Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Delta Electronics and Wiwynn Corp among 6 Taiwan stocks at their highest levels of fund ownership among active Emerging Market funds.</li>
<li>The combined weight in these 6 stocks has aggressively moved higher to 1.2% from less than 30bps in 2018.</li>
<li>All stocks enter the top 15 most widely held companies in Taiwan, but potential for further buying is clearly there.</li>
</ul>


Delta Electronics and Wiwynn Corp among 6 Taiwan stocks at their highest levels of fund ownership among active Emerging Market funds.
The combined weight in these 6 stocks has aggressively moved higher to 1.2% from less than 30bps in 2018.
All stocks enter the top 15 most widely held companies in Taiwan, but potential for further buying is clearly there.


Record Fund Ownership in Six Taiwanese Companies

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 9.2% premium -- Trending down, can consider shorting the ADR vs. the local.</li>
<li>ASE: 10.5% premium is historically high -- Short the ADR vs. the local.</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -0.4% discount, ADRs have lagged Taiwan shares -- Long ADR vs. local.</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 9.2% premium -- Trending down, can consider shorting the ADR vs. the local.
ASE: 10.5% premium is historically high -- Short the ADR vs. the local.
ChipMOS: -0.4% discount, ADRs have lagged Taiwan shares -- Long ADR vs. local.


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Technology, and ChipMOS Opportunities

<ul>
<li>We have seen a general easing in ADR premiums since end-July, coming down as global markets have fallen.</li>
<li>TSMC's premium is easing down from the highs of June.</li>
<li>UMC and ChipMos ADR discounts appear to be bottoming given their historical range.</li>
</ul>


We have seen a general easing in ADR premiums since end-July, coming down as global markets have fallen.
TSMC's premium is easing down from the highs of June.
UMC and ChipMos ADR discounts appear to be bottoming given their historical range.


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: ADR Premiums Easing Down With Markets

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Silicon Motion Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>MaxLinear's acquisition of Silicon Motion has been abandoned, with both sides threatening arbitration. </li>
<li>It is difficult to understand why the acquisition would have resulted in the synergies projected by management.  The businesses are very different.</li>
<li>Assuming the companies go different ways, expect for SiMo to perform as it has in the past.</li>
</ul>


MaxLinear's acquisition of Silicon Motion has been abandoned, with both sides threatening arbitration. 
It is difficult to understand why the acquisition would have resulted in the synergies projected by management.  The businesses are very different.
Assuming the companies go different ways, expect for SiMo to perform as it has in the past.


<ul>
<li>Hon Hai beat expecations by nearly 30% but reduced 2023E sales guidance. However, the company's AI server business is expected to take market share and its EV business is developing.</li>
<li>Asustek management provided some clarity on when AI PCs might turn from dream into reality -- 3Q24E is when the company believes they will contribute significantly to sales volume.</li>
<li>Himax reported some improvement in demand from China beleaguered automotive industry and said it expects its dominant global market position for automotive display drivers to continue.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai beat expecations by nearly 30% but reduced 2023E sales guidance. However, the company's AI server business is expected to take market share and its EV business is developing.
Asustek management provided some clarity on when AI PCs might turn from dream into reality -- 3Q24E is when the company believes they will contribute significantly to sales volume.
Himax reported some improvement in demand from China beleaguered automotive industry and said it expects its dominant global market position for automotive display drivers to continue.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai AI Servers Taking Share, Asus Specifies When AI PCs Will Drive Market

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Record Fund Ownership in Six Taiwanese Companies

Delta Electronics and Wiwynn Corp among 6 Taiwan stocks at their highest levels of fund ownership among active Emerging Market funds.

Steven Holden

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Technology, and ChipMOS Opportunities

We analyze ADR premium/discounts vs. their historical ranges, relative to their latest related share price trends, and short interest.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: ADR Premiums Easing Down With Markets

TSMC's premium is easing from the highs of June. UMC and ChipMOS ADR discounts appear to be bottoming given their historical range.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

What's Next for SiMo?

MaxLinear has called off its planned acquisition of Silicon Motion. Does this indicate future problems for SiMo? Not necessarily.

Jim Handy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Record Fund Ownership in Six Taiwanese Companies

Delta Electronics and Wiwynn Corp among 6 Taiwan stocks at their highest levels of fund ownership among active Emerging Market funds.

Steven Holden

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Technology, and ChipMOS Opportunities

We analyze ADR premium/discounts vs. their historical ranges, relative to their latest related share price trends, and short interest.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: ADR Premiums Easing Down With Markets

TSMC's premium is easing from the highs of June. UMC and ChipMOS ADR discounts appear to be bottoming given their historical range.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

What's Next for SiMo?

MaxLinear has called off its planned acquisition of Silicon Motion. Does this indicate future problems for SiMo? Not necessarily.

Jim Handy

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai AI Servers Taking Share, Asus Specifies When AI PCs Will Drive Market

Also -- According to media reports, Apple has bought all of TSMC's leading-edge 3nm capacity and may have exclusivity for this 3nm production...

Vincent Fernando, CFA