Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are increasing signs that Hankook Tire &amp; Technology's M&amp;A of Hanon Systems could be falling apart. </li>
<li>The deadline for signing the main M&amp;A contract to purchase a 25% stake in Hanon Systems has been postponed indefinitely.
</li>
<li>
New contingent liabilities at Hanon Systems have been uncovered during the 10 week due diligence process of Hanon Systems by Hankook T&amp;T.</li>
</ul>


There are increasing signs that Hankook Tire &amp; Technology's M&amp;A of Hanon Systems could be falling apart. 
The deadline for signing the main M&amp;A contract to purchase a 25% stake in Hanon Systems has been postponed indefinitely.


New contingent liabilities at Hanon Systems have been uncovered during the 10 week due diligence process of Hanon Systems by Hankook T&amp;T.


Hankook Tire & Technology: M&A of Hanon System Falling Apart?

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The September KOSPI Size Index rebalancing could bring back the typical price impacts seen over the past decade, unlike the March rebalancing.</li>
<li>The previous rebalancing had anomalies due to newly listed stocks in LARGE and a stronger downward trend in LARGE-to-MID transitions, disrupting the expected price impact.</li>
<li>For September's rebalancing, fewer distortions are expected compared to March. The NPS Mid to Small Cap fund, a key influence, shows no significant changes in benchmark or AUM.</li>
</ul>


The September KOSPI Size Index rebalancing could bring back the typical price impacts seen over the past decade, unlike the March rebalancing.
The previous rebalancing had anomalies due to newly listed stocks in LARGE and a stronger downward trend in LARGE-to-MID transitions, disrupting the expected price impact.
For September's rebalancing, fewer distortions are expected compared to March. The NPS Mid to Small Cap fund, a key influence, shows no significant changes in benchmark or AUM.


Examining the September Reshuffle of the KOSPI Size Index Series

<ul>
<li>Today's news indicates Hankook Tire found contingent liabilities in Hanon Systems' finances, meeting conditions to break the May agreement and putting the deal on indefinite hold.</li>
<li>Hankook Tire plans to adjust the new share price first, then the existing share price, while Hahn &amp; Co, unable to delay its exit, will likely accept it.</li>
<li>With Hahn &amp; Co likely to accept Hankook Tire’s price adjustment request, consider a long-short setup: Hankook Tire may benefit from positive momentum, while Hanon Systems faces negative dilution.</li>
</ul>


Today's news indicates Hankook Tire found contingent liabilities in Hanon Systems' finances, meeting conditions to break the May agreement and putting the deal on indefinite hold.
Hankook Tire plans to adjust the new share price first, then the existing share price, while Hahn &amp; Co, unable to delay its exit, will likely accept it.
With Hahn &amp; Co likely to accept Hankook Tire’s price adjustment request, consider a long-short setup: Hankook Tire may benefit from positive momentum, while Hanon Systems faces negative dilution.


Latest Update on Hanon Systems Stake Sale: Consider Long Short Setup on Hankook Tire & Hanon

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that are expected to have passive flows from global and local index trackers over the next few months and that will add to the impact.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
There are a few stocks that are expected to have passive flows from global and local index trackers over the next few months and that will add to the impact.


KOSPI Size Indices: Outperformance Slows on Momentum Stalls

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

South Korea

Hanon Systems manufactures a variety of automotive air control equipment.  The Company's products include air conditioners, heaters, cooling modules, compressors, radiators, fans, evaporators, and condensers. Hanon Systems distributes its products on an original equipment manufacturing (OEM) basis.

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Hanon Systems (018880 KS)

Hankook Tire & Technology: M&A of Hanon System Falling Apart?

There are increasing signs that Hankook Tire & Technology's M&A of Hanon Systems could be falling apart. New contingent liabilities at Hanon...

Douglas Kim

Examining the September Reshuffle of the KOSPI Size Index Series

This post examines the potential for flow trading setups targeting the September rebalancing of the KOSPI Size Index Series.

Sanghyun Park

Latest Update on Hanon Systems Stake Sale: Consider Long Short Setup on Hankook Tire & Hanon

This post offers the latest update on the Hanon Systems share sale agreement between Hankook Tire and Hahn & Co and discusses trading setups to...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Size Indices: Outperformance Slows on Momentum Stalls

There could be 41 stocks migrating between size segments in September. The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations but the...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

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