outlook; Surprise Support of Taiwanese Fabless.

<ul>
<li>Latest TSMC Price Hike -- Introducing the $18,000 Wafer; Supports The Case That Management Margin Guidance is Overly Conservative</li>
<li>Mover Over Apple, Nvidia Could Become TSMC's Largest Customer in 2025E</li>
<li>SK Hynix(000660.KS): Insisting on HBM Technology and Continuing to Surpass Samsung in Net Earnings </li>
</ul>


Latest TSMC Price Hike -- Introducing the $18,000 Wafer; Supports The Case That Management Margin Guidance is Overly Conservative
Mover Over Apple, Nvidia Could Become TSMC's Largest Customer in 2025E
SK Hynix(000660.KS): Insisting on HBM Technology and Continuing to Surpass Samsung in Net Earnings 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest TSMC Pricing for Apple Supports Bullish Margin Case; SK Hynix's HBM Win

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Near All-Time Highs; CHT Rare Discount Level

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel (INTC.US): Exploring a Tough Journey. (II)

Intel Corp's financial outcome favors Advanced Micro Devices in the competition for PC CPU market due to a more favorable competitive landscape.

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Jan-2025): Intel's Panther Lake boosts AI PC growth, foundry recovery by 2H25.

Intel's Panther Lake drives AI PC growth, Rapidus supplies 2nm chips to Broadcom, Taiwanese firms eye Philippines' renewable energy market,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Outlook; Surprise Support of Taiwanese Fabless.

UMC expects a 5-10% QoQ decline in 1Q25, with a modest 5% YoY decline for 2025. Taiwanese Fabless companies may boost 1Q25 demand, while mature...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest TSMC Pricing for Apple Supports Bullish Margin Case; SK Hynix's HBM Win

TSMC's price hike and potential shift in top customers could impact margins, while SK Hynix maintains lead over Samsung in earnings with focus on...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Near All-Time Highs; CHT Rare Discount Level

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel (INTC.US): Exploring a Tough Journey. (II)

​Intel Corp's financial outcome favors Advanced Micro Devices in the competition for PC CPU market due to a more favorable competitive landscape.

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Jan-2025): Intel's Panther Lake boosts AI PC growth, foundry recovery by 2H25.

Intel's Panther Lake drives AI PC growth, Rapidus supplies 2nm chips to Broadcom, Taiwanese firms eye Philippines' renewable energy market,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Outlook; Surprise Support of Taiwanese Fabless.

UMC expects a 5-10% QoQ decline in 1Q25, with a modest 5% YoY decline for 2025. Taiwanese Fabless companies may boost 1Q25 demand, while mature...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest TSMC Pricing for Apple Supports Bullish Margin Case; SK Hynix's HBM Win

​TSMC's price hike and potential shift in top customers could impact margins, while SK Hynix maintains lead over Samsung in earnings with focus on...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Corp's financial outcome favors Advanced Micro Devices in the competition for PC CPU market due to a more favorable competitive landscape.

TSMC's price hike and potential shift in top customers could impact margins, while SK Hynix maintains lead over Samsung in earnings with focus on...