Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>We anticipate that the upcoming 4Q24 will likely see a ~10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) upside.</li>
<li>Among TSMC's top clients are companies from the US, Taiwan, and Japan.</li>
<li>Recently, we have heard that TSMC is reducing wafer quotations by about ~10% for 28nm and below, in order to adapt to the current environment.</li>
</ul>


We anticipate that the upcoming 4Q24 will likely see a ~10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) upside.
Among TSMC's top clients are companies from the US, Taiwan, and Japan.
Recently, we have heard that TSMC is reducing wafer quotations by about ~10% for 28nm and below, in order to adapt to the current environment.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q24 Outlook Is Around 10% QoQ Upside.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +17.5% Premium; Recent Trading Back in the 15-20% Range</li>
<li>UMC: -0.3% Discount; Middle of the Range, Rising Short Interest in Taiwan</li>
<li>ASE: +2.2% Premium; Spiking Short Interest in Taiwan Listed Shares</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +17.5% Premium; Recent Trading Back in the 15-20% Range
UMC: -0.3% Discount; Middle of the Range, Rising Short Interest in Taiwan
ASE: +2.2% Premium; Spiking Short Interest in Taiwan Listed Shares


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Back to Higher Premium Range; ASE Premium Remains Collapsed

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Tianshui Huatian Technology Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Samsung unlikely to follow Intel in spinning off its foundry business, focusing on their own semiconductor production.</li><li>Marvell co-founder Sehat Sutardja passes away, leaving a void in the semiconductor industry mourning the loss of a visionary.</li><li>HTC launches VIVE Focus Vision with advanced XR features for gamers and enterprises, aiming to capture a niche market.</li></ul>

Samsung unlikely to follow Intel in spinning off its foundry business, focusing on their own semiconductor production.Marvell co-founder Sehat Sutardja passes away, leaving a void in the semiconductor industry mourning the loss of a visionary.HTC launches VIVE Focus Vision with advanced XR features for gamers and enterprises, aiming to capture a niche market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Sep-2024): Samsung unlikely to follow Intel's spinoff.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Global semiconductor sales for the month of July 2024 amounted to $51.3 billion, representing an increase of 18.7% increase YoY and a 2.7% increase MoM</li>
<li>The July revenue number was the second highest monthly semiconductor revenue ever recorded, the highest being $51.7 billion in May 2022</li>
<li>Increasing memory prices along with modest recoveries in both PC and Smartphone unit shipments will continue to drive semi sales higher through EOY 2024.</li>
</ul>


Global semiconductor sales for the month of July 2024 amounted to $51.3 billion, representing an increase of 18.7% increase YoY and a 2.7% increase MoM
The July revenue number was the second highest monthly semiconductor revenue ever recorded, the highest being $51.7 billion in May 2022
Increasing memory prices along with modest recoveries in both PC and Smartphone unit shipments will continue to drive semi sales higher through EOY 2024.


Global Semi Sales Strength Continues In July. How Long Can It Last?

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>The semiconductor market is currently enjoying an AI-driven demand surge</li>
<li>The past two demand-driven surges have turned into collapses as growth returned to the long-term trend</li>
<li>When we compare the past two cycles to the current one, it appears that a collapse could occur relatively soon</li>
</ul>


The semiconductor market is currently enjoying an AI-driven demand surge
The past two demand-driven surges have turned into collapses as growth returned to the long-term trend
When we compare the past two cycles to the current one, it appears that a collapse could occur relatively soon


Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q24 Outlook Is Around 10% QoQ Upside.

Anticipating 10% QoQ growth in 4Q24 for TSMC, who is adjusting wafer quotations to meet current demands from US, Taiwan, and Japan clients.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Back to Higher Premium Range; ASE Premium Remains Collapsed

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Sep-2024): Samsung unlikely to follow Intel's spinoff.

Samsung not spinning off foundry business, rise in cobots in China, Marvell co-founder passes away, HTC launches VIVE Focus Vision, Suchi Semicon...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Global Semi Sales Strength Continues In July. How Long Can It Last?

Semi sales for July 2024 of $51.3 billion, +18.7% YoY, +2.7% MoM. Increasing memory prices & modest recoveries in PC and Smartphone units will...

William Keating

Current Semi Surge Still Strong

The semiconductor market is experiencing a surge in demand driven by AI, but history suggests a potential collapse may be on the horizon.

Jim Handy

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TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q24 Outlook Is Around 10% QoQ Upside.

​Anticipating 10% QoQ growth in 4Q24 for TSMC, who is adjusting wafer quotations to meet current demands from US, Taiwan, and Japan clients.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Back to Higher Premium Range; ASE Premium Remains Collapsed

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Sep-2024): Samsung unlikely to follow Intel's spinoff.

Samsung not spinning off foundry business, rise in cobots in China, Marvell co-founder passes away, HTC launches VIVE Focus Vision, Suchi Semicon...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Global Semi Sales Strength Continues In July. How Long Can It Last?

Semi sales for July 2024 of $51.3 billion, +18.7% YoY, +2.7% MoM. Increasing memory prices & modest recoveries in PC and Smartphone units will...

William Keating

Current Semi Surge Still Strong

​The semiconductor market is experiencing a surge in demand driven by AI, but history suggests a potential collapse may be on the horizon.

Jim Handy

Anticipating 10% QoQ growth in 4Q24 for TSMC, who is adjusting wafer quotations to meet current demands from US, Taiwan, and Japan clients.

The semiconductor market is experiencing a surge in demand driven by AI, but history suggests a potential collapse may be on the horizon.