Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC Foundry 2.0 more than doubles its addressable market and resets its market share to 28%, down from the ~60% share it has long enjoyed in the "traditional" foundry market</li>
<li>The lion's share of this new market will come from IDM, a combination of increased outsourcing (e.g. Intel) and new JV deals (e.g. Germany and Japan)</li>
<li>Foundry 2.0 reflects the reality of how the semi industry is evolving and it's the polar opposite of Intel's IDM 2.0 </li>
</ul>


TSMC Foundry 2.0 more than doubles its addressable market and resets its market share to 28%, down from the ~60% share it has long enjoyed in the "traditional" foundry market
The lion's share of this new market will come from IDM, a combination of increased outsourcing (e.g. Intel) and new JV deals (e.g. Germany and Japan)
Foundry 2.0 reflects the reality of how the semi industry is evolving and it's the polar opposite of Intel's IDM 2.0 


TSMC Foundry 2.0: Strategic Shift Or Brand Tinkering?

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Emerging Market allocations are stabilizing among active Global equity funds.</li>
<li>Country-Level shifts show China &amp; HK allocations more than halving since 2022, while Taiwan has seen strong gains. India becomes the top country underweight.</li>
<li>Alibaba has declined to record lows, Tencent ownership is stabilizing, and TSMC has reached new highs.</li>
</ul>


Emerging Market allocations are stabilizing among active Global equity funds.
Country-Level shifts show China &amp; HK allocations more than halving since 2022, while Taiwan has seen strong gains. India becomes the top country underweight.
Alibaba has declined to record lows, Tencent ownership is stabilizing, and TSMC has reached new highs.


Emerging Markets:  Structural Shifts as Allocations Stabilise Among Global Funds.

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Foxconn benefits from regionalized production with improved efficiency, reduced shipping costs, and better supply chain integration.</li><li>AMEC is confident in their lawsuit against the US Department of Defense, showing strong belief in the merit of their legal case.</li><li>Japan's economy faces uncertainty with financial resources at risk after Kishida's resignation, raising concerns amidst the country's economic landscape and supply chain players cautiously optimistic about AI server boom.</li></ul>

Foxconn benefits from regionalized production with improved efficiency, reduced shipping costs, and better supply chain integration.AMEC is confident in their lawsuit against the US Department of Defense, showing strong belief in the merit of their legal case.Japan's economy faces uncertainty with financial resources at risk after Kishida's resignation, raising concerns amidst the country's economic landscape and supply chain players cautiously optimistic about AI server boom.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Aug-2024): Regional production helps Foxconn.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 16th which has an aggregated holding worth USD955.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,501mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 16th which has an aggregated holding worth USD955.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,501mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele, Chunghwa Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele, Chunghwa Telecom.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC Foundry 2.0: Strategic Shift Or Brand Tinkering?

TSMC Foundry 2.0 more than doubles its addressable market and resets its market share to 28%, down from the ~60% share it has long enjoyed in the...

William Keating

Emerging Markets: Structural Shifts as Allocations Stabilise Among Global Funds.

Average EM weights of 7.05% sit near the lower end of the decade-long range. While active managers remain structurally underweight EM, this has...

Steven Holden

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Aug-2024): Regional production helps Foxconn.

Regionalized production boosts efficiency for Foxconn, AMEC confident in lawsuit, Japan's financial resources in jeopardy, supply chain players...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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