IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

REPT BATTERO Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rept-battero-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36626:1" rel="noopener">REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rept-battero-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:122120" rel="noopener">Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rept-battero-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:122323" rel="noopener">Rept Battero IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.
We previously discussed the IPO in Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case and Rept Battero IPO: The Bear Case. 
There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rept-battero-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36626:1" rel="noopener">REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.   </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rept-battero-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:122120" rel="noopener">Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and receivable financing. </li>
</ul>



REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.   
In Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and receivable financing. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rept-battero-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36626:1" rel="noopener">REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, is premarketing a US$300 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  </li>
<li>According to Frost &amp; Sullivan, in 1H23, Rept was the tenth-largest lithium-ion battery manufacturer globally for annual installations for new energy applications. </li>
<li>The bull case rests on rapid ESS revenue growth, reducing customer concentration risks, ambitious capacity expansion plans, promising margin trajectory and improving cash collection cycle. </li>
</ul>



REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is premarketing a US$300 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  
According to Frost &amp; Sullivan, in 1H23, Rept was the tenth-largest lithium-ion battery manufacturer globally for annual installations for new energy applications. 
The bull case rests on rapid ESS revenue growth, reducing customer concentration risks, ambitious capacity expansion plans, promising margin trajectory and improving cash collection cycle. 


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Nov 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Nov 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Short Covers for Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hanwha Ocean's share price declined by 5% today, mainly due to local media reports about a potential capital raise of nearly 2 trillion won to 2.5 trillion won. </li>
<li>Although the company has not officially announced a rights offering, we believe the probability of Hanwha Ocean announcing a major rights offering is relatively high in the next 3-6 months. </li>
<li>We estimate this probability range is closer to about 60-70%. The company needs additional capital to improve its highly leveraged balance sheet and to make major investments. </li>
</ul>


Hanwha Ocean's share price declined by 5% today, mainly due to local media reports about a potential capital raise of nearly 2 trillion won to 2.5 trillion won. 
Although the company has not officially announced a rights offering, we believe the probability of Hanwha Ocean announcing a major rights offering is relatively high in the next 3-6 months. 
We estimate this probability range is closer to about 60-70%. The company needs additional capital to improve its highly leveraged balance sheet and to make major investments. 


Hanwha Ocean: Potential Capital Raise of Nearly 2 Trillion Won

South Korea

SK Innovation Co., Ltd. refines, markets, and distributes oil.  The Company produces a variety of petroleum products, such as gasoline, kerosene, liquefied petroleumgas (LPG), and diesel oil.  SK Energy also manufactures petrochemical p roducts, including paraxylene, synthetic resins, styrene monomer, and ethylene.

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SK Innovation (096770 KS)

Rept Battero IPO: Valuation Insights

There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Rept Battero IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and...

Arun George

Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on rapid ESS revenue growth, reducing customer concentration risks, ambitious capacity expansion plans, promising margin...

Arun George

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Short Covers for Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hanwha Ocean: Potential Capital Raise of Nearly 2 Trillion Won

Hanwha Ocean completed the subscription for its 1.5 trillion won rights offering targeting employee stock ownership association and existing...

Douglas Kim

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