Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AI Accelerators (Nvidia and AMD GPU, hyperscalers’ chips) receive a lot of attention. AI rack assemblers, the companies that turn GPU into systems are equally interesting – and concentrated.</li>
<li>They are mostly Taiwanese firms: Hon Hai, Quanta, Wistron, Wiwynn and module makers like Accton. Growth of the top suppliers is impressive, stocks aren’t expensive.</li>
<li>2 different markets: hyperscalers customized racks, and Nvidia standard products. It is possible that standard racks that go into AI data centers or “AI factory” will outgrow hyperscalers’ spending.</li>
</ul>


AI Accelerators (Nvidia and AMD GPU, hyperscalers’ chips) receive a lot of attention. AI rack assemblers, the companies that turn GPU into systems are equally interesting – and concentrated.
They are mostly Taiwanese firms: Hon Hai, Quanta, Wistron, Wiwynn and module makers like Accton. Growth of the top suppliers is impressive, stocks aren’t expensive.
2 different markets: hyperscalers customized racks, and Nvidia standard products. It is possible that standard racks that go into AI data centers or “AI factory” will outgrow hyperscalers’ spending.


AI Servers: The Big System Designers / Assemblers in Taiwan

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>US Eyes New AI Chip Restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand</li>
<li>Chip and AI Boom Driving Taiwan's Offshore Wind Expansion -- Local Stocks to Watch</li>
<li>China Set to Become World’s Largest Semiconductor Foundry Hub by 2030 -- But One Needs to Consider Leading Edge Capacity vs. Mature Capacity</li>
</ul>


US Eyes New AI Chip Restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand
Chip and AI Boom Driving Taiwan's Offshore Wind Expansion -- Local Stocks to Watch
China Set to Become World’s Largest Semiconductor Foundry Hub by 2030 -- But One Needs to Consider Leading Edge Capacity vs. Mature Capacity


Taiwan Tech Weekly: US Targets Malaysia & Thailand; Wind Power Fuels Taiwan's AI Infrastructure Push

<ul>
<li>ASML has been underperforming for 18 months. Recent downgrades are a delayed recognition of reality. ASML’s management goals for 2030 (10% revenue growth Cagr) are ok (plausible) </li>
<li>But growth is slowing fast in 2H25-1H26. Growth should re-accelerate in 2H26 as the impact of China and  Mature node lower spending, multiple delays (Intel, Samsung) is fading away. </li>
<li>The stock is getting cheaper, but lacks catalysts for another 2-3 quarters. Trading at 25x forward PEx, that’s reasonable given the firm’s intrinsic qualities.</li>
</ul>


ASML has been underperforming for 18 months. Recent downgrades are a delayed recognition of reality. ASML’s management goals for 2030 (10% revenue growth Cagr) are ok (plausible) 
But growth is slowing fast in 2H25-1H26. Growth should re-accelerate in 2H26 as the impact of China and  Mature node lower spending, multiple delays (Intel, Samsung) is fading away. 
The stock is getting cheaper, but lacks catalysts for another 2-3 quarters. Trading at 25x forward PEx, that’s reasonable given the firm’s intrinsic qualities.


ASML Downgrades, Semi Production Equipment Demand

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +26.3% Premium; Near Record High After U.S. 4th of July Holiday</li>
<li>UMC: +4.7% Premium; One of the Highest Levels in History -- Short</li>
<li>ASE: +4.6% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Level Before Going Long or Short</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +26.3% Premium; Near Record High After U.S. 4th of July Holiday
UMC: +4.7% Premium; One of the Highest Levels in History -- Short
ASE: +4.6% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Level Before Going Long or Short


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Spreads Near Record Highs After U.S. Market Holiday

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AMD launched MI300-355. AMD claims that for training MI355 is on par with Nvidia’s B200. For inference MI355 generates more token per $, has a better TCO. MI350 shipped May-25</li>
<li>AI addressable market: AMD maintains its $500bn by 2028 estimate, 60% Cagr “or exceeding that”. Inference will grow faster, over 80% Cagr.</li>
<li>AMD stock is cheap, has bottomed out, the roadmap is more competitive, etc. For investors looking for an alternative to Nvidia and TSMC, AMD is the best alternative imo.</li>
</ul>


AMD launched MI300-355. AMD claims that for training MI355 is on par with Nvidia’s B200. For inference MI355 generates more token per $, has a better TCO. MI350 shipped May-25
AI addressable market: AMD maintains its $500bn by 2028 estimate, 60% Cagr “or exceeding that”. Inference will grow faster, over 80% Cagr.
AMD stock is cheap, has bottomed out, the roadmap is more competitive, etc. For investors looking for an alternative to Nvidia and TSMC, AMD is the best alternative imo.


AMD Claims Its New GPU Is on Par with Nvidia, Its Software Platform ROCm Beats CUDA for Inference.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

AI Servers: The Big System Designers / Assemblers in Taiwan

Taiwanese AI rack assemblers are gaining attention for turning GPUs into systems, showing impressive growth in the AI server rack market. Stocks...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: US Targets Malaysia & Thailand; Wind Power Fuels Taiwan's AI Infrastructure Push

US considering new AI chip restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand, Taiwan's offshore wind expansion driven by chip and AI boom, Intel should invest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ASML Downgrades, Semi Production Equipment Demand

ASML's underperformance is a delayed reality check, but management's 2030 goals are plausible. Growth is slowing but will re-accelerate in 2H26....

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Spreads Near Record Highs After U.S. Market Holiday

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

AMD Claims Its New GPU Is on Par with Nvidia, Its Software Platform ROCm Beats CUDA for Inference.

AMD launches MI300-355, competitive with Nvidia's B200 for training and better for inference. AMD estimate AI market at $500bn by 2028. AMD stock...

Nicolas Baratte

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

AI Servers: The Big System Designers / Assemblers in Taiwan

​Taiwanese AI rack assemblers are gaining attention for turning GPUs into systems, showing impressive growth in the AI server rack market. Stocks...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: US Targets Malaysia & Thailand; Wind Power Fuels Taiwan's AI Infrastructure Push

​US considering new AI chip restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand, Taiwan's offshore wind expansion driven by chip and AI boom, Intel should invest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ASML Downgrades, Semi Production Equipment Demand

​ASML's underperformance is a delayed reality check, but management's 2030 goals are plausible. Growth is slowing but will re-accelerate in 2H26....

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Spreads Near Record Highs After U.S. Market Holiday

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

AMD Claims Its New GPU Is on Par with Nvidia, Its Software Platform ROCm Beats CUDA for Inference.

​AMD launches MI300-355, competitive with Nvidia's B200 for training and better for inference. AMD estimate AI market at $500bn by 2028. AMD stock...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwanese AI rack assemblers are gaining attention for turning GPUs into systems, showing impressive growth in the AI server rack market. Stocks...

US considering new AI chip restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand, Taiwan's offshore wind expansion driven by chip and AI boom, Intel should invest...

ASML's underperformance is a delayed reality check, but management's 2030 goals are plausible. Growth is slowing but will re-accelerate in 2H26....

AMD launches MI300-355, competitive with Nvidia's B200 for training and better for inference. AMD estimate AI market at $500bn by 2028. AMD stock...